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Valencia vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-84
25-23 17-27 25-19 18-15
Position#3
Record20-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game85.6
Valencia 🏆
vs
Olympiacos
Position#1
Record22-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33· Roig Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Olympiacos
13 Oct 2026
VAL97
OLY102
24 Mar 2026
VAL85
OLY84
08 Feb 2024
VAL65
OLY78
24 Feb 2023
VAL85
OLY92
31 Mar 2021
VAL79
OLY88
30 Nov 2017
VAL64
OLY72
16 Oct 2014
VAL68
OLY71
17 Feb 2011
VAL79
OLY85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
79avg 86
A08/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
82-67
82
67
+15
73avg 86
H12/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
107-75
107
75
+32
100avg 86
A15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
108-79
108
79
+29
110avg 86
A26/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
87avg 86
H05/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
110-84
110
84
+26
113avg 86
H08/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
69avg 86
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
66avg 86
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
57avg 86
H19/03
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
83avg 86
H22/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
27-23
22-25
20-18
22-17
22-16
19-12
19-22
25-23
32-16
26-14
24-22
35-16
33-19
25-23
15-21
25-13
25-26
21-25
20-23
30-19
25-20
35-23
20-22
19-20
24-31
22-24
14-21
20-25
8-23
20-16
23-25
15-18
18-17
19-18
10-13
23-16
32-23
19-21
33-31
172.8Avg total
90.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)89.885.6175.4+4.162%
Season at home (16)88.480.5168.9+7.981%
Season away (16)91.190.8181.8+0.344%
Last 10 (10)90.482.4172.8+8.060%
Last 5 (5)85.885.2171.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.688.6176.1-1.043%
vs Weaker (23)93.082.1175.1+11.065%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 89
H12/02
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
95-70
95
70
+25
92avg 89
A14/02
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
88avg 89
A25/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 89
H06/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
100-73
100
73
+27
104avg 89
H08/03
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
104-87
104
87
+17
106avg 89
A10/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
74avg 89
A12/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
61avg 89
A15/03
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
104-87
104
87
+17
105avg 89
H17/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
W
90-80
90
80
+10
92avg 89
H19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
25-25
23-23
20-18
23-11
19-25
32-20
21-14
18-18
21-19
21-14
13-22
20-13
20-16
18-27
28-24
25-11
16-22
28-15
31-25
33-22
30-33
24-16
17-16
14-22
23-21
26-19
17-19
23-15
16-20
19-19
21-17
23-29
25-17
26-21
30-20
19-24
22-16
28-22
21-18
173.8Avg total
92.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)90.584.1174.6+6.567%
Season at home (17)91.180.9171.9+10.282%
Season away (16)90.087.5177.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)92.481.4173.8+11.080%
Last 5 (5)91.481.2172.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)92.099.0191.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (29)95.981.8177.7+14.086%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
ValenciaOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A08/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H12/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
68-35
68
35
+33
A26/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H08/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/03
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H22/03
ACB
88.3Avg total
47.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.687.9+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.188.0+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)43.744.187.7-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)47.840.588.3+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.485.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.744.185.9-2.429%-
vs Weaker (23)46.342.188.5+4.257%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/02
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A14/02
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A25/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H06/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/03
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A10/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A15/03
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H17/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/03
Euroleague
83.8Avg total
43.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.140.087.1+7.283%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.939.388.2+9.593%-
Last 30 away (15)45.440.686.0+4.873%-
Last 10 (10)43.939.983.8+4.090%-
Last 5 (5)45.643.889.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)47.049.096.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (29)47.139.786.8+7.586%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.618.8
65.7%
60.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.7
37.5%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws13.69.1
66.9%
78.2%9.1
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.6 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers18.515.4
83.2%
60.4%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.2
35.8%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws8.36.6
79.5%
78.2%6.6
They take 47.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 61% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLLWWWWWL
Olympiacos
WWWLWWWLWW
#3
League position
#1
+10.3
Net rating
+9.2
88.0
Offensive rating
56.5
77.7
Defensive rating
47.3
61.0%
Effective FG%
65.3%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
61.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
19.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.18
37.5%
3-point %
35.8%
66.4%
Assist %
85.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 56.5Defence77.7 · 47.3Shooting61.0% · 65.3%3-point %37.5% · 35.8%Ball care13.9% · 19.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
16/12/25Olympiacos v Valencia92-99
08/02/24Valencia v Olympiacos65-78
15/12/23Olympiacos v Valencia56-63
24/02/23Valencia v Olympiacos85-92
04/11/22Olympiacos v Valencia82-83
31/03/21Valencia v Olympiacos79-88
16/12/20Olympiacos v Valencia85-96
22/02/18Olympiacos v Valencia80-70
30/11/17Valencia v Olympiacos64-72
20/11/14Olympiacos v Valencia77-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HGranada107-91
19/03/26HBarcelona62-66
14/03/26ATenerife71-89
12/03/26AReal Madrid79-96
08/03/26HMurcia110-84
05/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas91-87
26/02/26ABaskonia108-79
15/02/26AMoraBanc Andorra107-75
12/02/26HLyon-Villeurbanne82-67
08/02/26AJoventut Badalona87-90
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26HBaskonia90-80
17/03/26HFenerbahce104-87
15/03/26APanionios79-71
12/03/26AMonaco80-81
10/03/26AParis104-87
08/03/26HPAOK100-73
06/03/26HPanathinaikos86-80
25/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas94-99 OT
14/02/26AIraklis95-70
12/02/26HCrvena zvezda92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%81%44%
Points / game89.888.491.1
Allowed / game85.680.590.8
Point differential+4.1+7.9+0.3
Avg total175.4168.9181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game90.591.190.0
Allowed / game84.180.987.5
Point differential+6.5+10.2+2.5
Avg total174.6171.9177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce33231070%82.680.0+2.6
2 Olympiacos33221167%90.584.1+6.5
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv31201165%87.383.3+3.9
4 Real Madrid32201262%87.782.8+4.9
5 Valencia32201262%89.885.6+4.1
6 Zalgiris Kaunas33191458%88.583.7+4.8
7 Monaco33191458%90.186.3+3.8
8 Panathinaikos33191458%86.284.7+1.5
9 Crvena zvezda32181456%86.585.0+1.5
10 Barcelona32181456%85.084.1+0.9
11 Dubai33171652%88.488.0+0.4
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv32161650%89.691.6-2.0
13 Olimpia Milano33161748%85.486.2-0.8
14 Virtus Bologna32131941%81.885.4-3.6
15 Bayern33132039%80.183.7-3.6
16 Partizan32122038%80.887.0-6.2
17 Paris33122136%89.291.6-2.4
18 Anadolu Efes32102231%80.884.5-3.7
19 Baskonia3292328%86.892.6-5.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3282425%79.186.5-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2517251885
Olympiacos2327191584
← all games of the day
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