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Vaerlose vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 95-98
23-31 18-17 31-29 23-21
Position#7
Record10-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#5
Record16-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game80.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Svendborg
03 Jan 2027
VAER v SVEN
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
VAER68
SVEN124
05 Jan 2025
VAER70
SVEN86
07 Mar 2024
VAER95
SVEN98
22 Oct 2023
VAER79
SVEN83
14 Oct 2022
VAER78
SVEN76
04 Mar 2022
VAER96
SVEN83
17 Jan 2021
VAER79
SVEN89
31 Oct 2019
VAER70
SVEN94
21 Oct 2018
VAER80
SVEN98
30 Dec 2014
VAER60
SVEN86
05 Mar 2014
VAER80
SVEN92
07 Nov 2013
VAER60
SVEN102
11 Mar 2013
VAER69
SVEN97
08 Nov 2012
VAER75
SVEN82
10 Oct 2012
VAER82
SVEN99
12 Mar 2012
VAER76
SVEN83
30 Nov 2011
VAER65
SVEN98
14 Mar 2011
VAER58
SVEN91
06 Feb 2011
VAER86
SVEN90
13 Oct 2010
VAER56
SVEN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
87avg 72
H09/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 72
A17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 72
H28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 72
H07/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
76-98
76
98
-22
61avg 72
A15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
78-99
78
99
-21
72avg 72
H25/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
61avg 72
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 72
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
94avg 72
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
70avg 72
A17/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-35
24-22
26-18
22-24
25-27
14-25
18-17
27-16
24-23
22-25
23-17
22-24
32-21
15-21
20-19
14-15
17-25
17-23
24-31
18-19
20-23
19-29
21-23
18-24
17-17
17-21
21-31
21-29
23-18
16-19
18-23
23-19
27-17
28-20
31-20
13-23
17-19
19-13
18-16
18-13
169.6Avg total
83.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.385.9167.2-4.650%
Season at home (10)84.586.6171.1-2.150%
Season away (10)78.185.2163.3-7.150%
Last 10 (10)83.286.4169.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)81.083.4164.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.292.6170.8-14.317%
vs Similar (7)75.774.9150.6+0.971%
vs Weaker (10)88.476.8165.2+11.680%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
115-77
115
77
+38
111avg 78
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
61avg 78
A06/01
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
41-83
41
83
-42
21avg 78
A09/01
ENBL
Vaerlose
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
97avg 78
H15/01
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
80avg 78
H17/01
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
63-86
63
86
-23
54avg 78
H24/01
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 78
A29/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 78
A01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
117-87
117
87
+30
120avg 78
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
123-94
123
94
+29
116avg 78
A15/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
26-15
35-27
29-15
33-25
8-31
23-25
13-29
12-28
18-17
5-18
6-20
25-17
23-17
31-24
19-18
22-20
21-18
19-16
21-23
14-24
17-27
12-20
20-15
19-16
30-22
20-23
19-23
20-18
8-18
22-29
26-21
28-9
30-26
29-21
30-31
41-20
26-22
25-20
31-32
174.1Avg total
88.1Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)92.180.8172.9+11.280%
Season at home (10)98.082.3180.3+15.780%
Season away (10)86.279.4165.6+6.880%
Last 10 (10)88.186.0174.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)93.487.4180.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.393.1167.5-18.827%
vs Similar (4)84.280.0164.2+4.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)101.575.0176.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
VaerloseSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H09/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H25/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A17/02
Basketligaen
85.9Avg total
41.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.282.0-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.042.185.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.278.9-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.385.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.545.785.2-6.233%-
vs Similar (7)39.636.976.4+2.771%-
vs Weaker (10)43.838.181.9+5.760%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A06/01
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A09/01
ENBL
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/01
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H17/01
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H24/01
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A29/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A15/02
Basketligaen
85.6Avg total
44.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.384.1-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.741.785.4+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.743.082.7-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.085.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.487.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.047.184.1-10.127%-
vs Similar (4)43.240.083.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.436.284.6+12.290%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.8
49.8%
51.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.0
30.4%
31.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.2
77.1%
67.0%17.2
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.5
50.6%
51.8%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.1
31.4%
31.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.118.2
72.5%
67.0%18.2
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WWWLLLWWLL
Svendborg
WWLWLWWLLW
#7
League position
#5
-3.0
Net rating
+2.7
104.7
Offensive rating
103.8
107.7
Defensive rating
101.1
48.2%
Effective FG%
49.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.4%
3-point %
31.4%
71.2%
Assist %
53.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 103.8Defence107.7 · 101.1Shooting48.2% · 49.3%3-point %30.4% · 31.4%Ball care17.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.6% · 29.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
7
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
15/01/24Svendborg v Vaerlose98-76
22/10/23Vaerlose v Svendborg79-83
29/12/22Svendborg v Vaerlose83-75
14/10/22Vaerlose v Svendborg78-76
04/03/22Vaerlose v Svendborg96-83
16/02/22Svendborg v Vaerlose97-82
09/01/22Svendborg v Vaerlose108-70
17/01/21Vaerlose v Svendborg79-89
03/10/20Svendborg v Vaerlose116-72
30/11/19Svendborg v Vaerlose82-96
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ABears Academy72-61
15/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-80
11/02/24ARanders80-79
03/02/24HBakken Bears76-98
25/01/24HHorsens78-99
15/01/24ASvendborg76-98
07/01/24HHerlev Wolfpack81-76
28/12/23HAmager91-89
17/12/23ACopenhagen84-85
09/12/23HTeam FOG Naestved95-99
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24AAmager123-94
07/02/24HHerlev Wolfpack117-87
01/02/24ATeam FOG Naestved76-86
29/01/24ARanders88-84
24/01/24HBristol Flyers63-86
17/01/24HSpartak Pleven83-77
15/01/24HVaerlose98-76
09/01/24ATartu Ulikool41-83
06/01/24ABakken Bears77-110
30/12/23HHolbaek-Stenhus115-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.384.578.1
Allowed / game85.986.685.2
Point differential-4.6-2.1-7.1
Avg total167.2171.1163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game92.198.086.2
Allowed / game80.882.379.4
Point differential+11.2+15.7+6.8
Avg total172.9180.3165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2118386%100.976.6+24.2
2 Horsens2118386%90.172.0+18.1
3 Svendborg2016480%92.180.8+11.2
4 Team FOG Naestved2116576%97.083.1+13.9
5 Randers2112957%94.587.2+7.3
6 Copenhagen21111052%82.979.8+3.0
7 Vaerlose20101050%81.385.9-4.6
8 Bears Academy2051525%74.885.0-10.2
9 Herlev Wolfpack2141719%75.692.7-17.1
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2131814%71.291.3-20.1
11 Amager211205%74.8100.8-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2318312395
Svendborg3117292198
← all games of the day
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