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Valparaiso vs Central Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 93-77
36-31 57-46
Position#248
Record4-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#242
Record5-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valparaiso v Central Michigan
14 Dec 2024
VALP93
CENT77
08 Dec 2019
VALP77
CENT55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H03/03
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A07/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A04/11
NCAA
Concordia
#678
W
111-46
111
46
+65
H09/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H13/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H24/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A29/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-31
31-41
22-48
39-38
32-42
31-41
63-18
48-28
31-28
36-47
39-32
38-32
35-29
46-24
41-39
46-43
29-42
41-47
26-35
34-31
146.8Avg total
75.2Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.069.8146.8+7.250%
Season at home (6)80.564.3144.8+16.267%
Season away (2)66.586.0152.5-19.50%
Last 10 (10)75.271.6146.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)75.070.8145.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)67.077.6144.6-10.612%
vs Similar ◀ (3)76.068.7144.7+7.367%
vs Weaker (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
H09/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H14/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A05/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H08/11
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A12/11
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A14/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#506
W
86-52
86
52
+34
H21/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#593
W
115-69
115
69
+46
H01/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#428
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-23
26-32
28-26
28-40
38-23
36-47
36-30
36-43
27-42
35-28
36-33
34-36
41-25
45-27
34-34
31-34
62-37
53-32
52-32
41-37
142.6Avg total
75.8Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.667.5147.1+12.162%
Season at home (3)91.064.7155.7+26.367%
Season away (5)72.869.2142.0+3.660%
Last 10 (10)75.866.8142.6+9.060%
Last 5 (5)85.865.4151.2+20.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)64.569.7134.2-5.250%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.660.0129.6+9.6100%
vs Weaker (6)75.866.8142.7+9.050%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +0.9+0.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +0.9+0.9
ValparaisoCentral Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/03
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
22-48
22
48
-26
A07/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/11
NCAA
Concordia
#678
W
63-18
63
18
+45
H09/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H06/12
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.537.470.9-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.436.170.5-1.841%-
Last 30 away (13)32.339.171.4-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)36.234.470.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.469.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)31.938.570.4-6.628%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)34.334.368.7+0.067%-
vs Weaker (1)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H09/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H14/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A05/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A12/11
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#506
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H21/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#593
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#428
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A06/12
NCAA
68.8Avg total
38.3Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.630.462.9+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.828.563.3+6.371%-
Last 30 away (16)30.632.062.6-1.456%-
Last 10 (10)38.330.568.8+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.032.277.2+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.231.460.6-2.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.726.358.0+5.471%-
vs Weaker (6)37.531.368.8+6.267%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valparaiso wins
2
Central Michigan wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HDrake60-66
29/11/24ADePaul70-89
27/11/24HNorthern Illinois87-82
24/11/24HEastern Illinois81-53
22/11/24HLindenwood77-64
13/11/24HCleveland State67-75
09/11/24HConcordia111-46
04/11/24ALiberty63-83
07/03/24ABelmont61-86
03/03/24HIllinois State75-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24AAquinas93-69
01/12/24HPurdue Northwest115-69
26/11/24AMinnesota65-68
21/11/24HCentral State (OH)86-52
14/11/24AGeorge Mason70-69
12/11/24AMarquette62-70
08/11/24HStony Brook72-73
05/11/24ASouth Alabama74-70
14/03/24HBowling Green56-66
09/03/24HEastern Michigan65-62 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.080.566.5
Allowed / game69.864.386.0
Point differential+7.2+16.2-19.5
Avg total146.8144.8152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game79.691.072.8
Allowed / game67.564.769.2
Point differential+12.1+26.3+3.6
Avg total147.1155.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake990100%75.055.2+19.8
2 Bradley98189%83.666.1+17.4
3 Belmont108280%83.276.9+6.3
4 Murray State96367%79.365.1+14.2
5 Northern Iowa106460%76.464.4+12.0
6 Illinois (Chi.)106460%82.174.5+7.6
7 Indiana State106460%82.876.8+6.0
8 Illinois State95456%79.972.6+7.3
9 Valparaiso84450%77.069.8+7.2
10 Southern Illinois104640%74.674.5+0.1
11 Evansville103730%69.073.2-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State97278%68.360.6+7.8
2 Akron86275%85.872.4+13.4
3 Central Michigan85362%79.667.5+12.1
4 Miami (Ohio)85362%71.971.8+0.1
5 Toledo106460%81.277.3+3.9
6 Eastern Michigan95456%69.071.4-2.4
7 Buffalo105550%76.178.2-2.1
8 Bowling Green94544%78.873.2+5.6
9 Ohio94544%78.779.7-1.0
10 Ball State104640%73.772.7+1.0
11 UMass114736%75.374.7+0.5
12 Western Michigan93633%72.070.6+1.4
13 Northern Illinois103730%69.676.2-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso365793
Central Michigan314677
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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