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Valparaiso vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 61-69
33-35 28-34
Position#242
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Valparaiso
USA
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#21
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Valparaiso v Toledo
28 Nov 2026
VALP v TOLE
upcoming
09 Nov 2021
VALP61
TOLE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A14/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H23/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H27/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-24
38-33
30-37
22-39
39-27
31-30
33-39
27-35
29-26
23-28
34-39
32-26
26-30
38-37
16-38
27-20
39-18
31-40
13-31
42-35
123.8Avg total
60.6Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)60.663.2123.8-2.640%
Last 5 (5)59.662.8122.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.072.0136.0-8.025%
vs Similar (15)64.167.9132.1-3.840%
vs Weaker (3)84.758.0142.7+26.7100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#232
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A06/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H17/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
91-44
91
44
+47
H27/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A02/03
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H06/03
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#5
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A17/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-34
0-0
31-47
0-0
37-41
0-0
44-47
0-0
46-37
0-0
41-38
0-0
40-32
0-0
40-38
0-0
54-16
0-0
37-28
0-0
42-32
0-0
37-49
0-0
38-34
0-0
51-36
0-0
41-34
0-0
38-45
0-0
31-43
0-0
49-44
0-0
38-32
0-0
28-44
157.2Avg total
81.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.176.1157.2+5.050%
Last 5 (5)81.080.6161.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)83.179.7162.8+3.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.868.7149.6+12.174%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -2.0-2.0
ValparaisoToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#11
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
16-38
16
38
-22
H27/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
13-31
13
31
-18
A06/03
NCAA
60.4Avg total
29.5Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.031.662.6-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.231.363.5+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)30.131.962.0-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)29.530.960.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)25.631.256.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)28.632.260.8-3.633%-
vs Similar (15)31.332.463.7-1.140%-
vs Weaker (3)39.025.764.7+13.3100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#232
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H13/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H17/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
54-16
54
16
+38
H27/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A02/03
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H11/03
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H12/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A17/03
NIT
73.8Avg total
40.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.532.672.0+6.983%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.932.472.3+7.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.032.771.7+6.387%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.573.8+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.073.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)39.737.276.9+2.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.430.269.6+9.389%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
1
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
19/12/20Toledo v Valparaiso71-57
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21AMissouri State55-66
27/02/21HIndiana State70-58
27/02/21HIndiana State43-58
23/02/21HSouthern Illinois64-67
21/02/21ASouthern Illinois66-65
18/02/21ALoyola Chicago52-54
15/02/21ANorthern Iowa60-74
14/02/21ANorthern Iowa70-57
11/02/21HBradley52-76
07/02/21HDrake74-57
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/21ARichmond Spiders66-76
12/03/21HOhio80-87
11/03/21HBall State91-89 OT
06/03/21HBall State89-70
02/03/21ACentral Michigan79-81
27/02/21HWestern Michigan91-44
20/02/21ABuffalo80-70
17/02/21HMiami (Ohio)87-75
13/02/21HBowling Green81-88
06/02/21ABall State67-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Toledo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morgan State110100%118.055.0+63.0
2 Manhattan110100%99.042.0+57.0
3 Uconn110100%99.048.0+51.0
4 Villanova110100%91.051.0+40.0
5 Middle Tenn. St.110100%98.059.0+39.0
6 Wofford110100%117.079.0+38.0
7 Winthrop110100%110.078.0+32.0
8 South Florida110100%75.054.0+21.0
9 Washington State110100%85.067.0+18.0
10 UC San Diego110100%80.067.0+13.0
11 Radford110100%84.072.0+12.0
12 Butler110100%56.047.0+9.0
13 Indiana110100%68.062.0+6.0
14 UALR110100%69.066.0+3.0
15 VCU Rams110100%57.054.0+3.0
16 Ohio State110100%67.066.0+1.0
17 Akron1010%66.067.0-1.0
18 Southern Illinois1010%66.069.0-3.0
19 St. Peters1010%54.057.0-3.0
20 Eastern Michigan1010%62.068.0-6.0
21 IUPUI1010%47.056.0-9.0
22 Emory & Henry1010%72.084.0-12.0
23 California1010%67.080.0-13.0
24 Alcorn State1010%67.085.0-18.0
25 Bethune-Cookman1010%54.075.0-21.0
26 Mary Baldwin1010%78.0110.0-32.0
27 Bob Jones1010%79.0117.0-38.0
28 Brescia1010%59.098.0-39.0
29 Mount St. Mary's1010%51.091.0-40.0
30 Central Connecticut State1010%48.099.0-51.0
31 Manhattanville1010%42.099.0-57.0
32 St. Mary's (MD)1010%55.0118.0-63.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso332861
Toledo353469
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