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Valencia vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-88
18-18 24-19 15-22 21-29
Position#14
Record13-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#5
Record18-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Barcelona
25 Apr 2027
VAL v BAR
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
VAL v BAR
upcoming
20 Jun 2026
VAL102
BAR75
18 Jun 2026
VAL112
BAR113
19 Mar 2026
VAL62
BAR66
05 Oct 2025
VAL93
BAR81
09 Feb 2025
VAL86
BAR100
07 Mar 2024
VAL78
BAR88
29 Oct 2023
VAL71
BAR68
02 Jun 2023
VAL64
BAR87
23 Dec 2022
VAL84
BAR83
30 Oct 2022
VAL80
BAR92
05 Mar 2022
VAL86
BAR76
21 Mar 2021
VAL64
BAR80
13 Oct 2020
VAL66
BAR71
21 Oct 2018
VAL85
BAR86
19 May 2018
VAL70
BAR71
16 Jan 2018
VAL81
BAR76
27 May 2017
VAL67
BAR64
20 May 2017
VAL83
BAR61
16 Apr 2017
VAL76
BAR59
08 May 2016
VAL75
BAR65
22 Mar 2015
VAL93
BAR73
15 Jun 2014
VAL75
BAR77
07 Jun 2014
VAL59
BAR60
05 Jun 2014
VAL58
BAR77
02 Feb 2014
VAL95
BAR93
25 Nov 2012
VAL81
BAR78
01 Jun 2012
VAL73
BAR77
30 May 2012
VAL64
BAR80
13 Nov 2011
VAL68
BAR72
16 Oct 2010
VAL69
BAR78
25 Sep 2010
VAL63
BAR83
20 Feb 2010
VAL64
BAR72
23 Jan 2010
VAL60
BAR59
19 May 2009
VAL55
BAR81
25 Jan 2009
VAL61
BAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
50avg 71
H28/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
64-82
64
82
-18
52avg 71
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
81-66
81
66
+15
80avg 71
A01/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
68avg 71
A04/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
62avg 71
H08/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
78-93
78
93
-15
75avg 71
A11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 71
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
69avg 71
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
111-93
111
93
+18
103avg 71
H03/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-19
18-22
17-16
21-26
12-11
18-28
19-22
15-21
20-15
22-15
23-15
16-21
19-19
19-21
22-18
19-18
19-21
20-19
9-20
17-18
18-28
15-14
25-28
20-23
17-18
15-17
16-19
29-23
17-23
22-25
16-32
21-15
20-18
12-26
25-21
17-22
25-25
28-31
27-20
31-17
161.4Avg total
78.0Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.076.4152.4-0.448%
Season at home (14)77.977.0154.9+0.957%
Season away (13)74.075.8149.8-1.838%
Last 10 (10)78.083.4161.4-5.440%
Last 5 (5)85.689.8175.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.681.9154.4-9.314%
vs Similar (15)79.577.3156.9+2.260%
vs Weaker (7)85.381.9167.1+3.457%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
84-57
84
57
+27
82avg 81
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 81
A02/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 81
H04/02
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
93-77
93
77
+16
93avg 81
H09/02
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
87-77
87
77
+10
88avg 81
A11/02
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
102-91
102
91
+11
95avg 81
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
108-76
108
76
+32
113avg 81
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
85-96
85
96
-11
62avg 81
A18/02
Spanish Cup
Monaco
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 81
H01/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
109-68
109
68
+41
114avg 81
H03/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
21-10
20-17
23-13
18-17
27-15
19-19
21-25
19-19
21-19
18-22
18-19
31-26
20-13
29-12
13-26
27-19
20-19
17-23
23-16
22-23
28-20
24-28
28-20
14-16
40-8
24-24
30-28
19-19
26-24
18-23
22-30
21-12
14-21
16-27
16-17
21-16
29-18
29-20
30-14
167.0Avg total
89.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.478.4160.8+4.067%
Season at home (15)86.576.3162.8+10.387%
Season away (12)77.281.1158.2-3.942%
Last 10 (10)89.677.4167.0+12.270%
Last 5 (5)94.281.6175.8+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.084.5161.5-7.550%
vs Similar (13)80.682.5163.2-1.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.477.5167.9+12.971%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
ValenciaBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H28/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A01/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H03/03
ACB
77.8Avg total
36.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.577.7-1.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.682.3-2.920%-
