PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-84
18-16 24-21 20-25 18-22
Position#15
Record11-18
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#12
Record13-16
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2020
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Olympiacos
04 Apr 2025
ABE92
OLY100
29 Dec 2023
ABE67
OLY94
08 Feb 2023
ABE60
OLY93
10 Mar 2022
ABE90
OLY75
18 Mar 2021
ABE80
OLY84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
82avg 76
A19/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
74-65
74
65
+9
66avg 76
H26/02
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
100-62
100
62
+38
104avg 76
H28/02
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
71-87
71
87
-16
64avg 76
A02/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
A05/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 76
A07/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 76
H09/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 76
A11/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
89-58
89
58
+31
55avg 76
H14/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
96-82
96
82
+14
91avg 76
A16/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
20-21
18-22
24-22
11-17
17-17
22-19
24-12
24-8
25-17
26-16
25-21
24-23
24-20
19-25
4-19
20-25
21-22
27-20
32-14
18-27
20-19
28-8
18-22
19-24
13-22
17-18
32-25
23-30
20-22
27-21
25-16
20-15
20-15
25-13
24-15
15-18
39-20
21-13
21-31
165.2Avg total
87.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.482.9161.3-4.538%
Season at home (14)75.479.9155.4-4.536%
Season away (15)81.285.7166.9-4.540%
Last 10 (10)87.477.8165.2+9.670%
Last 5 (5)89.078.8167.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.883.4161.1-5.625%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.381.0161.3-0.743%
vs Weaker (15)89.972.8162.7+17.193%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
101-93 OT
101
93
+8
no box
A19/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
69avg 71
A22/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 71
A26/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
64avg 71
H28/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
77-88
77
88
-11
63avg 71
H05/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
53-76
53
76
-23
50avg 71
A18/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
74-75
74
75
-1
64avg 71
H25/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
66-91
66
91
-25
57avg 71
A03/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-61
75
61
+14
73avg 71
H12/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
21-22
19-24
23-25
20-26
24-19
16-18
19-18
19-24
15-20
28-21
17-25
12-21
18-19
23-10
21-26
18-21
17-17
19-23
23-27
26-11
8-32
9-15
10-18
12-24
14-20
23-15
25-16
21-15
11-28
26-25
8-23
30-19
23-29
22-19
19-12
15-28
15-13
24-15
21-5
158.2Avg total
77.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.880.3159.1-1.645%
Season at home (15)78.478.8157.2-0.440%
Season away (14)79.182.0161.1-2.950%
Last 10 (10)77.281.0158.2-3.830%
Last 5 (5)72.476.4148.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.482.5156.9-8.120%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.378.6156.9-0.447%
vs Weaker (3)93.382.0175.3+11.3100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
Alba BerlinOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A19/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H26/02
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H28/02
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A02/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A05/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A07/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H09/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A11/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H14/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A16/03
BBL
82.1Avg total
41.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.380.9+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.237.276.4+2.165%-
Last 30 away (13)44.742.286.8+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.682.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.483.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.940.281.1+0.662%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.442.477.9-7.014%-
vs Weaker (15)44.937.482.3+7.587%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A19/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A22/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A26/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H25/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H12/03
Euroleague
78.5Avg total
36.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.178.0-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.840.975.7-6.119%-
Last 30 away (14)39.241.480.6-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.242.378.5-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.043.878.8-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.143.377.4-9.210%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.738.675.4-1.929%-
vs Weaker (3)47.047.794.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.4
53.4%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.5
41.1%
38.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.814.3
85.1%
79.3%14.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.4
55.8%
52.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.4
31.5%
38.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws14.710.6
72.1%
79.3%10.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWLWWLWWL
Olympiacos
WWLLLLLLLW
#15
League position
#12
+11.5
Net rating
-7.1
114.3
Offensive rating
102.9
102.9
Defensive rating
110.0
56.9%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
21.0%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.1%
3-point %
31.5%
60.2%
Assist %
62.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 102.9Defence102.9 · 110.0Shooting56.9% · 51.9%3-point %41.1% · 31.5%Ball care16.5% · 21.0%Off. rebounds26.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
1
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
12/11/20Olympiacos v Alba Berlin75-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/21ASyntainics MBC96-82
14/03/21HGottingen89-58
11/03/21ALyon-Villeurbanne95-89
09/03/21HOldenburg81-89
07/03/21AUlm84-76
05/03/21AKhimki M.100-81
02/03/21AZenit Petersburg71-87
28/02/21HCrailsheim Merlins100-62
26/02/21HPanathinaikos74-65
19/02/21AFenerbahce84-89
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/21HZenit Petersburg75-61
05/03/21HCrvena zvezda94-79
03/03/21ABaskonia66-91
25/02/21HCSKA Moscow74-75
18/02/21AAnadolu Efes53-76
05/02/21HPanathinaikos77-88
28/01/21HBarcelona74-76
26/01/21AOlimpia Milano79-90
22/01/21AZalgiris Kaunas79-81
19/01/21ALyon-Villeurbanne101-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %38%36%40%
Points / game78.475.481.2
Allowed / game82.979.985.7
Point differential-4.5-4.5-4.5
Avg total161.3155.4166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW45%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game78.878.479.1
Allowed / game80.378.882.0
Point differential-1.6-0.4-2.9
Avg total159.1157.2161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)38% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2921872%80.873.3+7.5
2 Anadolu Efes29191066%82.775.4+7.3
3 Olimpia Milano29191066%81.777.9+3.8
4 CSKA Moscow28181064%82.980.3+2.6
5 Bayern29181162%78.777.4+1.3
6 Fenerbahce30181260%79.279.1+0.1
7 Real Madrid29171259%79.776.9+2.8
8 Zenit Petersburg29161355%76.675.4+1.2
9 Baskonia30161453%79.576.3+3.2
10 Valencia29151452%81.781.5+0.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas30151550%76.377.4-1.1
12 Olympiacos29131645%78.880.3-1.6
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne29121741%77.780.6-2.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv28111739%78.079.3-1.3
15 Alba Berlin29111838%78.482.9-4.5
16 Panathinaikos27101737%79.681.4-1.8
17 Crvena zvezda2982128%74.379.4-5.0
18 Khimki M.2832511%78.690.9-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1824201880
Olympiacos1621252284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.