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Valencia vs Barcelona Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:45
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game88.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27· Roig Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Valencia v Barcelona
25 Apr 2027
VAL v BAR
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
VAL v BAR
upcoming
20 Jun 2026
VAL102
BAR75
18 Jun 2026
VAL112
BAR113
19 Mar 2026
VAL62
BAR66
05 Oct 2025
VAL93
BAR81
09 Feb 2025
VAL86
BAR100
07 Mar 2024
VAL78
BAR88
29 Oct 2023
VAL71
BAR68
02 Jun 2023
VAL64
BAR87
23 Dec 2022
VAL84
BAR83
30 Oct 2022
VAL80
BAR92
05 Mar 2022
VAL86
BAR76
21 Mar 2021
VAL64
BAR80
13 Oct 2020
VAL66
BAR71
21 Oct 2018
VAL85
BAR86
19 May 2018
VAL70
BAR71
16 Jan 2018
VAL81
BAR76
27 May 2017
VAL67
BAR64
20 May 2017
VAL83
BAR61
16 Apr 2017
VAL76
BAR59
08 May 2016
VAL75
BAR65
22 Mar 2015
VAL93
BAR73
15 Jun 2014
VAL75
BAR77
07 Jun 2014
VAL59
BAR60
05 Jun 2014
VAL58
BAR77
02 Feb 2014
VAL95
BAR93
25 Nov 2012
VAL81
BAR78
01 Jun 2012
VAL73
BAR77
30 May 2012
VAL64
BAR80
13 Nov 2011
VAL68
BAR72
16 Oct 2010
VAL69
BAR78
25 Sep 2010
VAL63
BAR83
20 Feb 2010
VAL64
BAR72
23 Jan 2010
VAL60
BAR59
19 May 2009
VAL55
BAR81
25 Jan 2009
VAL61
BAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 95
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 95
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 95
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#12
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 95
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 95
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 95
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 95
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
183.9Avg total
96.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.889.1184.9+6.770%
Season at home (5)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Season away (5)96.690.0186.6+6.680%
Last 10 (10)96.487.5183.9+8.970%
Last 5 (5)95.084.2179.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)90.088.4178.4+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)98.987.4186.3+11.580%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
90-87
90
87
+3
90avg 83
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
92avg 83
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 83
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 83
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 83
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#17
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 83
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 83
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
19-21
27-25
27-18
20-26
23-20
16-20
30-30
30-21
185.2Avg total
93.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.088.7179.7+2.370%
Season at home (5)91.691.2182.8+0.460%
Season away (5)90.486.2176.6+4.280%
Last 10 (10)93.791.5185.2+2.280%
Last 5 (5)94.089.6183.6+4.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)88.098.9186.9-10.943%
vs Similar (11)92.589.5182.1+3.055%
vs Weaker (12)95.786.8182.4+8.992%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
ValenciaBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#12
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
87.4Avg total
46.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.341.889.1+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.441.090.4+8.473%-
Last 30 away (15)45.142.687.7+2.573%-
Last 10 (10)46.840.687.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.480.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)47.839.287.0+8.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.242.389.5+4.872%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#17
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/11
ACB
89.1Avg total
43.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.986.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.183.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.788.5+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.289.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.044.682.6-6.614%-
vs Similar (11)44.244.288.4+0.036%-
vs Weaker (12)45.640.886.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.6
55.4%
55.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
77.1%15.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
77.1%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLWWWWLL
Barcelona
WWWWWWWLLW
#3
League position
#6
+7.0
Net rating
-0.3
106.7
Offensive rating
104.9
99.7
Defensive rating
105.3
54.5%
Effective FG%
58.1%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
8.7%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
39.2%
52.5%
Assist %
50.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 104.9Defence99.7 · 105.3Shooting54.5% · 58.1%3-point %35.4% · 39.2%Ball care8.7% · 14.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
30/10/26Barcelona v Valencia98-94
11/10/26Barcelona v Valencia89-86
24/06/26Barcelona v Valencia84-108
22/06/26Barcelona v Valencia80-88
20/06/26Valencia v Barcelona102-75
18/06/26Valencia v Barcelona112-113 OT
31/05/26Barcelona v Valencia77-102
19/03/26Valencia v Barcelona62-66
10/10/25Barcelona v Valencia108-102
05/10/25Valencia v Barcelona93-81
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBreogan99-91
05/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-90
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game95.895.096.6
Allowed / game89.188.290.0
Point differential+6.7+6.8+6.6
Avg total184.9183.2186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game91.091.690.4
Allowed / game88.791.286.2
Point differential+2.3+0.4+4.2
Avg total179.7182.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
6 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
13 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
14 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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