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Valencia vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-80
22-21 21-21 18-18 21-20
Position#13
Record13-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#7
Record17-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2022
Meetings · Valencia v Fenerbahce
27 Oct 2026
VAL86
FEN78
28 Oct 2025
VAL94
FEN79
13 Oct 2023
VAL77
FEN74
16 Mar 2023
VAL82
FEN80
12 Mar 2021
VAL66
FEN52
11 Jan 2018
VAL67
FEN80
03 Mar 2011
VAL82
FEN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
70avg 76
A05/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
92-91
92
91
+1
88avg 76
A10/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 76
H12/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
75avg 76
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
55avg 76
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 76
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 76
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 76
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
A12/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
19-18
16-25
16-24
21-26
21-23
27-19
23-23
16-22
23-18
17-19
26-17
13-21
21-20
24-22
27-23
25-15
20-20
13-30
27-27
24-27
24-30
16-24
11-33
19-24
16-20
22-8
20-20
21-17
21-22
13-26
29-23
20-24
20-25
25-22
26-24
26-19
20-13
9-20
24-23
169.5Avg total
82.5Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.085.7168.7-2.746%
Season at home (15)82.681.7164.3+0.947%
Season away (13)83.590.4173.8-6.946%
Last 10 (10)82.587.0169.5-4.540%
Last 5 (5)81.288.8170.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.987.8169.8-5.933%
vs Similar (12)86.285.1171.2+1.158%
vs Weaker (5)97.680.6178.2+17.0100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 78
H31/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
101-86
101
86
+15
89avg 78
H03/02
Euroleague
Konyaspor
#16
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
93avg 78
A23/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
104-72
104
72
+32
105avg 78
H03/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 78
A08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 78
H10/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
no box
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
23-23
15-12
19-14
10-24
20-27
21-26
22-16
31-27
26-20
24-14
20-25
13-13
19-9
19-21
11-18
22-22
25-24
21-23
29-25
31-14
27-15
27-23
19-20
26-19
25-24
18-17
23-18
25-17
14-26
17-18
18-17
18-30
19-10
24-16
20-17
21-22
27-24
21-27
29-29
167.0Avg total
86.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.680.6165.2+4.163%
Season at home (14)85.677.9163.4+7.771%
Season away (13)83.683.5167.1+0.254%
Last 10 (10)86.480.6167.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)89.880.6170.4+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.093.5163.5-23.50%
vs Similar (10)79.783.1162.8-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.779.4167.1+8.378%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
ValenciaFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A05/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A12/03
ACB
83.2Avg total
41.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.882.6+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.880.3+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.242.784.9-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.286.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.240.881.0-0.550%-
vs Similar (12)43.241.885.1+1.458%-
vs Weaker (5)44.038.282.2+5.880%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H31/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H03/02
Euroleague
Konyaspor
#16
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A23/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H03/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.7Avg total
44.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.083.8-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.241.985.1+1.357%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.182.6-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.085.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.286.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.554.585.0-24.00%-
vs Similar (10)38.143.281.3-5.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.040.085.0+5.061%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.8
53.8%
53.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.8
38.3%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.114.3
79.0%
78.5%14.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.0
54.8%
53.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.4
36.9%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.212.0
69.8%
78.5%12.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWLLLWWL
Fenerbahce
LWLWWWWWLW
#13
League position
#7
-6.3
Net rating
+0.3
110.6
Offensive rating
117.2
116.9
Defensive rating
116.9
55.5%
Effective FG%
55.0%
59.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
20.1%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.3%
3-point %
36.9%
59.4%
Assist %
56.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 117.2Defence116.9 · 116.9Shooting55.5% · 55.0%3-point %38.3% · 36.9%Ball care15.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds20.1% · 37.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
4
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
20/10/22Fenerbahce v Valencia79-77
12/03/21Valencia v Fenerbahce66-52
27/11/20Fenerbahce v Valencia86-90
11/01/18Valencia v Fenerbahce67-80
02/11/17Fenerbahce v Valencia79-66
03/03/11Valencia v Fenerbahce82-68
27/01/11Fenerbahce v Valencia75-73
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23ABasquet Girona79-75
09/03/23AReal Madrid91-95
07/03/23HOlimpia Milano84-88
05/03/23HTenerife77-72
03/03/23ABaskonia75-114
24/02/23HOlympiacos85-92
16/02/23AReal Madrid85-86
12/02/23HGran Canaria82-76
10/02/23APanathinaikos92-91
05/02/23ABarcelona75-81
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/23AKarsiyaka98-102
10/03/23HBarcelona81-73
08/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-78
05/03/23HManisa92-78
03/03/23HVirtus Bologna104-72
23/02/23APartizan97-94
05/02/23AKonyaspor62-61
03/02/23HAlba Berlin101-86
31/01/23HOlympiacos73-93
28/01/23HBuyukcekmece82-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayWWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%47%46%
Points / game83.082.683.5
Allowed / game85.781.790.4
Point differential-2.7+0.9-6.9
Avg total168.7164.3173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)38% (8)62% (8)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%71%54%
Points / game84.685.683.6
Allowed / game80.677.983.5
Point differential+4.1+7.7+0.2
Avg total165.2163.4167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2921872%84.775.7+9.0
2 Real Madrid2819968%84.678.1+6.5
3 Monaco29191066%83.981.6+2.3
4 Barcelona28181064%80.677.3+3.3
5 Fenerbahce27171063%84.680.6+4.1
6 Partizan29161355%84.582.5+2.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv29161355%82.581.9+0.6
8 Baskonia29151452%86.384.1+2.2
9 Zalgiris Kaunas29151452%75.477.5-2.1
10 Anadolu Efes29141548%82.181.3+0.8
11 Valencia28131546%83.085.7-2.7
12 Virtus Bologna29131645%78.381.3-3.0
13 Olimpia Milano27121544%73.076.3-3.3
14 Crvena zvezda28121643%76.078.5-2.5
15 Bayern28111739%76.979.7-2.9
16 Panathinaikos2891932%79.082.7-3.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2882029%74.780.4-5.7
18 Alba Berlin2872125%79.885.0-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2221182182
Fenerbahce2121182080
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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