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Monaco vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-79
22-22 26-19 23-23 19-15
Position#4
Record19-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game81.6
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record14-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game85.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2022
Meetings · Monaco v Valencia
17 Oct 2025
MCO90
VAL84
22 Mar 2024
MCO79
VAL78
24 Mar 2023
MCO90
VAL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
70-80
70
80
-10
57avg 81
A24/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 81
H02/03
Euroleague
Nanterre
#14
W
108-87
108
87
+21
107avg 81
H05/03
LNB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
84-70
84
70
+14
72avg 81
H08/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
102-93
102
93
+9
94avg 81
A10/03
Euroleague
Roanne
#11
W
85-74
85
74
+11
80avg 81
A12/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
79avg 81
H16/03
Euroleague
Pau-Orthez
#34
W
98-78
98
78
+20
no box
A18/03
French Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H19/03
French Cup
Le Portel
#12
W
99-78
99
78
+21
103avg 81
H21/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
21-26
18-15
13-15
30-17
9-19
19-23
28-8
25-25
21-11
30-29
32-22
21-17
21-19
22-21
20-13
23-28
29-19
22-26
28-20
25-17
19-23
22-20
19-14
21-22
20-15
22-16
18-15
23-17
24-20
30-16
21-25
15-26
30-20
22-20
20-12
27-21
23-11
19-20
30-26
167.3Avg total
90.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.981.6165.4+2.366%
Season at home (15)84.378.7163.1+5.680%
Season away (14)83.484.6167.9-1.250%
Last 10 (10)90.077.3167.3+12.790%
Last 5 (5)90.075.2165.2+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.577.5155.0+0.050%
vs Similar (10)82.884.2167.0-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.978.1169.0+12.988%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 76
H12/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
75avg 76
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
55avg 76
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 76
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 76
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 76
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 76
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 76
H19/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
23-18
17-19
26-17
13-21
21-20
24-22
27-23
25-15
20-20
13-30
27-27
24-27
24-30
16-24
11-33
19-24
16-20
22-8
20-20
21-17
21-22
13-26
29-23
20-24
20-25
25-22
26-24
26-19
20-13
9-20
24-23
22-21
21-21
18-18
21-20
20-18
18-16
24-18
18-20
167.0Avg total
82.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.085.5168.5-2.648%
Season at home (16)82.681.6164.1+1.050%
Season away (13)83.590.4173.8-6.946%
Last 10 (10)82.085.0167.0-3.050%
Last 5 (5)83.282.0165.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.187.5170.6-4.442%
vs Similar (12)86.285.1171.2+1.158%
vs Weaker (5)92.881.2174.0+11.6100%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
MonacoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A24/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Nanterre
#14
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H05/03
LNB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H08/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A10/03
Euroleague
Roanne
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/03
Euroleague
Pau-Orthez
#34
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A18/03
French Cup
Le Mans
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H19/03
French Cup
Le Portel
#12
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H21/03
LNB
84.2Avg total
44.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.442.087.3+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.441.186.6+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)45.342.988.2+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)44.539.784.2+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.483.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.542.080.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (10)44.044.188.1-0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.440.486.8+6.175%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/03
ACB
82.3Avg total
41.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.983.1+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.238.980.1+2.375%-
Last 30 away (14)43.343.386.6+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.382.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.281.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.641.382.9+0.258%-
vs Similar (12)43.241.885.1+1.458%-
vs Weaker (5)42.637.880.4+4.880%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.924.7
57.6%
53.5%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.8
33.7%
36.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.418.7
83.5%
78.5%18.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.7
53.7%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.3
37.7%
36.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.513.6
77.7%
78.5%13.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWWWWWWWWL
Valencia
WWWLLWLLLW
#4
League position
#13
+16.1
Net rating
-3.9
124.0
Offensive rating
109.0
107.8
Defensive rating
112.9
55.3%
Effective FG%
55.0%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
40.2%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.7%
3-point %
37.7%
57.5%
Assist %
57.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence124.0 · 109.0Defence107.8 · 112.9Shooting55.3% · 55.0%3-point %33.7% · 37.7%Ball care16.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds40.2% · 23.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Monaco   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Monaco wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
11/11/22Valencia v Monaco89-84
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23HLe Portel99-78
19/03/23HLe Mans87-78
18/03/23APau-Orthez98-78
16/03/23HVirtus Bologna81-68
12/03/23ARoanne85-74
10/03/23ABaskonia102-93
08/03/23HPanathinaikos84-70
05/03/23HNanterre108-87
02/03/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv86-67
24/02/23ABarcelona70-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HGranada80-72
16/03/23HFenerbahce82-80
12/03/23ABasquet Girona79-75
09/03/23AReal Madrid91-95
07/03/23HOlimpia Milano84-88
05/03/23HTenerife77-72
03/03/23ABaskonia75-114
24/02/23HOlympiacos85-92
16/02/23AReal Madrid85-86
12/02/23HGran Canaria82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %66%80%50%
Points / game83.984.383.4
Allowed / game81.678.784.6
Point differential+2.3+5.6-1.2
Avg total165.4163.1167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)75% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %10%7%14%
Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %48%50%46%
Points / game83.082.683.5
Allowed / game85.581.690.4
Point differential-2.6+1.0-6.9
Avg total168.5164.1173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)44% (9)62% (8)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2921872%84.775.7+9.0
2 Real Madrid2920969%84.878.4+6.4
3 Barcelona30201067%81.077.2+3.7
4 Monaco29191066%83.981.6+2.3
5 Fenerbahce30181260%84.280.6+3.6
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv30171357%82.681.4+1.2
7 Partizan29161355%84.582.5+2.0
8 Baskonia30151550%85.583.8+1.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas30151550%75.577.8-2.3
10 Valencia29141548%83.085.5-2.6
11 Anadolu Efes30141647%82.581.8+0.7
12 Olimpia Milano29131645%73.876.8-2.9
13 Virtus Bologna29131645%78.381.3-3.0
14 Crvena zvezda30131743%76.078.2-2.2
15 Bayern29111838%76.879.6-2.8
16 Panathinaikos30102033%79.182.8-3.8
17 Alba Berlin3092130%80.184.9-4.8
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3082227%74.780.7-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2226231990
Valencia2219231579
← all games of the day
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