Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 88-75

23-20 21-27 23-11 21-17

Position#13

Record3-9

FormLWLLL

Points / game66.2

Allowed / game71.3

Murcia 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#17

Record4-8

FormLLLWL

Points / game67.2

Allowed / game76.2

ACBRound 13

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Murcia v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

#15

54-66

-12

A16/10

ACB

Real Betis

65-58

H23/10

ACB

Bilbao

80-95

-15

A30/10

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

69-63

H06/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

59-67

-8

A13/11

ACB

Valencia

83-86 OT

-3

H20/11

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

76-65

+11

A26/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

60-85

-25

H04/12

ACB

Baskonia

67-75

-8

H11/12

ACB

Alicante

62-63

-1

A18/12

ACB

12-22

22-17

6-11

14-16

11-19

14-17

18-5

22-17

13-25

14-28

22-24

31-18

14-17

26-17

13-14

16-15

13-21

21-16

13-13

12-17

23-16

13-19

19-19

16-17

21-12

14-20

20-15

21-18

20-18

12-14

11-25

17-28

23-19

19-12

11-23

14-21

21-17

17-15

14-17

10-14

139.8Avg total

67.5Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	66.2	71.3	137.5	-5.2	25%
Season at home (6)	66.3	71.5	137.8	-5.2	33%
Season away (6)	66.0	71.2	137.2	-5.2	17%
Last 10 (10)	67.5	72.3	139.8	-4.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	74.8	144.4	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	68.0	74.3	142.3	-6.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	66.0	73.1	139.1	-7.1	22%
vs Weaker (18)	86.6	71.6	158.2	+15.0	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#16

80-88

-8

A16/10

ACB

Gipuzkoa

62-58

H22/10

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

71-74

-3

A29/10

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

67-63 OT

H06/11

ACB

Real Betis

61-89

-28

A12/11

ACB

Baskonia

54-74

-20

H20/11

ACB

Bilbao

66-72

-6

A27/11

ACB

Unicaja

75-84

-9

H04/12

ACB

Real Madrid

90-85

H11/12

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

58-61

-3

A18/12

ACB

13-27

22-16

26-28

19-17

8-19

12-17

21-13

21-9

20-21

17-22

18-16

16-15

14-17

12-11

14-16

16-12

16-20

14-33

13-17

18-19

11-19

18-15

12-14

13-26

15-15

13-27

20-19

18-11

18-23

20-18

15-15

22-28

16-29

22-16

23-18

29-22

18-8

12-13

12-22

16-18

143.2Avg total

68.4Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	67.2	76.2	143.3	-9.0	33%
Season at home (6)	69.8	72.2	142.0	-2.3	67%
Season away (6)	64.5	80.2	144.7	-15.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.4	74.8	143.2	-6.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	68.6	75.2	143.8	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	66.2	78.3	144.5	-12.1	31%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	77.8	78.3	156.1	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker (3)	74.3	70.3	144.7	+4.0	67%

This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MurciaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.5	36.9	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.4	38.0	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	15.7	19.6	35.2	-3.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.1	18.6	39.6	+2.5	61%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	19.8	34.7	-4.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	18.8	34.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.3	21.1	37.4	-4.8	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	16.7	37.3	+4.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	16.9	36.0	+2.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	16.0	33.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	17.7	38.5	+3.0	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.5	34.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	16.0	31.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	16.0	30.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.6	16.9	37.6	+3.7	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.3	36.7	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	17.9	35.8	-0.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.8	34.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.7	67%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

#15

34-39

-5

A16/10

ACB

Real Betis

25-36

-11

H23/10

ACB

Bilbao

27-53

-26

A30/10

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

40-34

H06/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

34-37

-3

A13/11

ACB

Valencia

36-35

H20/11

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

35-32

A26/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

32-32

H04/12

ACB

Baskonia

42-31

+11

H11/12

ACB

Alicante

38-32

A18/12

ACB

70.4Avg total

34.3Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	35.6	74.1	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	35.0	72.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	36.3	75.3	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	36.1	70.4	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	32.4	69.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.3	33.7	68.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	33.4	36.6	70.0	-3.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.7	35.5	77.2	+6.2	78%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#16

