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Valencia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-80
20-18 14-18 19-20 24-24
Position#8
Record17-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Breogan 🏆
Spain
Position#10
Record13-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.0
SpainACBRound 34
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Valencia v Breogan
22 Nov 2026
VAL v BRE
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
VAL105
BRE88
30 May 2025
VAL108
BRE61
14 Jan 2024
VAL88
BRE80
24 May 2023
VAL77
BRE80
19 Dec 2021
VAL97
BRE98
04 May 2019
VAL83
BRE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 74
H06/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
70-85
70
85
-15
57avg 74
A09/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A14/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
87-81
87
81
+6
68avg 74
H16/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 74
A19/04
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
95-88
95
88
+7
92avg 74
H22/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
80avg 74
H29/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A07/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
68-79
68
79
-11
51avg 74
H12/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A14/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
23-19
18-19
21-11
17-21
15-16
21-19
17-29
21-24
25-27
15-21
10-13
16-21
22-19
32-16
17-25
24-25
22-22
19-20
17-23
25-22
28-25
18-20
24-21
23-24
23-21
20-15
21-18
23-22
13-22
21-23
25-20
15-20
20-19
18-21
15-19
28-24
20-9
22-23
23-19
163.0Avg total
81.4Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.883.2167.0+0.652%
Season at home (16)85.481.3166.7+4.169%
Season away (17)82.385.0167.3-2.735%
Last 10 (10)81.481.6163.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)85.081.4166.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.289.1169.3-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.284.2165.4-2.950%
vs Weaker (5)84.278.0162.2+6.280%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
62avg 64
A25/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
42avg 64
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
96-72
96
72
+24
85avg 64
H08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
39avg 64
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
63avg 64
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 64
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 64
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
44avg 64
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
66-83
66
83
-17
57avg 64
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
64avg 64
H14/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
19-24
22-10
19-16
19-19
10-27
22-23
14-16
21-12
18-22
31-17
26-21
14-13
21-26
11-23
20-15
15-20
22-24
25-24
12-22
19-21
13-19
15-18
20-27
18-22
19-23
13-22
26-30
15-16
12-18
8-20
25-11
15-17
21-22
12-27
18-17
19-22
23-14
19-23
20-23
152.8Avg total
72.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.080.0156.9-3.039%
Season at home (17)78.178.9157.0-0.835%
Season away (16)75.881.1156.9-5.444%
Last 10 (10)72.580.3152.8-7.820%
Last 5 (5)70.082.4152.4-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.484.6154.0-15.28%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.178.1160.2+3.957%
vs Weaker (3)87.073.3160.3+13.767%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
ValenciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A14/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H16/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A19/04
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H22/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H12/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A14/05
ACB
84.1Avg total
42.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.083.0-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.239.881.0+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.984.7-3.219%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.184.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.685.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.643.885.4-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.842.583.3-1.742%-
vs Weaker (5)41.236.677.8+4.660%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A25/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/05
ACB
74.5Avg total
34.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.475.4-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.838.875.6-2.038%-
Last 30 away (14)35.040.175.1-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.874.5-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.838.873.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.142.274.3-10.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.037.675.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker (3)43.335.779.0+7.733%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.3
53.1%
52.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.0
31.4%
34.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.913.2
78.1%
73.9%13.2
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.920.7
47.2%
52.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.7%
34.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.79.3
59.2%
73.9%9.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWWLWLLW
Breogan
LLLLLLLWLW
#8
League position
#10
+0.0
Net rating
-10.8
109.5
Offensive rating
99.7
109.5
Defensive rating
110.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.4%
3-point %
31.7%
53.9%
Assist %
48.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 99.7Defence109.5 · 110.6Shooting50.5% · 47.3%3-point %31.4% · 31.7%Ball care15.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Valencia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
2
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
06/11/22Breogan v Valencia83-88
13/02/22Breogan v Valencia99-82
19/12/21Valencia v Breogan97-98
04/05/19Valencia v Breogan83-82
20/01/19Breogan v Valencia65-77
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23AFuenlabrada93-75
12/05/23HReal Madrid68-79
07/05/23AManresa82-87
29/04/23HObradoiro CAB87-78
22/04/23HBilbao95-88
19/04/23AMurcia82-90
16/04/23HReal Betis87-81
14/04/23ABarcelona71-85
09/04/23AJoventut Badalona70-85
06/04/23HVirtus Bologna79-68
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23HManresa81-82
10/05/23ABilbao66-83
07/05/23HMurcia60-65
30/04/23ABaskonia76-97
23/04/23ATenerife67-85
20/04/23HUnicaja74-90
15/04/23AGran Canaria66-77
08/04/23HReal Madrid96-72
01/04/23HJoventut Badalona65-85
25/03/23AObradoiro CAB74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeLWWWL69%
AwayLLLLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %52%69%35%
Points / game83.885.482.3
Allowed / game83.281.385.0
Point differential+0.6+4.1-2.7
Avg total167.0166.7167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeLWLLL35%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %39%35%44%
Points / game77.078.175.8
Allowed / game80.078.981.1
Point differential-3.0-0.8-5.4
Avg total156.9157.0156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)17% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3328585%85.173.7+11.4
2 Real Madrid3327682%88.777.3+11.3
3 Baskonia3327682%92.583.2+9.3
4 Unicaja34241071%87.377.6+9.7
5 Tenerife34241071%83.474.0+9.3
6 Gran Canaria33191458%83.779.7+4.0
7 Joventut Badalona33191458%81.978.5+3.5
8 Valencia33171652%83.883.2+0.6
9 Murcia33161748%80.582.8-2.3
10 Obradoiro CAB34142041%79.283.3-4.1
11 Bilbao34142041%76.180.4-4.4
12 Breogan33132039%77.080.0-3.0
13 Basket Zaragoza34122235%78.781.0-2.4
14 Basquet Girona33112233%76.881.8-5.0
15 Manresa33112233%83.389.4-6.1
16 Real Betis33102330%78.284.2-5.9
17 Granada33102330%76.786.4-9.7
18 Fuenlabrada3443012%76.192.3-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2014192477
Breogan1818202480
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