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Valencia vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-81
24-15 22-18 23-25 24-23
Position#1
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SpainACBRound 1· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Valencia v Barcelona
25 Apr 2027
VAL v BAR
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
VAL v BAR
upcoming
20 Jun 2026
VAL102
BAR75
18 Jun 2026
VAL112
BAR113
19 Mar 2026
VAL62
BAR66
05 Oct 2025
VAL93
BAR81
09 Feb 2025
VAL86
BAR100
07 Mar 2024
VAL78
BAR88
29 Oct 2023
VAL71
BAR68
02 Jun 2023
VAL64
BAR87
23 Dec 2022
VAL84
BAR83
30 Oct 2022
VAL80
BAR92
05 Mar 2022
VAL86
BAR76
21 Mar 2021
VAL64
BAR80
13 Oct 2020
VAL66
BAR71
21 Oct 2018
VAL85
BAR86
19 May 2018
VAL70
BAR71
16 Jan 2018
VAL81
BAR76
27 May 2017
VAL67
BAR64
20 May 2017
VAL83
BAR61
16 Apr 2017
VAL76
BAR59
08 May 2016
VAL75
BAR65
22 Mar 2015
VAL93
BAR73
15 Jun 2014
VAL75
BAR77
07 Jun 2014
VAL59
BAR60
05 Jun 2014
VAL58
BAR77
02 Feb 2014
VAL95
BAR93
25 Nov 2012
VAL81
BAR78
01 Jun 2012
VAL73
BAR77
30 May 2012
VAL64
BAR80
13 Nov 2011
VAL68
BAR72
16 Oct 2010
VAL69
BAR78
25 Sep 2010
VAL63
BAR83
20 Feb 2010
VAL64
BAR72
23 Jan 2010
VAL60
BAR59
19 May 2009
VAL55
BAR81
25 Jan 2009
VAL61
BAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 91
H10/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
105-74
105
74
+31
105avg 91
H12/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
90avg 91
A14/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
56avg 91
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
86avg 91
A22/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 91
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 91
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
87avg 91
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
75avg 91
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-94
103
94
+9
100avg 91
H03/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
24-18
20-22
16-6
23-10
32-25
20-22
30-17
20-29
19-16
33-15
22-27
15-19
17-16
28-29
15-25
25-22
20-26
23-21
21-20
19-23
21-16
9-21
21-21
18-26
25-18
30-27
20-16
24-27
27-17
18-25
29-25
19-18
15-17
26-26
20-16
26-23
23-23
26-25
28-23
174.7Avg total
89.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.785.0174.7+4.770%
Last 5 (5)88.886.6175.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)82.592.0174.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)96.482.6179.0+13.884%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
92-93
92
93
-1
82avg 85
A08/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
98-72
98
72
+26
102avg 85
H11/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
98-110
98
110
-12
94avg 85
A18/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
97-74
97
74
+23
100avg 85
H25/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
85avg 85
A30/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
91avg 85
A03/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
59-81
59
81
-22
40avg 85
H06/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
86avg 85
A08/06
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
87-103
87
103
-16
82avg 85
A30/09
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
103-96
103
96
+7
102avg 85
A03/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
18-34
22-18
25-18
31-18
22-17
29-17
16-20
23-19
21-38
31-26
23-27
32-19
21-16
26-21
18-18
26-14
19-16
20-18
20-20
16-21
21-25
25-14
23-25
17-26
18-18
13-21
11-16
18-24
24-19
22-12
20-29
26-26
19-25
25-31
17-21
26-17
25-28
24-24
28-27
180.6Avg total
91.5Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.589.1180.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)89.094.8183.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)89.091.0180.0-2.00%
vs Similar (16)87.989.2177.1-1.450%
vs Weaker (13)95.985.3181.2+10.685%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
ValenciaBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H12/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A22/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H03/10
Euroleague
84.3Avg total
43.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.141.286.3+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.041.186.1+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)45.141.486.5+3.747%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.884.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.242.082.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.941.086.9+4.968%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A08/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H11/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A18/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A30/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H06/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A08/06
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A30/09
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A03/10
Euroleague
89.3Avg total
45.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.188.2+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.940.985.9+4.064%-
Last 30 away (16)45.444.990.3+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)45.044.389.3+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.887.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (16)43.443.787.1-0.338%-
vs Weaker (13)47.842.490.2+5.577%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.0
54.3%
50.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.5
34.5%
42.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.916.0
80.4%
74.7%16.0
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.0
51.5%
50.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.712.2
44.0%
42.2%36.6
🏀 Free throws19.815.7
79.3%
74.7%15.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWLLLWWW
Barcelona
WLLLWWWLWL
#1
League position
#5
+4.8
Net rating
+2.2
115.8
Offensive rating
116.3
111.0
Defensive rating
114.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
57.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.5%
3-point %
44.0%
57.7%
Assist %
56.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 116.3Defence111.0 · 114.1Shooting53.1% · 57.7%3-point %34.5% · 44.0%Ball care16.4% · 19.2%Off. rebounds34.1% · 33.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
8
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Valencia v Barcelona86-100
17/11/24Barcelona v Valencia102-99
07/03/24Valencia v Barcelona78-88
04/02/24Barcelona v Valencia76-79
17/11/23Barcelona v Valencia74-70
29/10/23Valencia v Barcelona71-68
02/06/23Valencia v Barcelona64-87
29/05/23Barcelona v Valencia84-74
14/04/23Barcelona v Valencia85-71
05/02/23Barcelona v Valencia81-75
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25HVirtus Bologna103-94
01/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne80-77
28/09/25AReal Madrid98-94
27/09/25AUnicaja93-87
25/06/25HReal Madrid70-81
22/06/25AReal Madrid96-102 OT
20/06/25AReal Madrid75-89
14/06/25ATenerife94-87
12/06/25HTenerife105-74
10/06/25HTenerife83-65
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25APanathinaikos103-96
30/09/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv87-103
08/06/25AUnicaja95-97 OT
06/06/25HUnicaja59-81
03/06/25AUnicaja101-97 OT
30/05/25ABilbao85-68
25/05/25HBasquet Girona97-74
18/05/25ABaskonia98-110
11/05/25HForca Lleida98-72
08/05/25ALeyma Coruna92-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Barcelona
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia110100%95.064.0+31.0
2 Basket Zaragoza110100%107.088.0+19.0
3 Forca Lleida110100%87.068.0+19.0
4 San Pablo Burgos110100%97.079.0+18.0
5 Unicaja110100%86.068.0+18.0
6 Joventut Badalona110100%87.075.0+12.0
7 Tenerife110100%104.093.0+11.0
8 Real Madrid110100%81.071.0+10.0
9 Gran Canaria1010%71.081.0-10.0
10 Manresa1010%93.0104.0-11.0
11 Granada1010%75.087.0-12.0
12 Basquet Girona1010%79.097.0-18.0
13 Bilbao1010%68.086.0-18.0
14 Baskonia1010%88.0107.0-19.0
15 Breogan1010%68.087.0-19.0
16 MoraBanc Andorra1010%64.095.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2422232493
Barcelona1518252381
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