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Valencia vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 71-68
18-19 27-14 13-16 13-19
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game81.7
SpainACBRound 7· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Valencia v Barcelona
25 Apr 2027
VAL v BAR
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
VAL v BAR
upcoming
20 Jun 2026
VAL102
BAR75
18 Jun 2026
VAL112
BAR113
19 Mar 2026
VAL62
BAR66
05 Oct 2025
VAL93
BAR81
09 Feb 2025
VAL86
BAR100
07 Mar 2024
VAL78
BAR88
29 Oct 2023
VAL71
BAR68
02 Jun 2023
VAL64
BAR87
23 Dec 2022
VAL84
BAR83
30 Oct 2022
VAL80
BAR92
05 Mar 2022
VAL86
BAR76
21 Mar 2021
VAL64
BAR80
13 Oct 2020
VAL66
BAR71
21 Oct 2018
VAL85
BAR86
19 May 2018
VAL70
BAR71
16 Jan 2018
VAL81
BAR76
27 May 2017
VAL67
BAR64
20 May 2017
VAL83
BAR61
16 Apr 2017
VAL76
BAR59
08 May 2016
VAL75
BAR65
22 Mar 2015
VAL93
BAR73
15 Jun 2014
VAL75
BAR77
07 Jun 2014
VAL59
BAR60
05 Jun 2014
VAL58
BAR77
02 Feb 2014
VAL95
BAR93
25 Nov 2012
VAL81
BAR78
01 Jun 2012
VAL73
BAR77
30 May 2012
VAL64
BAR80
13 Nov 2011
VAL68
BAR72
16 Oct 2010
VAL69
BAR78
25 Sep 2010
VAL63
BAR83
20 Feb 2010
VAL64
BAR72
23 Jan 2010
VAL60
BAR59
19 May 2009
VAL55
BAR81
25 Jan 2009
VAL61
BAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 74
A27/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 74
A30/09
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
67avg 74
H06/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 74
H08/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 74
H13/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
61-59
61
59
+2
56avg 74
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
75avg 74
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
69avg 74
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 74
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 74
A27/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
28-13
24-21
23-27
21-26
16-12
21-17
24-21
17-20
22-18
14-13
17-14
21-20
14-16
23-18
27-25
22-9
17-24
19-20
19-21
11-15
13-6
16-20
21-18
18-17
15-12
17-15
25-22
15-18
25-20
13-19
20-20
22-15
19-23
22-20
21-21
20-12
32-18
20-23
15-19
152.1Avg total
78.8Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.878.0159.8+3.883%
Season at home (3)84.782.3167.0+2.367%
Season away (3)79.073.7152.7+5.3100%
Last 10 (10)78.873.3152.1+5.590%
Last 5 (5)76.070.6146.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.179.1153.2-5.040%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.882.8163.5-2.046%
vs Weaker (7)81.977.4159.3+4.471%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
no box
A29/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
69avg 80
A01/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 80
H05/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
91-87
91
87
+4
86avg 80
H08/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
77-68
77
68
+9
80avg 80
A13/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
76avg 80
A15/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
92-83
92
83
+9
92avg 80
A17/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
98-59
98
59
+39
98avg 80
H20/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
91-82
91
82
+9
77avg 80
H22/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
64-65
64
65
-1
54avg 80
A26/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
15-7
16-23
22-24
13-14
20-23
17-22
29-27
22-19
18-15
29-30
22-10
16-24
21-23
27-18
27-22
23-16
17-18
16-20
21-14
18-14
14-23
24-22
27-14
23-16
21-18
25-26
23-23
27-11
16-16
27-13
28-19
21-19
26-20
22-18
22-25
19-12
11-16
11-23
23-14
161.0Avg total
85.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.281.7168.8+5.583%
Season at home (3)92.382.7175.0+9.7100%
Season away (3)82.080.7162.7+1.367%
Last 10 (10)85.076.0161.0+9.080%
Last 5 (5)85.672.4158.0+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.575.5147.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.479.7164.1+4.779%
vs Weaker (13)89.473.1162.5+16.3100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +5.2+5.2
ValenciaBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A27/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A30/09
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H13/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A27/10
Euroleague
72.6Avg total
