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Valencia vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-88
19-23 12-21 10-30 38-14
Position#8
Record17-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#12
Record14-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32
European cup2020
Meetings · Valencia v Olympiacos
13 Oct 2026
VAL97
OLY102
24 Mar 2026
VAL85
OLY84
08 Feb 2024
VAL65
OLY78
24 Feb 2023
VAL85
OLY92
31 Mar 2021
VAL79
OLY88
30 Nov 2017
VAL64
OLY72
16 Oct 2014
VAL68
OLY71
17 Feb 2011
VAL79
OLY85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A28/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
79avg 79
A02/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 79
A04/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
112-82
112
82
+30
95avg 79
H07/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
66-52
66
52
+14
63avg 79
H12/03
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
60-78
60
78
-18
52avg 79
A14/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
57avg 79
H21/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
86avg 79
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
87avg 79
A28/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
17-27
17-22
21-23
23-18
17-28
18-22
25-31
18-14
17-19
21-29
16-22
25-21
29-32
29-15
29-14
18-10
19-18
8-11
21-13
8-20
22-16
14-18
16-24
27-17
17-21
14-11
19-19
14-17
15-24
18-17
17-22
26-19
20-14
12-30
25-13
20-20
24-19
20-22
22-29
156.8Avg total
77.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.580.9162.4+0.755%
Season at home (15)82.378.5160.8+3.773%
Season away (16)80.983.1163.9-2.238%
Last 10 (10)77.579.3156.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)74.078.4152.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.092.8173.8-11.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.175.1155.2+5.055%
vs Weaker (14)87.680.4167.9+7.271%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 71
A26/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
64avg 71
H28/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
77-88
77
88
-11
63avg 71
H05/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
53-76
53
76
-23
50avg 71
A18/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
74-75
74
75
-1
64avg 71
H25/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
66-91
66
91
-25
57avg 71
A03/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-61
75
61
+14
73avg 71
H12/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 71
A18/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
63avg 71
H26/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
15-20
28-21
17-25
12-21
18-19
23-10
21-26
18-21
17-17
19-23
23-27
26-11
8-32
9-15
10-18
12-24
14-20
23-15
25-16
21-15
11-28
26-25
8-23
30-19
23-29
22-19
19-12
15-28
15-13
24-15
21-5
16-18
21-24
25-20
22-18
11-20
16-23
22-15
22-18
153.9Avg total
74.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.780.2158.9-1.545%
Season at home (16)77.978.6156.6-0.738%
Season away (15)79.581.9161.3-2.453%
Last 10 (10)74.779.2153.9-4.530%
Last 5 (5)78.077.4155.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.482.5156.9-8.120%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.379.2158.5+0.153%
vs Weaker (3)93.382.0175.3+11.3100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
ValenciaOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A28/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A02/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H07/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H12/03
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A14/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H21/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/03
ACB
77.9Avg total
39.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.380.8+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.538.684.2+6.985%-
Last 30 away (17)38.539.878.3-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.677.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.242.079.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.537.779.3+3.882%-
vs Weaker (14)43.339.182.4+4.264%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A26/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H25/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H12/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A18/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H26/03
Euroleague
76.4Avg total
33.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.578.4-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.741.776.3-7.013%-
Last 30 away (15)39.141.480.5-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)33.842.676.4-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)35.843.479.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.143.377.4-9.210%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.739.476.1-2.724%-
vs Weaker (3)47.047.794.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.9
52.6%
52.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.8
39.0%
38.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.211.1
78.2%
79.3%11.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.9
55.6%
52.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
38.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws13.89.6
69.6%
79.3%9.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLWLWWLLL
Olympiacos
LWWWLLLLLL
#8
League position
#12
-3.1
Net rating
-5.7
107.8
Offensive rating
103.0
110.9
Defensive rating
108.7
55.2%
Effective FG%
52.8%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
20.3%
Turnover %
22.1%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.0%
3-point %
32.8%
72.6%
Assist %
61.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 103.0Defence110.9 · 108.7Shooting55.2% · 52.8%3-point %39.0% · 32.8%Ball care20.3% · 22.1%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
6
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
16/12/20Olympiacos v Valencia85-96
22/02/18Olympiacos v Valencia80-70
30/11/17Valencia v Olympiacos64-72
20/11/14Olympiacos v Valencia77-76
16/10/14Valencia v Olympiacos68-71
17/02/11Valencia v Olympiacos79-85
02/02/11Olympiacos v Valencia77-62
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/21ATenerife86-90
25/03/21HBayern83-76
21/03/21HBarcelona64-80
19/03/21AKhimki M.77-68
14/03/21AGipuzkoa60-78
12/03/21HFenerbahce66-52
07/03/21HManresa112-82
04/03/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv72-84
02/03/21AAnadolu Efes83-99
28/02/21AMoraBanc Andorra72-84
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/21HFenerbahce71-76
18/03/21AAlba Berlin84-80
12/03/21HZenit Petersburg75-61
05/03/21HCrvena zvezda94-79
03/03/21ABaskonia66-91
25/02/21HCSKA Moscow74-75
18/02/21AAnadolu Efes53-76
05/02/21HPanathinaikos77-88
28/01/21HBarcelona74-76
26/01/21AOlimpia Milano79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%73%38%
Points / game81.582.380.9
Allowed / game80.978.583.1
Point differential+0.7+3.7-2.2
Avg total162.4160.8163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL45%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %45%38%53%
Points / game78.777.979.5
Allowed / game80.278.681.9
Point differential-1.5-0.7-2.4
Avg total158.9156.6161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)33% (9)75% (4)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3223972%80.973.3+7.5
2 CSKA Moscow31211068%83.580.1+3.4
3 Anadolu Efes32211166%83.575.4+8.0
4 Olimpia Milano32201262%80.877.8+3.0
5 Fenerbahce32201262%79.078.5+0.5
6 Bayern32191359%78.377.7+0.7
7 Baskonia32181456%80.376.3+4.0
8 Real Madrid32181456%79.978.3+1.6
9 Zenit Petersburg31171455%76.975.5+1.4
10 Valencia31171455%81.580.9+0.7
11 Zalgiris Kaunas32161650%77.178.0-0.9
12 Olympiacos31141745%78.780.2-1.5
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%79.179.9-0.8
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne31121939%77.780.6-2.9
15 Alba Berlin32112134%78.383.2-4.9
16 Panathinaikos30102033%79.382.2-2.9
17 Crvena zvezda3292328%74.680.1-5.6
18 Khimki M.3142713%78.290.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1912103879
Olympiacos2321301488
← all games of the day
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