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Valencia vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-74
22-9 17-24 19-20 19-21
Position#14
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game65.0
Valencia 🏆
vs
Fenerbahce
Position#7
Record1-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Fenerbahce
27 Oct 2026
VAL86
FEN78
28 Oct 2025
VAL94
FEN79
13 Oct 2023
VAL77
FEN74
16 Mar 2023
VAL82
FEN80
12 Mar 2021
VAL66
FEN52
11 Jan 2018
VAL67
FEN80
03 Mar 2011
VAL82
FEN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
68-79
68
79
-11
51avg 74
H12/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 74
H24/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
69avg 74
A29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
47avg 74
H02/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-89
85
89
-4
66avg 74
H23/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 74
A27/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 74
A30/09
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
67avg 74
H06/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 74
H08/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
20-19
18-21
15-19
28-24
20-9
22-23
23-19
20-18
14-18
19-20
24-24
16-18
21-22
18-29
19-15
13-26
13-17
19-24
19-20
21-27
20-15
17-17
27-30
19-25
28-13
24-21
23-27
21-26
16-12
21-17
24-21
17-20
22-18
14-13
17-14
21-20
14-16
23-18
27-25
159.2Avg total
79.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.065.0135.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)70.065.0135.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.280.0159.2-0.850%
Last 5 (5)83.279.0162.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.284.3160.5-8.233%
vs Similar (11)80.985.1166.0-4.236%
vs Weaker (7)84.479.7164.1+4.771%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
no box
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MBA Moscow
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
A21/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
89-105
89
105
-16
no box
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
95-58
95
58
+37
98avg 76
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
73avg 76
H06/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 76
A09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
28-20
26-17
31-12
25-16
20-24
16-25
29-27
24-22
27-30
27-19
13-26
20-16
21-29
20-20
17-22
16-21
27-22
27-14
24-22
36-24
22-27
17-29
14-25
24-17
17-21
20-23
21-19
30-17
21-13
33-16
11-12
19-23
19-12
24-19
14-22
22-20
16-25
15-22
26-17
172.1Avg total
89.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.082.0167.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)85.082.0167.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.183.0172.1+6.150%
Last 5 (5)86.081.8167.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.881.2157.0-5.333%
vs Similar (11)86.587.5173.9-1.027%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.276.7165.8+12.585%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
ValenciaFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H12/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H24/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H02/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A27/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A30/09
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/10
ACB
76.2Avg total
37.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.781.7-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.078.7-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.443.384.7-1.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.376.2-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.478.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.543.882.3-5.317%-
vs Similar (11)41.542.183.6-0.545%-
vs Weaker (7)40.337.377.6+3.043%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MBA Moscow
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.3Avg total
45.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.983.4+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.537.082.5+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.984.3-1.427%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.687.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.885.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.840.077.8-2.217%-
vs Similar (11)44.542.687.2+1.955%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.237.682.8+7.669%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.6
55.8%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.5
32.6%
36.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
77.4%14.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.2
51.8%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.5
37.3%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.113.0
80.7%
77.4%13.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWLLLLWL
Fenerbahce
LWWWLWLLLW
#14
League position
#7
-0.3
Net rating
+1.4
108.3
Offensive rating
111.9
108.6
Defensive rating
110.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.6%
3-point %
37.3%
56.6%
Assist %
60.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 111.9Defence108.6 · 110.5Shooting53.2% · 53.3%3-point %32.6% · 37.3%Ball care19.3% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 29.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
4
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
16/03/23Valencia v Fenerbahce82-80
20/10/22Fenerbahce v Valencia79-77
12/03/21Valencia v Fenerbahce66-52
27/11/20Fenerbahce v Valencia86-90
11/01/18Valencia v Fenerbahce67-80
02/11/17Fenerbahce v Valencia79-66
03/03/11Valencia v Fenerbahce82-68
27/01/11Fenerbahce v Valencia75-73
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HObradoiro CAB85-79
06/10/23HMonaco70-65
30/09/23AUnicaja82-76
27/09/23ATenerife94-86
23/09/23HBasquet Girona85-89
02/06/23HBarcelona64-87
29/05/23ABarcelona74-84
24/05/23HBreogan77-80
14/05/23AFuenlabrada93-75
12/05/23HReal Madrid68-79
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/23AKarsiyaka79-84
06/10/23HOlimpia Milano85-82 OT
01/10/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor95-58
24/09/23HNizhny Novgorod82-80
23/09/23HLokomotiv Kuban89-105
21/09/23AMBA Moscow94-79
09/06/23AAnadolu Efes78-87
07/06/23AAnadolu Efes91-97
05/06/23HAnadolu Efes90-92
03/06/23HAnadolu Efes108-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game70.070.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total135.0135.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
2 Barcelona220100%84.071.0+13.0
3 Real Madrid220100%91.078.5+12.5
4 Valencia110100%70.065.0+5.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%80.576.5+4.0
6 Fenerbahce110100%85.082.0+3.0
7 Virtus Bologna21150%81.070.5+10.5
8 Crvena zvezda21150%84.076.0+8.0
9 Partizan21150%84.579.0+5.5
10 Bayern21150%75.573.0+2.5
11 Baskonia21150%84.082.5+1.5
12 Olympiacos21150%78.077.5+0.5
13 Panathinaikos21150%78.079.5-1.5
14 Olimpia Milano1010%82.085.0-3.0
15 Alba Berlin2020%77.085.5-8.5
16 Monaco2020%62.076.5-14.5
17 Anadolu Efes2020%77.097.0-20.0
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%67.591.0-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2217191977
Fenerbahce924202174
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