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Valencia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2019
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-82
21-23 31-17 28-17 10-25
Position#4
Record21-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#16
Record10-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game87.9
SpainACBRound 32
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Valencia v Estudiantes
02 May 2021
VAL100
EST89
12 May 2019
VAL90
EST82
13 May 2018
VAL93
EST69
15 Jan 2017
VAL93
EST85
20 Mar 2016
VAL62
EST68
26 Oct 2014
VAL84
EST67
27 Dec 2013
VAL96
EST84
09 Mar 2013
VAL81
EST71
08 Feb 2013
VAL77
EST59
28 Jan 2012
VAL85
EST71
16 Jan 2011
VAL66
EST74
18 Feb 2010
VAL75
EST73
11 Oct 2009
VAL80
EST68
19 Oct 2008
VAL96
EST73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
A30/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A05/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H09/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
A12/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H15/04
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
96-57
96
57
+39
H24/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A27/04
ACB
Breogan
#18
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H04/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A10/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
16-30
25-32
28-23
15-16
22-21
11-21
25-14
20-13
21-25
30-15
18-22
21-23
18-19
20-20
24-21
17-18
29-15
17-11
26-19
25-13
12-21
31-24
20-15
25-16
23-11
19-16
29-14
21-23
27-29
23-18
20-19
23-10
24-27
26-22
10-23
12-14
18-17
26-17
22-24
166.0Avg total
87.1Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.778.3160.0+3.568%
Season at home (15)86.775.7162.3+11.080%
Season away (16)77.180.8157.9-3.656%
Last 10 (10)87.178.9166.0+8.280%
Last 5 (5)87.274.6161.8+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (7)81.771.7153.4+10.086%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.378.0161.3+5.476%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A21/04
ACB
Olimpico
#12
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
H25/04
Liga A
Gran Canaria
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H27/04
ACB
Atenas
#19
W
94-92
94
92
+2
A01/05
Liga A
Unicaja
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H01/05
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A02/05
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A04/05
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A05/05
Liga A
Real Madrid
#1
L
92-109
92
109
-17
A09/05
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
H11/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
21-28
19-24
25-24
18-24
22-17
16-19
17-13
25-21
20-22
24-34
17-19
20-27
26-28
21-23
27-14
21-21
19-21
18-19
14-19
11-27
28-17
21-18
12-26
16-14
13-22
18-22
19-21
12-13
15-24
20-22
22-20
18-30
20-25
23-29
31-25
21-13
17-18
18-26
22-21
171.1Avg total
81.3Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.987.9170.8-5.032%
Season at home (16)82.984.8167.7-1.850%
Season away (15)82.991.3174.1-8.413%
Last 10 (10)81.389.8171.1-8.520%
Last 5 (5)79.288.8168.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.991.0170.9-11.129%
vs Similar (20)85.584.2169.7+1.455%
vs Weaker (3)82.779.7162.3+3.033%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
ValenciaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#11
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A30/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A05/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H15/04
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H24/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/04
ACB
Breogan
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H04/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A10/05
ACB
79.9Avg total
41.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.477.9+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.336.477.7+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.040.178.1-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.779.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.278.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.031.061.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (7)37.336.774.0+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.839.380.1+1.452%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A21/04
ACB
Olimpico
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H25/04
Liga A
Gran Canaria
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/04
ACB
Atenas
#19
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A01/05
Liga A
Unicaja
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/05
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A02/05
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A04/05
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A05/05
Liga A
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A09/05
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H11/05
Liga A
81.8Avg total
38.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.081.9-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.237.381.5+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)37.544.882.3-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.043.881.8-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.674.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.340.779.0-2.443%-
vs Similar (20)42.041.082.9+1.050%-
vs Weaker (3)39.742.382.0-2.733%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.9
57.3%
52.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.611.4
42.9%
36.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.112.6
78.3%
74.6%12.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.8
50.9%
52.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.1
38.3%
36.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.713.6
72.7%
74.6%13.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWWLWWL
Estudiantes
WLLLLLWLLL
#4
League position
#16
+15.1
Net rating
-11.0
126.0
Offensive rating
109.5
110.9
Defensive rating
120.6
60.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
42.9%
3-point %
38.3%
62.0%
Assist %
57.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence126.0 · 109.5Defence110.9 · 120.6Shooting60.4% · 53.8%3-point %42.9% · 38.3%Ball care16.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds36.2% · 26.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Valencia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valencia wins
2
Estudiantes wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/19ABarcelona78-72
04/05/19HBreogan83-82
27/04/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza91-89
24/04/19HUnicaja96-57
20/04/19HTenerife88-73
15/04/19HAlba Berlin89-63
12/04/19AAlba Berlin92-95 OT
09/04/19HAlba Berlin89-75
05/04/19AMoraBanc Andorra73-72
30/03/19AGran Canaria92-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/19HInstituto de Cordoba97-89 OT
09/05/19AReal Madrid92-109
05/05/19AWeber Bahia69-79
04/05/19AArgentino66-79
02/05/19AInstituto de Cordoba72-88
01/05/19HUnicaja72-80
01/05/19AAtenas94-92
27/04/19HGran Canaria86-96
25/04/19HOlimpico83-84 OT
21/04/19ASan Pablo Burgos82-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game81.786.777.1
Allowed / game78.375.780.8
Point differential+3.5+11.0-3.6
Avg total160.0162.3157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)67% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL32%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %32%50%13%
Points / game82.982.982.9
Allowed / game87.984.891.3
Point differential-5.0-1.8-8.4
Avg total170.8167.7174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)71% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3226681%89.078.9+10.1
2 Baskonia3225778%86.274.2+12.0
3 Barcelona3124777%86.976.7+10.3
4 Valencia31211068%81.778.3+3.5
5 Unicaja32191359%83.781.9+1.8
6 Tenerife32171553%81.379.1+2.3
7 Joventut Badalona32171553%80.880.2+0.6
8 Tecnyconta Zaragoza32171553%83.185.6-2.5
9 Manresa32161650%80.382.3-2.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra31151648%83.282.2+1.0
11 San Pablo Burgos32131941%82.484.1-1.7
12 Gran Canaria31121939%83.185.0-1.9
13 Fuenlabrada31112035%82.489.7-7.4
14 Murcia32112134%78.382.0-3.7
15 Obradoiro CAB32112134%78.283.0-4.8
16 Estudiantes31102132%82.987.9-5.0
17 Gipuzkoa31102132%75.581.9-6.3
18 Breogan3192229%77.083.5-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2131281090
Estudiantes2317172582
← all games of the day
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