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Valencia vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 70-65
17-20 22-18 14-13 17-14
Position#14
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Monaco
08 Jan 2026
VAL92
MCO101
06 Oct 2023
VAL70
MCO65
11 Nov 2022
VAL89
MCO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
80avg 74
H29/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A07/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
68-79
68
79
-11
51avg 74
H12/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 74
H24/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
69avg 74
A29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
47avg 74
H02/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-89
85
89
-4
66avg 74
H23/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 74
A27/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 74
A30/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
23-21
20-15
21-18
23-22
13-22
21-23
25-20
15-20
20-19
18-21
15-19
28-24
20-9
22-23
23-19
20-18
14-18
19-20
24-24
16-18
21-22
18-29
19-15
13-26
13-17
19-24
19-20
21-27
20-15
17-17
27-30
19-25
28-13
24-21
23-27
21-26
16-12
21-17
24-21
162.7Avg total
80.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.682.1162.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)79.884.4164.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.486.6164.0-9.225%
vs Similar (11)80.985.1166.0-4.236%
vs Weaker (6)84.379.8164.2+4.567%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#5
W
105-99
105
99
+6
122avg 81
H31/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
85-71
85
71
+14
81avg 81
A03/06
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
87-64
87
64
+23
105avg 81
H10/06
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
90avg 81
H12/06
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
92-85
92
85
+7
102avg 81
A15/06
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
72-59
72
59
+13
89avg 81
A16/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
104-68
104
68
+36
117avg 81
A24/09
LNB
Saint Quentin
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
83avg 81
H26/09
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 81
A01/10
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
110avg 81
H03/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-34
19-21
29-18
27-26
24-17
21-24
22-19
18-11
23-15
29-6
19-16
16-27
15-26
35-23
23-22
22-17
23-32
21-21
19-17
29-15
26-21
14-11
19-15
13-12
23-15
27-21
24-17
30-15
20-16
16-16
11-25
30-18
19-21
16-21
26-18
26-19
22-15
20-19
25-18
21-22
165.4Avg total
89.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.276.2165.4+13.0100%
Last 5 (5)85.671.0156.6+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.076.0138.0-14.00%
vs Similar (8)79.582.8162.2-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.480.2169.6+9.186%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +5.0+5.0
ValenciaMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H12/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H24/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H02/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A27/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A30/09
ACB
78.5Avg total
38.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.781.9-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.440.179.4-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)40.943.284.1-2.219%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.878.5-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.277.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.043.682.6-4.617%-
vs Similar (11)41.542.183.6-0.545%-
vs Weaker (6)41.237.578.7+3.750%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#5
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H31/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A03/06
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H10/06
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H12/06
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A15/06
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A24/09
LNB
Saint Quentin
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H26/09
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/10
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/10
LNB
83.8Avg total
44.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.183.0+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.840.584.4+3.353%-
Last 30 away (13)41.839.581.3+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.583.8+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.275.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.029.070.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (8)40.439.579.9+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.040.884.9+3.257%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.4
57.4%
53.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.3
29.3%
36.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.415.1
77.8%
77.4%15.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.6
53.6%
53.4%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.18.6
40.8%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.2
72.4%
77.4%15.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLLLLWLLW
Monaco
WWWWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#3
-1.8
Net rating
+18.1
108.0
Offensive rating
122.8
109.8
Defensive rating
104.7
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.1%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.3%
3-point %
40.8%
53.3%
Assist %
57.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 122.8Defence109.8 · 104.7Shooting52.0% · 56.1%3-point %29.3% · 40.8%Ball care18.3% · 14.0%Off. rebounds30.3% · 37.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Valencia   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
1
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
24/03/23Monaco v Valencia90-79
11/11/22Valencia v Monaco89-84
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23AUnicaja82-76
27/09/23ATenerife94-86
23/09/23HBasquet Girona85-89
02/06/23HBarcelona64-87
29/05/23ABarcelona74-84
24/05/23HBreogan77-80
14/05/23AFuenlabrada93-75
12/05/23HReal Madrid68-79
07/05/23AManresa82-87
29/04/23HObradoiro CAB87-78
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23HDijon88-74
01/10/23ALyon-Villeurbanne87-79
26/09/23HSaint Quentin77-75
24/09/23AChalon/Saone104-68
16/09/23ALimoges72-59
15/06/23ABoulogne-Levallois92-85
12/06/23HBoulogne-Levallois95-88
10/06/23HBoulogne-Levallois87-64
03/06/23AJL Bourg85-71
31/05/23HJL Bourg105-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Monaco
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda110100%94.073.0+21.0
2 Barcelona110100%91.074.0+17.0
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
4 Bayern110100%80.068.0+12.0
5 Olympiacos110100%88.078.0+10.0
6 Fenerbahce110100%85.082.0+3.0
7 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%82.079.0+3.0
8 Olimpia Milano1010%82.085.0-3.0
9 Virtus Bologna1010%79.082.0-3.0
10 Panathinaikos1010%78.088.0-10.0
11 Alba Berlin1010%68.080.0-12.0
12 Partizan1010%81.096.0-15.0
13 Anadolu Efes1010%74.091.0-17.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne1010%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1722141770
Monaco2018131465
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