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Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-78
14-22 28-21 18-19 29-16
Position#4
Record7-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#12
Record7-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game80.9
SpainACBRound 15
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Valencia v Murcia
18 Oct 2026
VAL116
MUR93
08 Mar 2026
VAL110
MUR84
05 Apr 2025
VAL71
MUR86
25 May 2024
VAL77
MUR84
18 May 2024
VAL86
MUR96
24 Mar 2024
VAL83
MUR82
16 Oct 2022
VAL74
MUR75
18 Feb 2022
VAL83
MUR86
26 Sep 2021
VAL86
MUR91
20 Dec 2020
VAL89
MUR78
10 Mar 2019
VAL89
MUR65
01 Apr 2018
VAL73
MUR84
14 May 2017
VAL67
MUR70
22 Dec 2015
VAL65
MUR54
24 Jan 2015
VAL81
MUR63
14 Dec 2013
VAL88
MUR86
26 Jan 2013
VAL94
MUR96
24 Mar 2012
VAL87
MUR80
29 Dec 2009
VAL72
MUR67
26 Apr 2009
VAL83
MUR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
84avg 78
H22/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
90avg 78
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
100-90
100
90
+10
105avg 78
A01/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
92-100
92
100
-8
84avg 78
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
68-61
68
61
+7
64avg 78
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 78
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
77avg 78
H10/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 78
A13/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
A16/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
73-76
73
76
-3
70avg 78
A18/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
22-20
30-18
21-35
16-17
17-26
26-21
31-22
32-22
19-29
19-19
30-20
21-27
29-24
15-32
27-17
21-16
9-15
22-6
16-24
12-16
27-17
21-32
12-20
19-23
21-15
14-22
22-14
15-27
19-13
21-21
31-20
25-16
27-23
24-26
20-20
22-20
14-25
21-12
16-19
167.5Avg total
84.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.381.9164.2+0.454%
Season at home (6)83.085.2168.2-2.233%
Season away (7)81.779.1160.9+2.671%
Last 10 (10)84.283.3167.5+0.960%
Last 5 (5)80.680.2160.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.282.7159.8-5.533%
vs Similar (11)85.085.1170.1-0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.278.4159.6+2.867%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
75avg 69
A04/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
74-72
74
72
+2
30avg 69
H10/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
86-98
86
98
-12
72avg 69
A18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
68avg 69
H27/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
72avg 69
H07/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
72avg 69
A12/11
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 69
A15/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
84-81
84
81
+3
73avg 69
H21/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 69
A06/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
83avg 69
H09/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
21-20
17-18
24-22
9-18
26-18
16-19
23-17
13-26
20-27
22-22
31-23
29-15
14-16
16-18
18-24
11-21
22-18
17-24
24-15
31-14
12-23
22-30
19-22
9-17
21-15
19-12
24-19
15-19
22-23
18-18
29-21
23-22
21-33
23-23
14-24
25-15
29-20
19-24
17-14
161.0Avg total
80.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.580.9161.5-0.454%
Season at home (7)82.077.3159.3+4.771%
Season away (6)78.885.2164.0-6.333%
Last 10 (10)80.680.4161.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)82.481.6164.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.180.4158.5-2.350%
vs Similar (16)83.084.8167.8-1.838%
vs Weaker (4)82.572.0154.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
ValenciaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H22/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A01/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A16/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/12
Euroleague
81.6Avg total
40.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.879.5-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.941.079.9-2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.540.679.1-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.381.6-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.079.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.341.776.0-7.333%-
vs Similar (11)40.141.581.5-1.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.340.079.3-0.750%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A04/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H27/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H07/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/11
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A15/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H21/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A06/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H09/12
ACB
78.9Avg total
39.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.179.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.736.577.2+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.841.781.5-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.578.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.281.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.834.573.3+4.360%-
vs Similar (16)41.343.184.4-1.844%-
vs Weaker (4)39.534.874.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.9
55.9%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.1
39.5%
36.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.814.9
83.7%
76.6%14.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.1
52.9%
53.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
36.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.711.9
67.2%
76.6%11.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWWLWLWWL
Murcia
WLWWLLWLWW
#4
League position
#12
+0.7
Net rating
+0.5
118.0
Offensive rating
106.2
117.3
Defensive rating
105.7
57.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.5%
3-point %
33.1%
70.7%
Assist %
48.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 106.2Defence117.3 · 105.7Shooting57.3% · 51.7%3-point %39.5% · 33.1%Ball care17.1% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.7% · 34.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
10/03/19Valencia v Murcia89-65
07/10/18Murcia v Valencia68-81
01/04/18Valencia v Murcia73-84
22/10/17Murcia v Valencia91-93
14/05/17Valencia v Murcia67-70
08/01/17Murcia v Valencia75-78
01/05/16Murcia v Valencia80-62
22/12/15Valencia v Murcia65-54
24/01/15Valencia v Murcia81-63
05/10/14Murcia v Valencia85-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/20ACrvena zvezda73-76
16/12/20AOlympiacos96-85
13/12/20AEstudiantes86-81
10/12/20HAnadolu Efes76-74
08/12/20HZenit Petersburg72-85
05/12/20AFuenlabrada68-61
03/12/20HAlba Berlin92-100
01/12/20ABarcelona100-90
27/11/20AFenerbahce90-86
22/11/20HTenerife89-95
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/20HGipuzkoa90-73
06/12/20AUnicaja81-102
21/11/20HFuenlabrada84-81
15/11/20ABilbao73-63
12/11/20ASan Pablo Burgos84-89
07/11/20HGran Canaria74-78
27/10/20HBarcelona77-73
18/10/20ABasket Zaragoza86-98
10/10/20HReal Betis74-72
04/10/20ABaskonia83-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%33%71%
Points / game82.383.081.7
Allowed / game81.985.279.1
Point differential+0.4-2.2+2.6
Avg total164.2168.2160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW54%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game80.582.078.8
Allowed / game80.977.385.2
Point differential-0.4+4.7-6.3
Avg total161.5159.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid14140100%88.173.9+14.1
2 Tenerife1412286%86.879.2+7.6
3 Barcelona1512380%84.174.1+10.0
4 Baskonia1511473%81.776.5+5.2
5 San Pablo Burgos149564%86.180.3+5.9
6 Joventut Badalona149564%83.980.1+3.8
7 Unicaja138562%84.679.2+5.4
8 MoraBanc Andorra137654%79.577.3+2.2
9 Valencia137654%82.381.9+0.4
10 Murcia137654%80.580.9-0.4
11 Manresa147750%83.986.3-2.4
12 Obradoiro CAB156940%80.583.5-3.0
13 Estudiantes1551033%80.284.4-4.2
14 Fuenlabrada134931%82.984.5-1.5
15 Gran Canaria1441029%74.784.9-10.2
16 Basket Zaragoza1541127%86.589.1-2.5
17 Bilbao1321115%79.586.9-7.5
18 Real Betis1321115%72.880.6-7.8
19 Gipuzkoa1421214%70.086.1-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1428182989
Murcia2221191678
← all games of the day
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