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Valencia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-71
32-23 19-22 18-13 16-13
Position#4
Record8-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#17
Record6-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game75.5
SpainACBRound 19
Domestic2011-12
Meetings · Valencia v Estudiantes
02 May 2021
VAL100
EST89
12 May 2019
VAL90
EST82
13 May 2018
VAL93
EST69
15 Jan 2017
VAL93
EST85
20 Mar 2016
VAL62
EST68
26 Oct 2014
VAL84
EST67
27 Dec 2013
VAL96
EST84
09 Mar 2013
VAL81
EST71
08 Feb 2013
VAL77
EST59
28 Jan 2012
VAL85
EST71
16 Jan 2011
VAL66
EST74
18 Feb 2010
VAL75
EST73
11 Oct 2009
VAL80
EST68
19 Oct 2008
VAL96
EST73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H13/12
Eurocup
Real Betis
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H17/12
ACB
Oostende
#13
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A20/12
Eurocup
Baloncesto Valladolid
#18
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A29/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H04/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A08/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#16
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H14/01
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#21
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A17/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#11
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A22/01
ACB
VEF Riga
#17
W
80-49
80
49
+31
H24/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
26-16
18-18
29-36
21-24
18-17
21-18
20-25
22-20
16-20
22-22
23-25
16-28
20-18
12-16
17-12
18-28
22-27
22-3
15-13
24-15
13-11
17-14
17-23
19-18
11-22
19-21
20-15
15-14
27-10
14-19
13-20
14-24
9-18
22-17
28-22
25-10
24-7
21-13
10-19
149.9Avg total
76.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.374.0148.3+0.347%
Season at home (8)74.171.0145.1+3.150%
Season away (9)74.476.7151.1-2.244%
Last 10 (10)76.373.6149.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)72.466.4138.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.076.5142.5-10.50%
vs Similar (7)76.478.1154.6-1.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)76.870.7147.5+6.167%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
54-74
54
74
-20
H20/11
ACB
Bilbao
#6
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A27/11
ACB
Unicaja
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H04/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H11/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#14
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A18/12
ACB
Murcia
#13
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A28/12
ACB
Baloncesto Valladolid
#18
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H03/01
ACB
Manresa
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H08/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A15/01
ACB
Alicante
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H22/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
18-15
12-14
13-26
15-15
13-27
20-19
18-11
18-23
20-18
15-15
22-28
16-29
22-16
23-18
29-22
18-8
12-13
12-22
16-18
20-23
27-21
11-23
17-21
14-18
18-13
20-11
17-20
17-14
17-24
15-10
27-22
21-21
7-22
16-17
21-13
17-15
20-22
16-18
15-21
144.1Avg total
69.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.275.5143.6-7.335%
Season at home (9)70.271.2141.4-1.067%
Season away (8)65.980.2146.1-14.40%
Last 10 (10)69.674.5144.1-4.930%
Last 5 (5)70.673.8144.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.279.1144.3-13.825%
vs Similar (15)74.977.3152.3-2.433%
vs Weaker (3)74.370.3144.7+4.067%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
ValenciaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H13/12
Eurocup
Real Betis
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/12
ACB
Oostende
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/12
Eurocup
Baloncesto Valladolid
#18
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#14
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H04/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A08/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H14/01
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#21
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A17/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#11
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A22/01
ACB
VEF Riga
#17
W
49-17
49
17
+32
H24/01
Eurocup
74.8Avg total
38.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.373.9+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.435.374.6+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)36.137.273.2-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.574.8+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.866.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.537.567.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (7)37.941.379.1-3.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.334.572.8+3.857%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/11
ACB
Bilbao
#6
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A27/11
ACB
Unicaja
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H04/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A18/12
ACB
Murcia
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A28/12
ACB
Baloncesto Valladolid
#18
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H03/01
ACB
Manresa
#12
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H08/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A15/01
ACB
Alicante
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/01
ACB
71.7Avg total
34.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.839.475.2-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.537.674.1-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)35.041.476.4-6.436%-
Last 10 (10)34.137.671.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.674.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.541.473.9-8.917%-
vs Similar (15)37.838.776.5-0.947%-
vs Weaker (3)39.034.373.3+4.7100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
3
Estudiantes wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/12HVEF Riga80-49
22/01/12AJoventut Badalona73-81
17/01/12AGravelines-Dunkerque69-63
14/01/12HFuenlabrada69-76
08/01/12AGran Canaria71-63
04/01/12HObradoiro CAB77-71
29/12/11ABaloncesto Valladolid65-74
20/12/11AOostende83-87
17/12/11HReal Betis80-84
13/12/11HLyon-Villeurbanne96-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/12HAlicante68-76
15/01/12AGran Canaria65-73
08/01/12HManresa76-70
03/01/12HBaloncesto Valladolid69-62
28/12/11AMurcia75-88
18/12/11AObradoiro CAB58-61
11/12/11HReal Madrid90-85
04/12/11HUnicaja75-84
27/11/11ABilbao66-72
20/11/11HBaskonia54-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game74.374.174.4
Allowed / game74.071.076.7
Point differential+0.3+3.1-2.2
Avg total148.3145.1151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Estudiantes
ACB 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL35%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%67%0%
Points / game68.270.265.9
Allowed / game75.571.280.2
Point differential-7.3-1.0-14.4
Avg total143.6141.4146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1714382%83.172.2+10.9
2 Barcelona1714382%74.364.5+9.8
3 Baskonia1712571%72.167.6+4.5
4 Alicante1712571%71.371.2+0.1
5 Unicaja1812667%77.874.1+3.7
6 Real Betis1710759%75.671.9+3.6
7 Fuenlabrada179853%73.474.3-0.9
8 Gipuzkoa178947%78.676.1+2.5
9 Valencia178947%74.374.0+0.3
10 Bilbao178947%77.177.0+0.1
11 Tecnyconta Zaragoza178947%72.973.6-0.7
12 Manresa178947%71.572.8-1.2
13 Gran Canaria1871139%66.168.4-2.3
14 Joventut Badalona1761135%72.277.6-5.4
15 Estudiantes1761135%68.275.5-7.3
16 Obradoiro CAB1741324%69.373.8-4.5
17 Murcia1741324%69.475.4-5.9
18 Baloncesto Valladolid1741324%69.777.0-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia3219181685
Estudiantes2322131371
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