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Vaerlose vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-124
18-36 13-31 24-25 13-32
Position#6
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game92.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vaerlose v Svendborg
03 Jan 2027
VAER v SVEN
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
VAER68
SVEN124
05 Jan 2025
VAER70
SVEN86
07 Mar 2024
VAER95
SVEN98
22 Oct 2023
VAER79
SVEN83
14 Oct 2022
VAER78
SVEN76
04 Mar 2022
VAER96
SVEN83
17 Jan 2021
VAER79
SVEN89
31 Oct 2019
VAER70
SVEN94
21 Oct 2018
VAER80
SVEN98
30 Dec 2014
VAER60
SVEN86
05 Mar 2014
VAER80
SVEN92
07 Nov 2013
VAER60
SVEN102
11 Mar 2013
VAER69
SVEN97
08 Nov 2012
VAER75
SVEN82
10 Oct 2012
VAER82
SVEN99
12 Mar 2012
VAER76
SVEN83
30 Nov 2011
VAER65
SVEN98
14 Mar 2011
VAER58
SVEN91
06 Feb 2011
VAER86
SVEN90
13 Oct 2010
VAER56
SVEN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
57avg 71
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 71
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
72-73
72
73
-1
64avg 71
A12/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 71
H22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
92avg 71
H31/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 71
A05/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
104-93
104
93
+11
102avg 71
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
74-90
74
90
-16
62avg 71
A24/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 71
A23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 71
H04/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-32
9-24
25-21
28-19
20-27
16-22
36-12
22-20
21-13
15-25
14-15
21-30
13-16
28-25
17-22
28-25
28-21
10-21
23-22
15-23
14-19
28-13
13-17
29-24
30-27
15-18
30-24
16-20
22-27
17-29
19-14
29-19
23-21
17-18
19-23
21-23
24-17
21-23
14-13
169.8Avg total
84.4Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.078.5162.5+5.5100%
Season at home (1)80.076.0156.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.485.4169.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)83.282.4165.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.490.8164.2-17.412%
vs Similar (13)85.984.7170.6+1.254%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
96-79
96
79
+17
86avg 81
H21/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
90-70
90
70
+20
82avg 81
H28/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 81
A01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
64avg 81
H05/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
54avg 81
H15/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-110
86
110
-24
74avg 81
A19/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 81
H22/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
51avg 81
A26/05
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
106-89
106
89
+17
99avg 81
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 81
H01/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
27-23
19-24
23-19
21-22
19-10
28-15
22-23
22-27
22-20
19-11
15-17
15-20
20-13
22-25
19-17
21-23
20-18
15-11
12-27
23-30
25-29
10-29
28-22
29-13
17-19
18-26
22-21
16-25
17-14
7-25
23-18
28-22
26-26
26-18
26-23
22-28
18-21
21-17
20-30
166.4Avg total
83.0Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.592.5186.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
Season away (1)106.089.0195.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.083.4166.4-0.460%
Last 5 (5)84.491.2175.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.590.0166.5-13.50%
vs Similar (13)83.483.0166.4+0.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.075.4166.4+15.680%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
VaerloseSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A12/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H31/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A05/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A24/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H04/10
Basketligaen
89.1Avg total
44.7Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.685.2-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.344.486.7-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)39.044.783.7-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.489.1+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.644.088.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.946.282.1-10.36%-
vs Similar (13)45.543.288.7+2.462%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H21/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H28/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A19/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H22/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/05
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/10
Basketligaen
85.1Avg total
43.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.783.3+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.634.277.8+9.486%-
Last 30 away (16)43.744.588.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.685.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.489.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.543.583.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (13)43.841.685.4+2.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.137.581.6+6.573%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.5
52.0%
54.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.6
32.5%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.812.8
64.6%
70.1%12.8
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.2
48.4%
54.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.1
33.6%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.516.5
70.2%
70.1%16.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WWLWLWLLWL
Svendborg
LWLWLLWWWW
#6
League position
#3
-1.0
Net rating
+0.0
101.0
Offensive rating
105.5
101.9
Defensive rating
105.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.2%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
20.5%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.5%
3-point %
33.6%
60.1%
Assist %
53.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 105.5Defence101.9 · 105.5Shooting50.7% · 49.2%3-point %32.5% · 33.6%Ball care20.5% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.3% · 37.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vaerlose wins
8
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Vaerlose v Svendborg70-86
10/10/24Svendborg v Vaerlose76-62
08/04/24Svendborg v Vaerlose88-83
07/03/24Vaerlose v Svendborg95-98
15/01/24Svendborg v Vaerlose98-76
22/10/23Vaerlose v Svendborg79-83
29/12/22Svendborg v Vaerlose83-75
14/10/22Vaerlose v Svendborg78-76
04/03/22Vaerlose v Svendborg96-83
16/02/22Svendborg v Vaerlose97-82
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HVejen80-76
23/09/25AHolbaek-Stenhus88-81
24/04/25AAmager74-90
12/04/25HBears Academy104-93
05/04/25AHerlev Wolfpack70-72
31/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus100-98 OT
22/03/25HAmager79-93
12/03/25ABears Academy72-73
08/03/25HHerlev Wolfpack100-80
03/03/25AHolbaek-Stenhus77-98
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/25HBakken Bears81-96
27/09/25AAmager106-89
26/05/25ABakken Bears63-82
22/05/25HBakken Bears86-79
19/05/25ABakken Bears86-110
15/05/25HBakken Bears68-79
05/05/25HRanders76-75
01/05/25ARanders78-75
28/04/25HRanders90-70
21/04/25HRanders96-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.080.088.0
Allowed / game78.576.081.0
Point differential+5.5+4.0+7.0
Avg total162.5156.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game93.581.0106.0
Allowed / game92.596.089.0
Point differential+1.0-15.0+17.0
Avg total186.0177.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved330100%115.078.0+37.0
2 Bakken Bears440100%108.571.8+36.8
3 Randers330100%104.079.3+24.7
4 Horsens330100%91.369.0+22.3
5 Vaerlose220100%84.078.5+5.5
6 Svendborg21150%93.592.5+1.0
7 Copenhagen31233%82.392.7-10.3
8 BMS Herlev31233%82.094.3-12.3
9 Holbaek-Stenhus4040%78.294.2-16.0
10 Vejen3030%68.797.7-29.0
11 Amager3030%81.0113.0-32.0
12 Bears Academy3030%78.7111.0-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1813241368
Svendborg36312532124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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