38.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.278.4+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.238.376.5-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.240.180.3+0.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.733.972.6+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.269.2+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.839.676.4-2.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.240.882.9+1.454%-
vs Weaker (7)37.135.772.9+1.443%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A29/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A01/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H05/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H08/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A15/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H20/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H22/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A26/10
Euroleague
72.2Avg total
38.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.076.3+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.537.279.8+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)37.734.672.4+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.272.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.072.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.532.564.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.639.179.6+1.550%-
vs Weaker (13)41.332.874.2+8.592%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.7
51.3%
53.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.97.6
40.2%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.415.6
76.5%
75.6%15.6
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.3
53.0%
53.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.7
42.6%
34.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.612.4
70.5%
75.6%12.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLWWWWWWW
Barcelona
LWWWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#3
+7.4
Net rating
+14.6
108.5
Offensive rating
118.7
101.1
Defensive rating
104.0
54.3%
Effective FG%
57.3%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.2%
3-point %
42.6%
61.2%
Assist %
61.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 118.7Defence101.1 · 104.0Shooting54.3% · 57.3%3-point %40.2% · 42.6%Ball care20.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.7% · 33.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
7
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
02/06/23Valencia v Barcelona64-87
29/05/23Barcelona v Valencia84-74
14/04/23Barcelona v Valencia85-71
05/02/23Barcelona v Valencia81-75
23/12/22Valencia v Barcelona84-83
30/10/22Valencia v Barcelona80-92
05/03/22Valencia v Barcelona86-76
14/11/21Barcelona v Valencia79-87
11/09/21Barcelona v Valencia87-68
21/03/21Valencia v Barcelona64-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas87-72
22/10/23HManresa84-79
20/10/23AAnadolu Efes73-77
18/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv75-66
15/10/23ABreogan61-59
13/10/23HFenerbahce77-74
08/10/23HObradoiro CAB85-79
06/10/23HMonaco70-65
30/09/23AUnicaja82-76
27/09/23ATenerife94-86
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23AReal Madrid64-65
22/10/23HBilbao91-82
20/10/23HBayern98-59
17/10/23APartizan92-83
15/10/23AGran Canaria83-73
13/10/23AOlympiacos77-68
08/10/23HMoraBanc Andorra91-87
05/10/23HAnadolu Efes91-74
01/10/23AReal Madrid79-86
29/09/23APalencia84-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game81.884.779.0
Allowed / game78.082.373.7
Point differential+3.8+2.3+5.3
Avg total159.8167.0152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game87.292.382.0
Allowed / game81.782.780.7
Point differential+5.5+9.7+1.3
Avg total168.8175.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%93.378.1+15.1
2 Barcelona65183%87.281.7+5.5
3 Valencia65183%81.878.0+3.8
4 Unicaja74357%89.782.6+7.1
5 Murcia74357%86.182.7+3.4
6 MoraBanc Andorra74357%83.081.4+1.6
7 Basquet Girona74357%82.981.9+1.0
8 Baskonia74357%83.382.6+0.7
9 Bilbao74357%84.484.0+0.4
10 Manresa74357%87.387.1+0.1
11 Obradoiro CAB73443%82.079.6+2.4
12 Tenerife73443%80.984.9-4.0
13 Joventut Badalona73443%83.991.3-7.4
14 Gran Canaria73443%77.385.1-7.9
15 Basket Zaragoza72529%82.985.7-2.9
16 Granada71614%86.990.9-4.0
17 Breogan71614%71.778.6-6.9
18 Palencia71614%74.781.7-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1827131371
Barcelona1914161968
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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