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Vaerlose vs Amager Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 91-89
24-23 22-25 23-17 22-24
Position#7
Record5-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#11
Record1-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game100.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen (Vaerlose)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Amager
12 Apr 2026
VAER96
AMAG90
04 Feb 2026
VAER100
AMAG93
22 Mar 2025
VAER79
AMAG93
30 Jan 2025
VAER84
AMAG77
28 Dec 2023
VAER91
AMAG89
30 Mar 2023
VAER87
AMAG92
28 Sep 2022
VAER98
AMAG72
27 Mar 2022
VAER77
AMAG76
28 Jan 2022
VAER98
AMAG88
06 Feb 2021
VAER102
AMAG88
22 Mar 2020
VAER v AMAG
upcoming
16 Feb 2020
VAER82
AMAG74
15 Jan 2011
VAER84
AMAG54
24 Oct 2010
VAER62
AMAG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Amager winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 70
H07/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 70
A14/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 70
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
34avg 70
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-118
72
118
-46
59avg 70
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
72avg 70
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
60avg 70
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
87avg 70
H09/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 70
A17/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
16-19
19-22
27-18
13-21
20-12
22-18
24-19
21-27
28-11
13-18
17-27
16-15
12-25
11-29
17-19
10-27
26-30
22-30
14-31
20-21
25-21
17-31
23-21
15-17
21-31
19-20
16-22
26-11
17-23
20-22
15-14
23-35
24-22
26-18
22-24
25-27
14-25
18-17
27-16
165.9Avg total
78.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.186.5167.6-5.442%
Season at home (5)84.084.8168.8-0.840%
Season away (7)79.087.7166.7-8.743%
Last 10 (10)78.487.5165.9-9.130%
Last 5 (5)82.687.6170.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.891.3169.1-13.611%
vs Similar (10)76.780.7157.4-4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.472.6160.0+14.978%
This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
73avg 60
H13/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
58avg 60
A21/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
51-114
51
114
-63
41avg 60
A05/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
53-99
53
99
-46
37avg 60
H10/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
59-84
59
84
-25
no box
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
73-125
73
125
-52
55avg 60
A18/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
87-113
87
113
-26
79avg 60
A29/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
67-103
67
103
-36
57avg 60
A09/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
98-96
98
96
+2
92avg 60
H16/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
66-103
66
103
-37
54avg 60
H21/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
14-27
20-20
29-24
14-28
16-24
16-25
28-25
9-28
10-28
13-20
19-38
17-23
9-28
13-25
14-23
4-22
19-28
19-18
17-16
16-18
17-34
19-32
21-41
19-29
27-29
22-24
19-31
18-26
20-23
17-28
12-26
21-18
24-29
30-25
23-24
16-24
20-29
8-18
22-32
173.4Avg total
71.1Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.7100.8172.5-29.18%
Season at home (6)75.895.7171.5-19.817%
Season away (7)68.1105.1173.3-37.00%
Last 10 (10)71.1102.3173.4-31.210%
Last 5 (5)78.2108.0186.2-29.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)78.096.0174.0-18.122%
vs Similar (2)86.089.0175.0-3.00%
vs Weaker (3)78.776.0154.7+2.767%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -10.3-10.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -7.6-7.6
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -10.3-10.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -7.6-7.6
VaerloseAmager
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H09/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/12
Basketligaen
83.4Avg total
39.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.679.6-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.240.581.7+0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)37.140.677.8-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.983.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.046.688.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.146.087.1-4.944%-
vs Similar (10)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.335.878.1+6.667%-
This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H13/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
19-56
19
56
-37
A05/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H10/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A18/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A29/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A09/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H16/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H21/12
Basketligaen
83.8Avg total
33.0Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.146.584.6-8.321%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.746.487.1-5.729%-
Last 30 away (15)35.746.582.3-10.813%-
Last 10 (10)33.050.883.8-17.80%-
Last 5 (5)39.651.891.4-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.147.885.9-9.717%-
vs Similar (2)39.037.576.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (3)42.741.384.0+1.333%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.920.8
47.4%
51.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.7
29.3%
31.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.415.8
70.5%
67.0%15.8
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.019.9
45.2%
51.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.35.6
27.6%
31.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws22.313.3
59.6%
67.0%13.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLWLLLLLWW
Amager
LWLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#11
-6.8
Net rating
-38.6
99.6
Offensive rating
80.4
106.4
Defensive rating
119.0
46.1%
Effective FG%
44.0%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
24.8%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.3%
3-point %
27.6%
53.7%
Assist %
63.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 80.4Defence106.4 · 119.0Shooting46.1% · 44.0%3-point %29.3% · 27.6%Ball care18.7% · 24.8%Off. rebounds32.4% · 21.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Amager
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Vaerlose wins
4
Amager wins
DateGameScore
28/09/23Amager v Vaerlose83-102
22/04/23Amager v Vaerlose86-79
30/03/23Vaerlose v Amager87-92
15/12/22Amager v Vaerlose87-73
28/09/22Vaerlose v Amager98-72
09/04/22Amager v Vaerlose99-91 OT
27/03/22Vaerlose v Amager77-76
28/01/22Vaerlose v Amager98-88
28/10/21Amager v Vaerlose71-78
14/02/21Amager v Vaerlose72-82
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ACopenhagen84-85
09/12/23HTeam FOG Naestved95-99
16/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus78-70
12/11/23HHorsens71-90
07/11/23HRanders85-94
05/11/23ABakken Bears72-118
29/10/23AHorsens56-88
22/10/23HSvendborg79-83
14/10/23AHerlev Wolfpack79-70
07/10/23HBears Academy85-78
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HTeam FOG Naestved66-103
16/12/23HHerlev Wolfpack98-96
09/12/23ABears Academy67-103
29/11/23ATeam FOG Naestved87-113
18/11/23ASvendborg73-125
12/11/23ACopenhagen59-84
10/11/23HCopenhagen53-99
05/11/23AHorsens51-114
21/10/23ABakken Bears74-102
13/10/23HHolbaek-Stenhus83-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%40%43%
Points / game81.184.079.0
Allowed / game86.584.887.7
Point differential-5.4-0.8-8.7
Avg total167.6168.8166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Amager
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL8%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game71.775.868.1
Allowed / game100.895.7105.1
Point differential-29.1-19.8-37.0
Avg total172.5171.5173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1312192%99.175.8+23.3
2 Svendborg1311285%88.377.2+11.2
3 Horsens1411379%90.472.6+17.8
4 Team FOG Naestved1310377%97.380.5+16.8
5 Randers127558%95.485.3+10.1
6 Copenhagen136746%83.180.0+3.1
7 Vaerlose125742%81.186.5-5.4
8 Bears Academy1331023%73.985.2-11.3
9 Herlev Wolfpack1221017%71.086.5-15.5
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1221017%67.892.8-25.0
11 Amager131128%71.7100.8-29.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2422232291
Amager2325172489
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