35-43

-8

A16/10

ACB

Gipuzkoa

20-36

-16

H22/10

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

37-43

-6

A29/10

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

26-28

-2

H06/11

ACB

Real Betis

30-53

-23

A12/11

ACB

Baskonia

29-34

-5

H20/11

ACB

Bilbao

28-42

-14

A27/11

ACB

Unicaja

38-41

-3

H04/12

ACB

Real Madrid

38-45

-7

H11/12

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

30-21

A18/12

ACB

69.7Avg total

31.1Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	39.5	75.9	-3.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.4	37.9	75.3	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.3	41.4	76.6	-6.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.1	38.6	69.7	-7.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	36.6	69.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	32.7	40.8	73.5	-8.2	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.3	39.4	78.7	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.0	34.3	73.3	+4.7	100%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	16.5	36.7	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.7	16.6	31.3	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	19.8	34.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	18.3	33.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	14.8	18.4	33.2	-3.7	11%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.3	17.5	40.8	+5.8	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	19.2	36.1	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	17.4	35.9	+1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.2	21.2	36.4	-6.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.6	34.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-2.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	14.3	19.3	33.7	-5.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	16.9	36.3	+2.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	17.3	32.0	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.1	18.1	39.1	+3.0	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.5	37.3	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	17.6	35.0	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	18.8	35.7	-2.0	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	16.7	37.7	+4.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	35.9	75.2	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	35.5	75.3	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	36.2	75.1	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.0	34.7	66.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	39.4	70.0	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	29.7	35.7	65.3	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	32.6	36.6	69.1	-4.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (18)	44.3	35.6	79.9	+8.8	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	37.7	73.4	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.4	36.8	75.1	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.6	38.9	71.4	-6.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	35.5	71.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	38.6	74.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	33.5	37.5	71.0	-3.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.7	38.4	76.1	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	35.3	36.0	71.3	-0.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Murcia wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
24/04/10	Estudiantes v Murcia	75-64
29/11/09	Murcia v Estudiantes	83-89
25/01/09	Murcia v Estudiantes	78-99
11/10/08	Estudiantes v Murcia	93-66

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/12/11	A	Alicante	62-63
11/12/11	H	Baskonia	67-75
04/12/11	H	Obradoiro CAB	60-85
26/11/11	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	76-65
20/11/11	H	Valencia	83-86 OT
13/11/11	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	59-67
06/11/11	H	Fuenlabrada	69-63
30/10/11	A	Bilbao	80-95
23/10/11	H	Real Betis	65-58
16/10/11	A	Gran Canaria	54-66

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/12/11	A	Obradoiro CAB	58-61
11/12/11	H	Real Madrid	90-85
04/12/11	H	Unicaja	75-84
27/11/11	A	Bilbao	66-72
20/11/11	H	Baskonia	54-74
12/11/11	A	Real Betis	61-89
06/11/11	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	67-63 OT
29/10/11	A	Joventut Badalona	71-74
22/10/11	H	Gipuzkoa	62-58
16/10/11	A	Fuenlabrada	80-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	25%
Home	WWLLL	33%
Away	LLLWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	25%	33%	17%
Points / game	66.2	66.3	66.0
Allowed / game	71.3	71.5	71.2
Point differential	-5.2	-5.2	-5.2
Avg total	137.5	137.8	137.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Estudiantes

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	33%
Home	WWLLW	67%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Points / game	67.2	69.8	64.5
Allowed / game	76.2	72.2	80.2
Point differential	-9.0	-2.3	-15.7
Avg total	143.3	142.0	144.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	12	10	2	83%	82.7	71.3	+11.3
2	Barcelona	12	10	2	83%	75.7	65.3	+10.3
3	Unicaja	12	9	3	75%	80.7	74.0	+6.7
4	Baskonia	12	9	3	75%	72.8	66.8	+5.9
5	Alicante	12	9	3	75%	71.1	70.6	+0.5
6	Real Betis	12	7	5	58%	76.9	73.3	+3.6
7	Valencia	12	6	6	50%	75.7	74.4	+1.2
8	Fuenlabrada	12	6	6	50%	76.3	78.1	-1.8
9	Bilbao	11	5	6	45%	77.2	78.3	-1.1
10	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	11	5	6	45%	73.5	76.0	-2.5
11	Gran Canaria	12	5	7	42%	68.2	69.2	-1.0
12	Manresa	12	5	7	42%	70.0	73.3	-3.3
13	Gipuzkoa	12	4	8	33%	79.4	78.4	+1.0
14	Obradoiro CAB	12	4	8	33%	69.8	72.5	-2.7
15	Joventut Badalona	12	4	8	33%	71.7	76.4	-4.8
16	Estudiantes	12	4	8	33%	67.2	76.2	-9.0
17	Murcia	12	3	9	25%	66.2	71.3	-5.2
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	12	2	10	17%	70.8	80.5	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Murcia	23	21	23	21	88
Estudiantes	20	27	11	17	75

← all games of the day

Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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