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Valencia vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-76
26-19 20-14 12-30 25-13
Position#8
Record16-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#5
Record19-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31
European cup2020
Meetings · Valencia v Bayern
12 Nov 2026
VAL102
BAY87
25 Nov 2025
VAL90
BAY64
20 Mar 2024
VAL70
BAY68
31 Jan 2023
VAL82
BAY73
25 Mar 2021
VAL83
BAY76
04 Mar 2015
VAL80
BAY58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
86avg 79
H19/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
91-62
91
62
+29
95avg 79
A25/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A28/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
79avg 79
A02/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 79
A04/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
112-82
112
82
+30
95avg 79
H07/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
66-52
66
52
+14
63avg 79
H12/03
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
60-78
60
78
-18
52avg 79
A14/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
57avg 79
H21/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
26-14
16-17
18-26
22-19
22-22
18-9
29-12
17-12
17-27
17-22
21-23
23-18
17-28
18-22
25-31
18-14
17-19
21-29
16-22
25-21
29-32
29-15
29-14
18-10
19-18
8-11
21-13
8-20
22-16
14-18
16-24
27-17
17-21
14-11
19-19
14-17
15-24
18-17
17-22
155.3Avg total
78.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.581.0162.5+0.553%
Season at home (14)82.278.7160.9+3.571%
Season away (16)80.983.1163.9-2.238%
Last 10 (10)78.676.7155.3+1.950%
Last 5 (5)75.872.0147.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.092.8173.8-11.825%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.173.3152.4+5.856%
vs Weaker (16)86.879.9166.7+6.869%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 77
A02/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-71
76
71
+5
66avg 77
H04/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
84avg 77
A07/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
71avg 77
A12/03
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
W
108-102
108
102
+6
106avg 77
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
70avg 77
H16/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
74avg 77
H19/03
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
A21/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
85-66
85
66
+19
78avg 77
H23/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-10
16-25
19-22
28-19
14-21
23-15
20-19
19-16
22-26
25-18
26-15
20-19
18-12
25-20
21-26
30-21
15-17
18-16
12-27
26-18
18-20
28-22
23-32
39-28
14-19
20-31
20-10
24-9
18-23
19-23
22-17
21-16
16-15
15-20
27-20
21-19
19-13
19-19
21-23
26-11
161.4Avg total
84.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.877.5156.3+1.363%
Season at home (15)80.575.6156.1+4.980%
Season away (15)77.079.4156.4-2.447%
Last 10 (10)84.277.2161.4+7.090%
Last 5 (5)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.776.7150.3-3.067%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.982.4164.3-0.558%
vs Weaker (15)86.177.1163.3+9.087%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +7.8+7.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +7.8+7.8
ValenciaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H19/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A28/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A02/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H07/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H12/03
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A14/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H21/03
ACB
79.2Avg total
40.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.881.0+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.239.484.6+5.877%-
Last 30 away (17)38.040.278.2-2.241%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.079.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.278.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.242.079.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.838.178.9+2.778%-
vs Weaker (16)42.839.782.4+3.156%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A02/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A07/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#10
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/03
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H16/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H19/03
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A21/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/03
BBL
76.2Avg total
37.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.478.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.978.2+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)38.239.878.1-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.576.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.078.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.741.379.0-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.239.878.0-1.742%-
vs Weaker (15)39.538.678.1+0.953%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.8
55.0%
52.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.5
39.3%
38.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.711.3
76.9%
79.3%11.3
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.9
53.3%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.7
40.7%
38.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.113.7
80.1%
79.3%13.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLWWLLLWW
Bayern
WWWWWLWWWW
#8
League position
#5
+2.1
Net rating
+10.0
109.3
Offensive rating
116.0
107.2
Defensive rating
106.0
56.6%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.3%
3-point %
40.7%
68.6%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 116.0Defence107.2 · 106.0Shooting56.6% · 55.9%3-point %39.3% · 40.7%Ball care19.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.3% · 31.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Valencia   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
13/11/20Bayern v Valencia90-79
11/03/15Bayern v Valencia60-94
04/03/15Valencia v Bayern80-58
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21HBarcelona64-80
19/03/21AKhimki M.77-68
14/03/21AGipuzkoa60-78
12/03/21HFenerbahce66-52
07/03/21HManresa112-82
04/03/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv72-84
02/03/21AAnadolu Efes83-99
28/02/21AMoraBanc Andorra72-84
25/02/21AZenit Petersburg91-62
19/02/21HReal Madrid89-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/21HSyntainics MBC85-66
21/03/21ACrailsheim Merlins79-74
19/03/21HAnadolu Efes80-79
16/03/21HBonn78-69
14/03/21HOldenburg108-102
12/03/21ABaskonia71-78
09/03/21ABasketball Braunschweig94-79
07/03/21AVechta93-78
04/03/21HPanathinaikos76-71
02/03/21ACrvena zvezda78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %53%71%38%
Points / game81.582.280.9
Allowed / game81.078.783.1
Point differential+0.5+3.5-2.2
Avg total162.5160.9163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %63%80%47%
Points / game78.880.577.0
Allowed / game77.575.679.4
Point differential+1.3+4.9-2.4
Avg total156.3156.1156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)71% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3022873%80.572.7+7.8
2 CSKA Moscow30201067%83.480.3+3.1
3 Anadolu Efes31201165%82.775.2+7.5
4 Olimpia Milano30191163%80.877.7+3.1
5 Bayern30191163%78.877.5+1.3
6 Fenerbahce30181260%79.279.1+0.1
7 Real Madrid31181358%79.877.3+2.5
8 Zenit Petersburg29161355%76.675.4+1.2
9 Baskonia30161453%79.576.3+3.2
10 Valencia30161453%81.581.0+0.5
11 Zalgiris Kaunas31151648%76.577.7-1.3
12 Olympiacos30141647%78.980.3-1.4
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv29121741%78.479.4-1.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne30121840%77.580.4-2.9
15 Alba Berlin30111937%78.582.9-4.5
16 Panathinaikos29101934%79.281.7-2.5
17 Crvena zvezda3192229%74.679.7-5.1
18 Khimki M.2932610%78.290.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2620122583
Bayern1914301376
← all games of the day
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