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Valga vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-102
28-19 12-29 20-25 20-29
Position#13
Record6-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#14
Record5-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game88.5
Meetings · Valga v BK Liepaja
06 Mar 2019
VALG80
BK L102
11 Nov 2017
VALG77
BK L80
21 Dec 2016
VALG58
BK L93
02 Apr 2016
VALG84
BK L67
16 Nov 2012
VALG60
BK L57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#9
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
W
85-66
85
66
+19
A19/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
79-91 OT
79
91
-12
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H20/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
54-82
54
82
-28
H27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
18-20
18-24
19-18
13-20
21-22
12-16
10-19
22-23
16-21
18-15
29-7
10-24
23-18
21-17
19-27
15-16
14-14
22-27
23-12
10-22
14-25
12-21
18-20
14-17
16-19
25-22
29-18
18-18
16-19
12-13
20-16
15-14
22-25
10-17
12-14
12-26
12-20
18-24
12-12
147.8Avg total
68.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.580.3150.8-9.926%
Season at home (12)65.279.5144.8-14.217%
Season away (11)76.281.3157.5-5.136%
Last 10 (10)68.879.0147.8-10.230%
Last 5 (5)66.081.4147.4-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.284.9154.1-15.711%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.678.7154.2-3.144%
vs Weaker (2)69.065.5134.5+3.550%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
L
96-101 OT
96
101
-5
A09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
91-98
91
98
-7
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
96-99
96
99
-3
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
83-96
83
96
-13
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
70-106
70
106
-36
H06/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A23/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
31-15
17-28
19-17
22-28
27-20
22-21
20-22
31-25
22-19
15-17
23-37
24-25
24-18
28-31
20-25
19-23
16-29
25-19
23-25
11-28
21-24
22-29
16-25
18-18
18-14
19-22
15-24
21-19
16-22
25-15
11-15
14-11
15-19
20-13
14-28
17-26
12-14
14-26
25-20
169.6Avg total
80.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.388.5163.8-13.122%
Season at home (11)77.386.5163.7-9.236%
Season away (12)73.690.3163.9-16.88%
Last 10 (10)80.389.3169.6-9.020%
Last 5 (5)68.882.4151.2-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)73.190.1163.2-17.012%
vs Similar ◀ (3)69.069.7138.7-0.733%
vs Weaker (3)73.767.3141.0+6.367%
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -5.2-5.2
ValgaBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H20/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
72.2Avg total
31.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.441.274.6-7.817%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.141.473.5-9.313%-
Last 30 away (15)34.740.975.6-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)31.640.672.2-9.00%-
Last 5 (5)29.841.070.8-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.543.676.1-11.15%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.037.471.4-3.433%-
vs Weaker (2)39.535.074.5+4.550%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H06/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A23/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
82.9Avg total
40.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.043.080.0-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.642.678.2-7.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.243.281.5-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.482.9-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.071.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.344.682.9-6.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)30.338.068.3-7.733%-
vs Weaker (3)33.335.068.3-1.733%-
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valga wins
6
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
03/11/18BK Liepaja v Valga85-76
10/03/18BK Liepaja v Valga81-89
11/11/17Valga v BK Liepaja77-80
29/03/17BK Liepaja v Valga108-85
21/12/16Valga v BK Liepaja58-93
02/04/16Valga v BK Liepaja84-67
29/12/15BK Liepaja v Valga96-73
16/11/12Valga v BK Liepaja60-57
04/10/12BK Liepaja v Valga96-66
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/19HVEF Riga54-82
20/02/19HJekabpils59-70
13/02/19AParnu79-91 OT
10/02/19ALatvijas Universitate84-76
07/02/19HBC Kalev/Cramo54-88
30/01/19HValmiera Glass Via74-69
26/01/19ABK Ogre73-86
19/01/19AJurmala85-66
12/01/19AVentspils56-77
09/01/19HRapla70-85
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/19ATartu Ulikool68-86
23/02/19AJekabpils63-71
19/02/19HValmiera Glass Via73-71
13/02/19HLatvijas Universitate70-78
06/02/19HVEF Riga70-106
27/01/19AParnu83-96
26/01/19ARapla96-99
20/01/19HTal Tech91-98
09/01/19AJurmala96-101 OT
22/12/18AValmiera Glass Via93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Latvia-Estonian League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL26%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%17%36%
Points / game70.565.276.2
Allowed / game80.379.581.3
Point differential-9.9-14.2-5.1
Avg total150.8144.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLLLW36%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %22%36%8%
Points / game75.377.373.6
Allowed / game88.586.590.3
Point differential-13.1-9.2-16.8
Avg total163.8163.7163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ventspils2524196%88.571.6+17.0
2 VEF Riga2523292%91.470.2+21.3
3 BC Kalev/Cramo2220291%92.272.3+19.9
4 BK Ogre2415962%90.882.8+7.9
5 Tal Tech2314961%81.982.5-0.6
6 Tartu Ulikool23121152%80.980.7+0.2
7 Rapla25121348%79.481.2-1.8
8 Jurmala25121348%77.379.2-1.9
9 Tallinna Kalev24101442%79.879.3+0.4
10 Parnu24101442%76.480.2-3.8
11 Latvijas Universitate2371630%69.377.6-8.3
12 Valmiera Glass Via2471729%80.386.4-6.1
13 Valga2361726%70.580.3-9.9
14 BK Liepaja2351822%75.388.5-13.1
15 Jekabpils252238%67.989.2-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga2812202080
BK Liepaja19292529102
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