Valencia vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 May 2016

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 75-65

19-17 20-14 15-17 21-17

Position#3

Record25-5

FormLWWWL

Points / game84.4

Allowed / game73.9

Valencia 🏆

Barcelona

Position#2

Record27-3

FormLLLWW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game70.1

ACBRound 31

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Valencia v Barcelona

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Barcelona winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

94-95

-1

H28/02

ACB

Fuenlabrada

86-81

A06/03

ACB

Manresa

#16

83-56

+27

H13/03

ACB

Estudiantes

#17

62-68

-6

H20/03

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

91-79

+12

A27/03

ACB

Real Betis

#11

82-92

-10

H03/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

84-68

+16

A10/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#18

121-79

121

+42

A17/04

ACB

Tenerife

#10

93-75

+18

H24/04

ACB

Murcia

62-80

-18

A01/05

ACB

28-24

26-20

25-26

15-25

18-15

19-22

26-21

23-23

27-17

25-15

15-12

16-12

17-24

20-13

11-17

14-14

20-12

21-23

26-24

24-20

18-22

19-22

20-20

25-28

16-19

21-23

27-16

20-10

28-19

32-26

36-21

25-13

26-9

15-20

29-16

23-30

23-17

22-19

9-23

8-21

163.1Avg total

85.8Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	84.4	73.9	158.3	+10.5	83%
Season at home (15)	82.7	69.7	152.5	+13.0	80%
Season away (15)	86.1	78.1	164.1	+8.0	87%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	77.3	163.1	+8.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	78.8	167.2	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	94.0	95.0	189.0	-1.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	83.5	85.0	168.5	-1.5	50%
vs Weaker (26)	81.8	72.8	154.7	+9.0	77%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Barcelona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

#22

66-59

A07/04

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

84-82

A09/04

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

61-66

-5

A13/04

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

92-66

+26

A15/04

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

82-70

+12

H19/04

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

80-92 OT

-12

H21/04

Euroleague

Real Madrid

86-91

-5

H24/04

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

67-81

-14

A26/04

Euroleague

Baskonia

89-68

+21

H29/04

ACB

Bilbao

77-55

+22

A01/05

ACB

16-16

12-18

21-14

17-11

28-14

15-22

23-28

18-18

19-17

14-10

20-23

8-16

24-19

24-12

23-18

21-17

19-23

23-13

19-14

21-20

19-21

16-19

19-11

22-25

26-17

26-26

19-20

15-28

21-26

18-24

23-8

5-23

17-6

20-24

27-20

25-18

19-12

13-15

16-16

29-12

151.4Avg total

78.4Scored

73.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	84.1	70.1	154.2	+14.0	90%
Season at home (15)	84.3	69.9	154.1	+14.4	87%
Season away (15)	83.9	70.3	154.2	+13.7	93%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	73.0	151.4	+5.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	77.4	157.2	+2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	100.0	98.0	198.0	+2.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	76.3	75.2	151.5	+1.1	36%
vs Weaker (14)	83.5	68.1	151.6	+15.4	100%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaBarcelona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	18.8	41.7	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	17.8	39.9	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	24.0	52.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	21.5	17.7	39.2	+3.7	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	16.8	36.5	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	16.9	36.6	+2.7	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	16.6	36.5	+3.2	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.1	37.9	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.0	15.3	35.3	+4.7	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	15.0	17.5	32.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.4	37.8	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.3	19.1	36.4	-1.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	14.0	40.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	36%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

54-44

+10

H28/02

ACB

Fuenlabrada

37-37

A06/03

ACB

Manresa

#16

52-32

+20

H13/03

ACB

Estudiantes

#17

37-37

H20/03

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

41-35

A27/03

ACB

Real Betis

#11

37-44

-7

H03/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

37-42

-5

A10/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#18

60-45

+15

A17/04

ACB

Tenerife

#10

41-29

+12

H24/04

ACB

Murcia

45-36

A01/05

ACB

82.2Avg total

44.1Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	37.4	79.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	37.3	81.3	+6.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	37.6	77.5	+2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	38.1	82.2	+6.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	39.2	83.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	54.0	44.0	98.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	35.0	38.5	73.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	42.1	36.9	79.0	+5.2	62%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

