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Barcelona vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 May 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-74
18-16 22-21 29-18 15-19
Position#1
Record29-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#8
Record17-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.1
SpainACBACB - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Barcelona v Valencia
30 Oct 2026
BAR98
VAL94
11 Oct 2026
BAR89
VAL86
24 Jun 2026
BAR84
VAL108
22 Jun 2026
BAR80
VAL88
31 May 2026
BAR77
VAL102
10 Oct 2025
BAR108
VAL102
17 Nov 2024
BAR102
VAL99
04 Feb 2024
BAR76
VAL79
17 Nov 2023
BAR74
VAL70
29 May 2023
BAR84
VAL74
14 Apr 2023
BAR85
VAL71
05 Feb 2023
BAR81
VAL75
14 Nov 2021
BAR79
VAL87
11 Sep 2021
BAR87
VAL68
07 Jan 2021
BAR89
VAL72
01 Dec 2020
BAR90
VAL100
13 Feb 2020
BAR78
VAL82
10 May 2019
BAR72
VAL78
14 Feb 2019
BAR86
VAL79
19 Nov 2017
BAR79
VAL74
17 Nov 2017
BAR89
VAL71
25 May 2017
BAR91
VAL79
18 Feb 2017
BAR67
VAL76
27 Dec 2016
BAR94
VAL82
24 Jan 2016
BAR91
VAL94
19 Feb 2015
BAR85
VAL80
16 Nov 2014
BAR76
VAL57
12 Jun 2014
BAR63
VAL81
10 Jun 2014
BAR70
VAL74
08 Feb 2014
BAR89
VAL81
13 Oct 2013
BAR76
VAL75
01 Apr 2013
BAR94
VAL62
10 Feb 2013
BAR85
VAL69
22 Sep 2012
BAR77
VAL63
27 May 2012
BAR76
VAL81
24 May 2012
BAR84
VAL57
01 Apr 2012
BAR76
VAL72
06 Feb 2011
BAR85
VAL67
14 Oct 2009
BAR87
VAL62
17 May 2009
BAR68
VAL66
11 Oct 2008
BAR74
VAL58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
91-69
91
69
+22
90avg 78
H26/04
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
89-81
89
81
+8
86avg 78
H28/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
85-77
85
77
+8
63avg 78
A30/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
77-66
77
66
+11
76avg 78
A03/05
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
101-64
101
64
+37
99avg 78
H07/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
82avg 78
H12/05
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
91-84
91
84
+7
90avg 78
A14/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
52avg 78
H19/05
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
66-78
66
78
-12
60avg 78
A21/05
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
86-57
86
57
+29
81avg 78
H24/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
23-18
18-22
25-16
20-21
25-23
23-22
21-15
28-10
19-18
18-27
20-22
13-10
16-16
32-22
16-18
22-16
30-14
24-8
25-26
15-21
20-11
33-18
26-27
24-21
21-24
28-19
18-20
18-18
24-18
13-22
11-20
13-24
15-20
17-16
21-18
23-15
18-11
21-18
24-13
157.7Avg total
84.6Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)85.173.2158.4+11.985%
Season at home (17)86.570.1156.6+16.4100%
Season away (17)83.876.3160.1+7.571%
Last 10 (10)84.673.1157.7+11.580%
Last 5 (5)80.674.8155.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)79.778.7158.4+1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.472.3157.6+13.184%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
70-85
70
85
-15
57avg 74
A09/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A14/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
87-81
87
81
+6
68avg 74
H16/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 74
A19/04
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
95-88
95
88
+7
92avg 74
H22/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
80avg 74
H29/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A07/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
68-79
68
79
-11
51avg 74
H12/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 74
H24/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
15-16
21-19
17-29
21-24
25-27
15-21
10-13
16-21
22-19
32-16
17-25
24-25
22-22
19-20
17-23
25-22
28-25
18-20
24-21
23-24
23-21
20-15
21-18
23-22
13-22
21-23
25-20
15-20
20-19
18-21
15-19
28-24
20-9
22-23
23-19
20-18
14-18
19-20
24-24
164.0Avg total
81.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.683.1166.7+0.550%
Season at home (17)84.981.2166.1+3.665%
Season away (17)82.385.0167.3-2.735%
Last 10 (10)81.282.8164.0-1.640%
Last 5 (5)81.479.8161.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.787.9167.6-8.218%
vs Similar (13)80.983.8164.8-2.946%
vs Weaker (5)84.278.0162.2+6.280%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
BarcelonaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H26/04
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H28/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A30/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A03/05
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H07/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H12/05
ACB
Baskonia
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/05
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A21/05
