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Valparaiso vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 86-77
32-35 54-42
Position#173
Record6-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#57
Record10-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game63.3
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Valparaiso v Indiana State
27 Jan 2027
VALP v INDI
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
VALP63
INDI62
15 Feb 2026
VALP76
INDI75
08 Jan 2025
VALP98
INDI95
21 Feb 2024
VALP64
INDI83
01 Jan 2023
VALP50
INDI68
05 Feb 2022
VALP79
INDI72
27 Feb 2021
VALP70
INDI58
26 Feb 2021
VALP43
INDI58
18 Jan 2020
VALP86
INDI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#246
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H08/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#161
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A17/12
NCAA
High Point
#294
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A19/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#134
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
A05/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
47-43
34-22
43-33
30-35
27-32
39-42
48-30
34-32
34-40
28-35
35-31
36-31
34-39
28-32
22-31
34-34
32-27
42-36
36-52
141.4Avg total
70.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.772.7145.4+0.043%
Season at home (5)74.465.0139.4+9.460%
Season away (9)71.877.0148.8-5.233%
Last 10 (10)70.670.8141.4-0.240%
Last 5 (5)67.671.4139.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.078.5143.5-13.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)66.969.7136.6-2.943%
vs Weaker (7)80.467.9148.3+12.686%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri-St. Louis Rivermen
#360
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H30/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#23
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H03/12
NCAA
Wright State
#21
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#355
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H31/12
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
65-42
65
42
+23
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-23
37-32
31-19
40-41
38-33
35-40
40-34
38-38
40-25
45-39
36-28
32-28
41-49
35-31
24-31
36-37
29-21
36-31
34-19
31-23
134.0Avg total
71.4Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.563.3135.8+9.283%
Season at home (8)72.259.4131.6+12.9100%
Season away (4)73.071.2144.2+1.850%
Last 10 (10)71.462.6134.0+8.880%
Last 5 (5)66.859.6126.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.768.3140.0+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (1)68.056.0124.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker (7)75.063.4138.4+11.686%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.5+2.5
ValparaisoIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#246
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#282
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H08/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#161
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/12
NCAA
High Point
#294
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A19/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#134
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A05/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
33.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)34.034.268.2-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.332.067.3+3.358%-
Last 30 away (11)32.636.569.2-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)33.734.167.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.667.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.038.071.0-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.933.368.1+1.643%-
vs Weaker (7)36.733.069.7+3.757%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri-St. Louis Rivermen
#360
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H30/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#23
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H03/12
NCAA
Wright State
#21
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#355
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H31/12
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H16/01
NCAA
62.0Avg total
33.8Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)33.729.363.1+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (9)34.325.259.6+9.1100%-
Last 30 away (6)32.835.568.3-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)33.828.262.0+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)32.829.662.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.027.758.7+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)36.028.064.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (7)36.430.166.6+6.386%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Indiana State wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/20ANorthern Iowa78-88
11/01/20HDrake66-61
08/01/20ASouthern Illinois50-63
05/01/20AEvansville81-79 OT
31/12/19HLoyola Chicago63-66
22/12/19HArkansas68-72
19/12/19AHigh Point87-72
17/12/19ACharlotte57-67
08/12/19HCentral Michigan77-55
04/12/19AEastern Michigan79-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/20HEvansville65-42
11/01/20HIllinois State65-52
08/01/20ANorthern Iowa60-68
04/01/20ADrake76-80
31/12/19HSouthern Illinois68-56
22/12/19HChicago State85-64
19/12/19HTennessee State78-72
07/12/19AWright State84-77 OT
03/12/19HNorth Dakota St71-60
30/11/19HMissouri-St. Louis Rivermen62-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %43%60%33%
Points / game72.774.471.8
Allowed / game72.765.077.0
Point differential+0.0+9.4-5.2
Avg total145.4139.4148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %14%0%22%
Indiana State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game72.572.273.0
Allowed / game63.359.471.2
Point differential+9.2+12.9+1.8
Avg total135.8131.6144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa1210283%79.466.9+12.5
2 Indiana State1210283%72.563.3+9.2
3 Murray State1410471%76.765.4+11.3
4 Drake1410471%69.667.9+1.8
5 Belmont1510567%79.167.9+11.3
6 Bradley1510567%72.264.9+7.3
7 Southern Illinois126650%61.559.5+2.0
8 Illinois (Chi.)167944%68.971.4-2.4
9 Valparaiso146843%72.772.7+0.0
10 Evansville156940%70.077.6-7.6
11 Illinois State1441029%66.070.9-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso325486
Indiana State354277
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