#22

28-34

-6

A07/04

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

43-36

A09/04

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

33-27

A13/04

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

48-31

+17

A15/04

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

42-36

H19/04

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

35-40

-5

H21/04

Euroleague

Real Madrid

52-43

H24/04

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

39-50

-11

A26/04

Euroleague

Baskonia

37-30

H29/04

ACB

Bilbao

32-27

A01/05

ACB

74.3Avg total

38.9Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	35.2	74.4	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.8	34.8	75.5	+6.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.2	35.7	72.8	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	35.4	74.3	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	38.0	77.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	38.0	85.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.8	35.6	74.4	+3.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.2	34.2	73.4	+5.0	71%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	16.2	36.9	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.2	43.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	26.0	51.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	16.5	18.0	34.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	21.3	17.6	39.0	+3.7	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	18.1	39.4	+3.3	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	16.8	35.9	+2.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.0	35.8	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	26.0	39.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.8	17.1	34.9	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.6	17.5	41.1	+6.1	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.1	37.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	19.3	36.5	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.9	39.1	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	26.0	24.0	50.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	18.4	18.3	36.7	+0.2	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	19.4	39.5	+0.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	16.6	35.3	+2.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	21.0	46.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	16.4	37.1	+4.2	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	37.0	76.8	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	35.5	73.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	38.4	80.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	39.2	80.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.6	84.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	51.0	91.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	42.5	42.0	84.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	39.8	35.9	75.7	+3.9	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	35.7	75.6	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.5	37.4	78.9	+4.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	33.5	71.2	+4.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	36.0	75.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	36.2	76.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	47.0	85.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.0	36.9	72.9	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	44.3	33.9	78.2	+10.4	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Barcelona wins

Date	Game	Score
24/01/16	Barcelona v Valencia	91-94 OT
22/03/15	Valencia v Barcelona	93-73
19/02/15	Barcelona v Valencia	85-80
16/11/14	Barcelona v Valencia	76-57
15/06/14	Valencia v Barcelona	75-77
12/06/14	Barcelona v Valencia	63-81
10/06/14	Barcelona v Valencia	70-74
07/06/14	Valencia v Barcelona	59-60
05/06/14	Valencia v Barcelona	58-77
08/02/14	Barcelona v Valencia	89-81

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/16	A	Murcia	62-80
24/04/16	H	Tenerife	93-75
17/04/16	A	Gipuzkoa	121-79
10/04/16	A	Gran Canaria	84-68
03/04/16	H	Real Betis	82-92
27/03/16	A	Obradoiro CAB	91-79
20/03/16	H	Estudiantes	62-68
13/03/16	H	Manresa	83-56
06/03/16	A	Fuenlabrada	86-81
28/02/16	H	Real Madrid	94-95

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/16	A	Bilbao	77-55
29/04/16	H	Baskonia	89-68
26/04/16	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	67-81
24/04/16	H	Real Madrid	86-91
21/04/16	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	80-92 OT
19/04/16	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	82-70
15/04/16	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	92-66
13/04/16	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	61-66
09/04/16	A	Fuenlabrada	84-82
07/04/16	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	66-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	83%
Home	LWLLW	80%
Away	WWWWL	87%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	83%	80%	87%
Points / game	84.4	82.7	86.1
Allowed / game	73.9	69.7	78.1
Point differential	+10.5	+13.0	+8.0
Avg total	158.3	152.5	164.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	60%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	0% (1)	100% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	13%

Barcelona

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	90%
Home	WWWLW	87%
Away	WWWWW	93%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	90%	87%	93%
Points / game	84.1	84.3	83.9
Allowed / game	70.1	69.9	70.3
Point differential	+14.0	+14.4	+13.7
Avg total	154.2	154.1	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	47%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	33% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	30	27	3	90%	84.1	70.1	+14.0
2	Real Madrid	31	26	5	84%	93.9	80.9	+13.0
3	Valencia	30	25	5	83%	84.4	73.9	+10.5
4	Baskonia	32	23	9	72%	88.0	79.1	+8.9
5	Gran Canaria	31	20	11	65%	82.5	78.6	+3.9
6	Unicaja	31	17	14	55%	77.3	74.8	+2.5
7	Fuenlabrada	31	17	14	55%	82.7	82.0	+0.6
8	Murcia	31	15	16	48%	79.0	79.3	-0.3
9	Bilbao	31	15	16	48%	78.4	81.1	-2.6
10	Tenerife	31	14	17	45%	77.5	80.3	-2.7
11	Real Betis	31	13	18	42%	77.3	84.0	-6.7
12	MoraBanc Andorra	31	12	19	39%	81.4	83.0	-1.7
13	Joventut Badalona	32	12	20	38%	76.9	82.1	-5.2
14	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	31	11	20	35%	80.0	81.9	-1.9
15	Manresa	31	10	21	32%	69.7	78.5	-8.7
16	Obradoiro CAB	31	9	22	29%	76.1	79.5	-3.3
17	Estudiantes	31	8	23	26%	75.8	82.6	-6.8
18	Gipuzkoa	31	5	26	16%	72.9	85.7	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	19	20	15	21	75
Barcelona	17	14	17	17	65

← all games of the day

Valencia vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature