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Vaerlose vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 70-86
18-29 17-22 19-20 16-15
Position#10
Record4-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game86.8
Vaerlose
Denmark
vs
Svendborg 🏆
Denmark
Position#2
Record13-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game71.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vaerlose v Svendborg
03 Jan 2027
VAER v SVEN
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
VAER68
SVEN124
05 Jan 2025
VAER70
SVEN86
07 Mar 2024
VAER95
SVEN98
22 Oct 2023
VAER79
SVEN83
14 Oct 2022
VAER78
SVEN76
04 Mar 2022
VAER96
SVEN83
17 Jan 2021
VAER79
SVEN89
31 Oct 2019
VAER70
SVEN94
21 Oct 2018
VAER80
SVEN98
30 Dec 2014
VAER60
SVEN86
05 Mar 2014
VAER80
SVEN92
07 Nov 2013
VAER60
SVEN102
11 Mar 2013
VAER69
SVEN97
08 Nov 2012
VAER75
SVEN82
10 Oct 2012
VAER82
SVEN99
12 Mar 2012
VAER76
SVEN83
30 Nov 2011
VAER65
SVEN98
14 Mar 2011
VAER58
SVEN91
06 Feb 2011
VAER86
SVEN90
13 Oct 2010
VAER56
SVEN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
90-102
90
102
-12
82avg 71
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
51avg 71
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 71
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 71
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 71
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 71
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
105-80
105
80
+25
98avg 71
A27/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-19
22-25
25-21
14-27
22-20
22-24
27-29
19-29
14-28
19-22
8-25
18-20
24-18
30-19
29-29
17-20
9-18
16-27
18-30
21-20
20-27
15-13
17-17
16-22
18-21
26-25
26-22
18-22
17-17
24-22
24-17
14-18
13-11
27-25
14-11
26-23
30-24
21-21
22-18
32-17
166.5Avg total
80.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.586.8164.3-9.231%
Season at home (6)77.783.8161.5-6.233%
Season away (7)77.489.3166.7-11.929%
Last 10 (10)80.286.3166.5-6.140%
Last 5 (5)84.078.6162.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)76.892.0168.8-15.218%
vs Similar (6)84.578.2162.7+6.367%
vs Weaker (1)99.080.0179.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-63
88
63
+25
84avg 78
H30/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
78-67
78
67
+11
78avg 78
H07/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
98-66
98
66
+32
94avg 78
A14/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#12
W
100-63
100
63
+37
no box
H16/11
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
W
91-80
91
80
+11
86avg 78
H28/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
89-58
89
58
+31
82avg 78
H03/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
92avg 78
A12/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
90avg 78
A19/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
84-60
84
60
+24
76avg 78
H29/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
26-14
25-19
12-16
19-13
15-24
24-11
20-19
18-12
31-10
20-24
29-20
22-15
23-18
31-6
24-24
16-24
20-17
30-20
25-19
21-16
18-22
17-20
16-26
25-21
23-9
23-12
18-16
30-10
21-29
23-14
20-16
21-22
26-12
25-23
24-18
13-8
19-19
27-7
25-26
157.5Avg total
89.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.271.0159.2+17.293%
Season at home (8)82.866.8149.5+16.0100%
Season away (6)95.576.7172.2+18.883%
Last 10 (10)89.068.5157.5+20.590%
Last 5 (5)87.069.2156.2+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.494.5172.9-16.20%
vs Similar (5)87.479.6167.0+7.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.273.0162.2+16.292%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +8.9+8.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +8.9+8.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
VaerloseSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A27/12
Basketligaen
82.3Avg total
39.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.882.1-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.743.084.7-1.327%-
Last 30 away (15)38.840.779.5-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.682.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.283.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.443.181.5-4.827%-
vs Similar (6)42.338.781.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker (1)55.037.092.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H30/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
49-22
49
22
+27
A14/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/11
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H03/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A12/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A19/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H29/12
Basketligaen
76.1Avg total
43.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.081.1+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.737.977.6+1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)42.442.184.5+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.232.976.1+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.433.677.0+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.447.387.6-6.918%-
vs Similar (5)41.643.885.4-2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.133.074.1+8.169%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.9
51.6%
51.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.1
28.1%
32.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.2
70.0%
70.2%15.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.5
54.1%
51.9%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.3
36.8%
32.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.213.6
64.2%
70.2%13.6
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WWWLLLWLLL
Svendborg
WWWWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#2
-9.6
Net rating
+25.0
96.6
Offensive rating
112.4
106.2
Defensive rating
87.4
47.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
42.2%
20.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.1%
3-point %
36.8%
66.3%
Assist %
56.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 112.4Defence106.2 · 87.4Shooting47.5% · 54.5%3-point %28.1% · 36.8%Ball care20.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.4% · 33.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vaerlose wins
8
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
10/10/24Svendborg v Vaerlose76-62
08/04/24Svendborg v Vaerlose88-83
07/03/24Vaerlose v Svendborg95-98
15/01/24Svendborg v Vaerlose98-76
22/10/23Vaerlose v Svendborg79-83
29/12/22Svendborg v Vaerlose83-75
14/10/22Vaerlose v Svendborg78-76
04/03/22Vaerlose v Svendborg96-83
16/02/22Svendborg v Vaerlose97-82
09/01/22Svendborg v Vaerlose108-70
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24AHerlev Wolfpack105-80
21/12/24ABears Academy80-70
10/12/24HCopenhagen79-74
07/12/24HHolbaek-Stenhus88-90
04/12/24HRanders68-79
01/12/24AHorsens64-95
17/11/24HHolbaek-Stenhus100-86
14/11/24AHorsens59-95
01/11/24AAmager90-102
27/10/24HTeam FOG Naestved69-92
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HBears Academy84-60
19/12/24AHolbaek-Stenhus96-75
12/12/24ARanders94-69
03/12/24HHerlev Wolfpack89-58
30/11/24ARanders72-84
28/11/24HBakken Bears91-80
16/11/24HBears Academy100-63
14/11/24AAmager98-66
07/11/24HHorsens78-67
30/10/24HCopenhagen88-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW31%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game77.577.777.4
Allowed / game86.883.889.3
Point differential-9.2-6.2-11.9
Avg total164.3161.5166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %93%100%83%
Points / game88.282.895.5
Allowed / game71.066.876.7
Point differential+17.2+16.0+18.8
Avg total159.2149.5172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%88%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1413193%88.271.0+17.2
2 Team FOG Naestved1413193%95.987.6+8.3
3 Horsens1411379%90.079.7+10.3
4 Bakken Bears1410471%92.981.9+11.0
5 Randers159660%90.182.5+7.6
6 Vaerlose134931%77.586.8-9.2
7 Holbaek-Stenhus134931%81.593.2-11.8
8 Amager1441029%86.193.4-7.4
9 Herlev Wolfpack1441029%78.887.8-9.0
10 Copenhagen1431121%81.486.9-5.4
11 Bears Academy1521313%74.487.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1817191670
Svendborg2922201586
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