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Vaerlose vs Svendborg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game91.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game79.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vaerlose v Svendborg
03 Jan 2027
VAER v SVEN
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
VAER68
SVEN124
05 Jan 2025
VAER70
SVEN86
07 Mar 2024
VAER95
SVEN98
22 Oct 2023
VAER79
SVEN83
14 Oct 2022
VAER78
SVEN76
04 Mar 2022
VAER96
SVEN83
17 Jan 2021
VAER79
SVEN89
31 Oct 2019
VAER70
SVEN94
21 Oct 2018
VAER80
SVEN98
30 Dec 2014
VAER60
SVEN86
05 Mar 2014
VAER80
SVEN92
07 Nov 2013
VAER60
SVEN102
11 Mar 2013
VAER69
SVEN97
08 Nov 2012
VAER75
SVEN82
10 Oct 2012
VAER82
SVEN99
12 Mar 2012
VAER76
SVEN83
30 Nov 2011
VAER65
SVEN98
14 Mar 2011
VAER58
SVEN91
06 Feb 2011
VAER86
SVEN90
13 Oct 2010
VAER56
SVEN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 75
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
62avg 75
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
74avg 75
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 75
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
82-123
82
123
-41
71avg 75
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 75
H24/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
107-99 OT
107
99
+8
101avg 75
A30/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
62-95
62
95
-33
no box
H04/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H14/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-23
14-24
21-25
16-13
20-23
14-25
23-12
25-20
16-26
21-21
17-32
20-25
25-19
18-28
17-20
23-31
18-25
19-33
22-34
10-11
14-29
19-17
21-11
23-25
25-24
17-17
24-23
22-16
8-21
14-27
18-31
16-26
15-24
17-18
11-18
16-25
28-27
16-15
16-19
169.3Avg total
76.8Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.891.2169.0-13.418%
Season at home (5)73.892.2166.0-18.40%
Season away (6)81.290.3171.5-9.233%
Last 10 (10)76.892.5169.3-15.710%
Last 5 (5)73.686.8160.4-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.594.8167.4-22.38%
vs Similar (14)86.186.3172.4-0.264%
vs Weaker (3)87.096.0183.0-9.033%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
62avg 83
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
92avg 83
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
79avg 83
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
102-74
102
74
+28
107avg 83
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
92-70
92
70
+22
89avg 83
A07/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 83
A15/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
97-82
97
82
+15
103avg 83
H23/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
100avg 83
A31/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
H08/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
A12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
25-16
13-23
19-29
10-22
33-15
29-25
24-21
20-29
22-20
22-16
22-10
28-17
27-18
25-15
22-24
27-23
22-12
20-22
23-13
18-28
16-22
21-15
28-21
16-12
32-23
25-22
24-25
22-30
25-17
23-22
23-24
26-16
24-15
18-17
18-11
20-25
23-11
22-16
26-26
170.3Avg total
90.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.679.7170.3+10.980%
Season at home (5)88.276.4164.6+11.880%
Season away (5)93.083.0176.0+10.080%
Last 10 (10)90.679.7170.3+10.980%
Last 5 (5)92.080.6172.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.077.7161.7+6.367%
vs Similar (8)83.890.2174.0-6.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.676.4168.1+15.284%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
VaerloseSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H24/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A30/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H04/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H14/11
Basketligaen
82.8Avg total
37.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.646.084.6-7.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.045.982.9-8.920%-
Last 30 away (15)40.246.186.3-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.982.8-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.681.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.347.382.6-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)40.644.184.8-3.543%-
vs Weaker (3)43.349.092.3-5.733%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A31/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A12/11
Basketligaen
84.4Avg total
44.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.685.4+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.937.881.8+6.156%-
Last 30 away (14)45.943.889.6+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.584.4+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.884.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.041.777.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (8)43.444.187.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.838.985.8+7.963%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.3
53.8%
55.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.5
29.6%
31.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.713.7
63.1%
68.0%13.7
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.1
58.2%
55.2%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.1
30.6%
31.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.318.3
72.3%
68.0%18.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLWLLLLLL
Svendborg
WWWWLWWWWL
#11
League position
#4
-9.7
Net rating
+8.0
86.1
Offensive rating
97.2
95.7
Defensive rating
89.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
53.4%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.6%
3-point %
30.6%
61.7%
Assist %
62.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence86.1 · 97.2Defence95.7 · 89.2Shooting49.9% · 53.4%3-point %29.6% · 30.6%Ball care17.7% · 15.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vaerlose wins
10
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
08/11/26Svendborg v Vaerlose86-59
14/02/26Svendborg v Vaerlose100-69
09/10/25Vaerlose v Svendborg68-124
05/01/25Vaerlose v Svendborg70-86
10/10/24Svendborg v Vaerlose76-62
08/04/24Svendborg v Vaerlose88-83
07/03/24Vaerlose v Svendborg95-98
15/01/24Svendborg v Vaerlose98-76
22/10/23Vaerlose v Svendborg79-83
29/12/22Svendborg v Vaerlose83-75
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBears Academy76-86
08/11/26ASvendborg59-86
04/11/26HTeam FOG Naestved62-95
30/10/26ABMS Herlev107-99 OT
24/10/26HHolbaek-Stenhus64-68
18/10/26HBakken Bears82-123
08/10/26AVejen80-92
02/10/26AHorsens79-99
27/09/26HRanders85-89 OT
22/09/26ACopenhagen74-88
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ABMS Herlev91-78
08/11/26HVaerlose86-59
31/10/26ACopenhagen103-98 OT
23/10/26HBears Academy97-82
15/10/26ATeam FOG Naestved83-86
07/10/26AGladsaxe92-70
02/10/26HVejen102-74
26/09/26HHolbaek-Stenhus86-75
23/09/26ARanders96-83
17/09/26HHorsens70-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%0%33%
Points / game77.873.881.2
Allowed / game91.292.290.3
Point differential-13.4-18.4-9.2
Avg total169.0166.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %18%20%17%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game90.688.293.0
Allowed / game79.776.483.0
Point differential+10.9+11.8+10.0
Avg total170.3164.6176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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