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H24/05
ACB
75.4Avg total
41.2Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.835.576.3+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.835.280.0+9.594%-
Last 30 away (14)36.435.772.1+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.234.275.4+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.674.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.039.279.2+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.333.674.8+7.784%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A14/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H16/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A19/04
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H22/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H12/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H24/05
ACB
83.3Avg total
41.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.682.6-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.580.3+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.343.785.0-2.520%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.983.3-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.479.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.443.585.9-1.236%-
vs Similar (13)40.342.082.3-1.738%-
vs Weaker (5)41.236.677.8+4.660%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.1
55.4%
52.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.511.3
39.6%
34.5%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.013.7
80.6%
73.9%13.7
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.5
53.3%
52.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.3
31.2%
34.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.213.7
79.7%
73.9%13.7
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WLLWWWWWWW
Valencia
LWLLWWLWLL
#1
League position
#8
+16.8
Net rating
-1.6
118.5
Offensive rating
109.2
101.6
Defensive rating
110.9
57.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.4%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.6%
3-point %
31.2%
66.7%
Assist %
53.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 109.2Defence101.6 · 110.9Shooting57.3% · 50.4%3-point %39.6% · 31.2%Ball care16.4% · 15.4%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Barcelona   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Barcelona wins
4
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
14/04/23Barcelona v Valencia85-71
05/02/23Barcelona v Valencia81-75
23/12/22Valencia v Barcelona84-83
30/10/22Valencia v Barcelona80-92
05/03/22Valencia v Barcelona86-76
14/11/21Barcelona v Valencia79-87
11/09/21Barcelona v Valencia87-68
21/03/21Valencia v Barcelona64-80
07/01/21Barcelona v Valencia89-72
01/12/20Barcelona v Valencia90-100
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/23HMurcia86-57
21/05/23AMonaco66-78
19/05/23HReal Madrid66-78
14/05/23ABaskonia91-84
12/05/23HObradoiro CAB94-77
07/05/23HFuenlabrada101-64
03/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas77-66
30/04/23AReal Betis85-77
28/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas89-81
26/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas91-69
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/23HBreogan77-80
14/05/23AFuenlabrada93-75
12/05/23HReal Madrid68-79
07/05/23AManresa82-87
29/04/23HObradoiro CAB87-78
22/04/23HBilbao95-88
19/04/23AMurcia82-90
16/04/23HReal Betis87-81
14/04/23ABarcelona71-85
09/04/23AJoventut Badalona70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %85%100%71%
Points / game85.186.583.8
Allowed / game73.270.176.3
Point differential+11.9+16.4+7.5
Avg total158.4156.6160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWWLL65%
AwayLLLLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %50%65%35%
Points / game83.684.982.3
Allowed / game83.181.285.0
Point differential+0.5+3.6-2.7
Avg total166.7166.1167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)40% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3429585%85.173.2+11.9
2 Real Madrid3529683%88.677.1+11.5
3 Baskonia3528780%92.083.3+8.7
4 Unicaja35251071%86.977.1+9.8
5 Tenerife35241169%82.774.0+8.7
6 Joventut Badalona35201557%81.978.7+3.2
7 Gran Canaria35191654%83.080.8+2.2
8 Valencia34171750%83.683.1+0.5
9 Murcia34161847%79.882.9-3.1
10 Breogan34142041%77.179.9-2.8
11 Obradoiro CAB34142041%79.283.3-4.1
12 Bilbao34142041%76.180.4-4.4
13 Basket Zaragoza34122235%78.781.0-2.4
14 Manresa34122235%83.989.0-5.1
15 Basquet Girona34112332%76.681.6-5.0
16 Granada34112332%76.685.7-9.1
17 Real Betis34102429%78.284.0-5.8
18 Fuenlabrada3443012%76.192.3-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona1822291584
Valencia1621181974
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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