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Valencia vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 94-79
27-13 24-22 25-21 18-23
Position#3
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game94.8
vs
Position#4
Record3-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7· Roig Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Fenerbahce
27 Oct 2026
VAL86
FEN78
28 Oct 2025
VAL94
FEN79
13 Oct 2023
VAL77
FEN74
16 Mar 2023
VAL82
FEN80
12 Mar 2021
VAL66
FEN52
11 Jan 2018
VAL67
FEN80
03 Mar 2011
VAL82
FEN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
75avg 92
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-94
103
94
+9
100avg 92
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
93-81
93
81
+12
96avg 92
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
102-108
102
108
-6
97avg 92
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
113-90
113
90
+23
114avg 92
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
84avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 92
A17/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
94avg 92
A19/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
103-100
103
100
+3
98avg 92
A23/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
102-90
102
90
+12
105avg 92
H26/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
15-17
26-26
20-16
26-23
23-23
26-25
28-23
24-15
22-18
23-25
24-23
25-26
24-22
26-30
27-30
19-27
35-20
30-27
29-16
18-27
29-22
23-31
23-20
22-27
15-30
25-14
22-19
24-25
25-16
24-16
26-21
24-18
30-30
31-26
18-26
27-24
17-20
28-16
30-30
188.0Avg total
97.2Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)94.294.8189.0-0.750%
Season at home (2)98.097.0195.0+1.050%
Season away (4)92.293.8186.0-1.550%
Last 10 (10)97.290.8188.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)96.291.6187.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.095.1182.1-8.10%
vs Weaker (22)95.885.1180.9+10.786%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
W
96-77
96
77
+19
96avg 81
H01/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 81
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 81
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
81-86
81
86
-5
75avg 81
H10/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dubai
#11
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 81
H14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
91avg 81
H16/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
84avg 81
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
79-69
79
69
+10
79avg 81
A24/10
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
92-84
92
84
+8
88avg 81
H26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
18-21
27-19
26-18
20-29
17-14
16-22
28-19
31-27
29-14
22-25
23-17
17-25
13-18
18-13
33-30
27-15
16-23
22-12
22-23
20-25
11-21
17-25
21-22
14-20
23-12
25-14
26-27
23-16
21-26
14-14
27-20
18-24
26-19
14-15
21-11
33-25
27-18
17-15
15-26
166.1Avg total
86.3Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.380.3162.7+2.050%
Season at home (4)83.582.2165.8+1.250%
Season away (2)80.076.5156.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)86.379.8166.1+6.570%
Last 5 (5)82.679.0161.6+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.781.1164.8+2.664%
vs Weaker (15)86.777.7164.5+9.080%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
ValenciaFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A17/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A23/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
ACB
91.1Avg total
46.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.542.587.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.441.285.6+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)44.643.688.2+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)46.344.891.1+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.247.894.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.046.088.0-4.029%-
vs Weaker (22)45.441.386.7+4.168%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H10/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dubai
#11
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H16/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.0Avg total
42.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.482.7+3.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.538.684.1+6.978%-
Last 30 away (12)40.140.780.8-0.667%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.184.0+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.284.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.439.781.1+1.671%-
vs Weaker (15)45.239.584.7+5.773%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.319.2
59.4%
60.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.513.1
41.6%
35.9%39.3
🏀 Free throws22.717.9
78.9%
78.2%17.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.718.0
56.8%
60.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.511.2
40.7%
35.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.716.5
79.7%
78.2%16.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLLWLWWW
Fenerbahce
WWWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#4
+8.2
Net rating
+10.2
128.8
Offensive rating
116.9
120.6
Defensive rating
106.7
60.9%
Effective FG%
58.8%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
39.9%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
41.6%
3-point %
40.7%
62.5%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence128.8 · 116.9Defence120.6 · 106.7Shooting60.9% · 58.8%3-point %41.6% · 40.7%Ball care17.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds39.9% · 30.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
14/03/24Fenerbahce v Valencia118-88
13/10/23Valencia v Fenerbahce77-74
16/03/23Valencia v Fenerbahce82-80
20/10/22Fenerbahce v Valencia79-77
12/03/21Valencia v Fenerbahce66-52
27/11/20Fenerbahce v Valencia86-90
11/01/18Valencia v Fenerbahce67-80
02/11/17Fenerbahce v Valencia79-66
03/03/11Valencia v Fenerbahce82-68
27/01/11Fenerbahce v Valencia75-73
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HJoventut Badalona102-90
23/10/25AOlimpia Milano103-100
19/10/25AForca Lleida99-78
17/10/25AMonaco84-90
15/10/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-100
12/10/25ABreogan113-90
10/10/25ABarcelona102-108
05/10/25HBarcelona93-81
03/10/25HVirtus Bologna103-94
01/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne80-77
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HTurk Telekom92-84
24/10/25AAnadolu Efes79-69
19/10/25AGalatasaray85-76
16/10/25HBayern88-73
14/10/25HDubai69-93
12/10/25HKarsiyaka87-73
10/10/25HCrvena zvezda81-86
06/10/25HPetkim Spor105-83
03/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-84
01/10/25HParis96-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game94.298.092.2
Allowed / game94.897.093.8
Point differential-0.7+1.0-1.5
Avg total189.0195.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game82.383.580.0
Allowed / game80.382.276.5
Point differential+2.0+1.2+3.5
Avg total162.7165.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv65183%92.388.2+4.2
2 Zalgiris Kaunas75271%86.078.6+7.4
3 Crvena zvezda75271%86.180.1+6.0
4 Panathinaikos75271%89.987.0+2.9
5 Olympiacos64267%89.083.2+5.8
6 Paris74357%91.788.3+3.4
7 Barcelona74357%87.987.9+0.0
8 Virtus Bologna74357%81.682.6-1.0
9 Monaco63350%84.882.5+2.3
10 Fenerbahce63350%82.380.3+2.0
11 Valencia63350%94.294.8-0.7
12 Partizan63350%84.887.8-3.0
13 Real Madrid73443%83.683.0+0.6
14 Dubai73443%82.484.1-1.7
15 Anadolu Efes73443%82.184.3-2.1
16 Bayern73443%77.784.9-7.1
17 Olimpia Milano72529%80.480.4+0.0
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne72529%81.385.6-4.3
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv72529%88.193.3-5.1
20 Baskonia71614%86.494.4-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2724251894
Fenerbahce1322212379
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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