Last 30 away (15)36.736.373.1+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)36.341.577.8-5.210%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.082.8-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.039.776.7-2.729%-
vs Similar (15)38.438.576.9-0.147%-
vs Weaker (7)40.042.082.0-2.014%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A02/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/02
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H09/02
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A11/02
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A18/02
Spanish Cup
Monaco
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H01/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/03
ACB
80.9Avg total
45.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.982.7+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.438.882.2+4.671%-
Last 30 away (13)41.841.483.2+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)45.835.180.9+10.7100%-
Last 5 (5)46.835.482.2+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.047.588.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (13)40.742.483.1-1.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.436.480.7+8.079%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.6
49.9%
53.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.7
33.5%
36.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.215.5
76.7%
77.4%15.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.425.3
58.3%
53.4%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.5
38.3%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.512.9
73.7%
77.4%12.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWLLWWLL
Barcelona
WLLWWWWLWW
#14
League position
#5
-7.0
Net rating
+17.1
104.0
Offensive rating
117.1
110.9
Defensive rating
100.0
50.0%
Effective FG%
58.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.5%
3-point %
38.3%
65.4%
Assist %
55.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 117.1Defence110.9 · 100.0Shooting50.0% · 58.0%3-point %33.5% · 38.3%Ball care18.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds28.2% · 33.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Barcelona v Valencia76-79
17/11/23Barcelona v Valencia74-70
29/10/23Valencia v Barcelona71-68
02/06/23Valencia v Barcelona64-87
29/05/23Barcelona v Valencia84-74
14/04/23Barcelona v Valencia85-71
05/02/23Barcelona v Valencia81-75
23/12/22Valencia v Barcelona84-83
30/10/22Valencia v Barcelona80-92
05/03/22Valencia v Barcelona86-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HPalencia111-93
29/02/24AVirtus Bologna74-87
17/02/24AReal Madrid76-95
15/02/24AGran Canaria89-81 OT
11/02/24ABilbao78-93
08/02/24HOlympiacos65-78
04/02/24ABarcelona79-76
01/02/24AAlba Berlin81-66
30/01/24ACrvena zvezda64-82
28/01/24HUnicaja63-83
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HBasket Zaragoza109-68
01/03/24HMonaco67-77
18/02/24AReal Madrid85-96
17/02/24HTenerife108-76
16/02/24HManresa102-91
11/02/24AManresa87-77
09/02/24HAlba Berlin93-77
04/02/24HValencia76-79
02/02/24ACrvena zvezda85-76
31/01/24HVirtus Bologna84-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%57%38%
Points / game76.077.974.0
Allowed / game76.477.075.8
Point differential-0.4+0.9-1.8
Avg total152.4154.9149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%7%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %67%87%42%
Points / game82.486.577.2
Allowed / game78.476.381.1
Point differential+4.0+10.3-3.9
Avg total160.8162.8158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)80% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2722581%88.980.5+8.4
2 Barcelona2718967%82.478.4+4.0
3 Monaco28181064%81.878.6+3.1
4 Panathinaikos27171063%81.477.7+3.7
5 Virtus Bologna27171063%80.780.9-0.2
6 Olympiacos27161159%79.375.3+4.0
7 Fenerbahce27161159%83.781.4+2.2
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv28151354%87.087.4-0.4
9 Baskonia27141352%83.884.5-0.7
10 Partizan27131448%83.683.9-0.2
11 Valencia27131448%76.076.4-0.4
12 Anadolu Efes28121643%85.787.9-2.2
13 Bayern28121643%79.682.7-3.1
14 Olimpia Milano27111641%76.976.8+0.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas28111739%80.081.3-1.4
16 Crvena zvezda28101836%81.481.2+0.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2762122%78.485.8-7.4
18 Alba Berlin2752219%75.985.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1824152178
Barcelona1819222988
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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