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Valparaiso vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 87-82
41-39 46-43
Position#248
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game64.2
vs
Position#352
Record2-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H22/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H03/03
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A07/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A04/11
NCAA
Concordia
#678
W
111-46
111
46
+65
H09/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H13/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-45
27-38
44-36
24-44
21-38
33-30
44-31
31-41
22-48
39-38
32-42
31-41
63-18
48-28
31-28
36-47
39-32
38-32
35-29
46-24
143.1Avg total
72.1Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.864.2144.0+15.660%
Season at home (4)84.059.5143.5+24.575%
Season away (1)63.083.0146.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)72.171.0143.1+1.140%
Last 5 (5)79.864.2144.0+15.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)66.777.5144.2-10.911%
vs Similar (2)79.058.5137.5+20.5100%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#107
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A02/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A05/11
NCAA
Holy Cross Saints
#683
W
105-37
105
37
+68
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H13/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A17/11
NCAA
Elon
#174
L
48-75
48
75
-27
H21/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
52-98
52
98
-46
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-37
47-35
37-34
36-46
28-32
35-37
38-37
40-31
24-40
41-40
50-21
55-16
42-34
37-32
33-43
27-33
29-38
19-37
15-51
37-47
141.9Avg total
69.8Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.272.0140.2-3.833%
Season at home (3)77.359.3136.7+18.067%
Season away (3)59.084.7143.7-25.70%
Last 10 (10)69.872.1141.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)68.870.4139.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)64.180.6144.6-16.511%
vs Similar (7)74.675.6150.1-1.029%
vs Weaker (2)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.0+2.0
ValparaisoNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/03
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
22-48
22
48
-26
A07/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/11
NCAA
Concordia
#678
W
63-18
63
18
+45
H09/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H24/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
36.8Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.937.470.3-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.536.070.5-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)31.338.970.2-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.771.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.029.869.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)31.538.770.1-7.226%-
vs Similar (2)37.030.567.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#107
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A02/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H06/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A05/11
NCAA
Holy Cross Saints
#683
W
50-21
50
21
+29
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H13/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/11
NCAA
Elon
#174
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H21/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
15-51
15
51
-36
A23/11
NCAA
69.1Avg total
32.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.535.969.4-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.933.967.8+0.127%-
Last 30 away (15)33.138.071.1-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)32.436.769.1-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.471.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.239.169.3-8.916%-
vs Similar (7)36.332.368.6+4.057%-
vs Weaker (2)34.535.570.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Northern Illinois wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HEastern Illinois81-53
22/11/24HLindenwood77-64
13/11/24HCleveland State67-75
09/11/24HConcordia111-46
04/11/24ALiberty63-83
07/03/24ABelmont61-86
03/03/24HIllinois State75-72
28/02/24ANorthern Iowa54-68
24/02/24AMurray State68-80
22/02/24HIndiana State64-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24ADePaul52-98
21/11/24HElon48-75
17/11/24ABradley60-76
13/11/24HMonmouth79-66
08/11/24HHoly Cross Saints105-37
05/11/24AGeorgia Southern65-80
09/03/24ABuffalo78-68
06/03/24HCentral Michigan63-69
02/03/24AAkron73-80
28/02/24AToledo75-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game79.884.063.0
Allowed / game64.259.583.0
Point differential+15.6+24.5-20.0
Avg total144.0143.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game68.277.359.0
Allowed / game72.059.384.7
Point differential-3.8+18.0-25.7
Avg total140.2136.7143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake660100%76.359.2+17.2
2 Bradley76186%80.370.6+9.7
3 Murray State64267%83.765.2+18.5
4 Belmont64267%79.875.5+4.3
5 Valparaiso53260%79.864.2+15.6
6 Northern Iowa53260%79.667.4+12.2
7 Illinois (Chi.)74357%86.474.0+12.4
8 Illinois State74357%78.670.4+8.1
9 Indiana State63350%82.875.7+7.2
10 Evansville73443%71.073.6-2.6
11 Southern Illinois83538%76.674.0+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State54180%73.664.6+9.0
2 Toledo75271%80.378.0+2.3
3 Eastern Michigan75271%68.367.0+1.3
4 Akron64267%83.276.3+6.8
5 Miami (Ohio)64267%74.273.0+1.2
6 Buffalo74357%77.480.7-3.3
7 Central Michigan63350%71.567.0+4.5
8 Ball State73443%74.670.0+4.6
9 Western Michigan73443%72.668.7+3.9
10 Bowling Green62433%79.374.2+5.2
11 Northern Illinois62433%68.272.0-3.8
12 Ohio72529%76.681.9-5.3
13 UMass61517%74.779.8-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso414687
Northern Illinois394382
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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