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Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 65-66
39-34 26-32
Position#211
Record10-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#279
Record8-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Valparaiso
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
01 Jan 2026
SOUT75
VALP70
22 Feb 2025
SOUT79
VALP83
24 Jan 2024
SOUT75
VALP69
30 Jan 2022
SOUT77
VALP55
21 Feb 2021
SOUT65
VALP66
17 Jan 2021
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
07 Jan 2020
SOUT63
VALP50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#122
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A26/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
L
55-80
55
80
-25
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
33-35
29-31
30-40
30-27
32-47
37-24
34-44
31-32
35-42
37-43
32-25
21-24
32-41
26-40
29-40
34-24
25-25
22-36
31-32
129.9Avg total
61.3Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)67.069.0135.9-2.050%
Season at home (11)68.565.5134.1+3.064%
Season away (9)65.173.1138.2-8.033%
Last 10 (10)61.368.6129.9-7.330%
Last 5 (5)57.866.0123.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)59.969.7129.6-9.820%
vs Similar ◀ (15)65.570.5136.0-5.147%
vs Weaker (5)76.657.6134.2+19.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#311
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A31/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A14/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-26
32-40
29-32
33-30
27-37
25-33
33-24
18-34
43-35
34-45
36-24
38-33
30-37
22-39
39-27
31-30
33-39
27-35
29-26
23-28
132.6Avg total
64.9Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)66.269.0135.3-2.835%
Season at home (10)72.370.6142.9+1.750%
Season away (13)61.567.8129.4-6.323%
Last 10 (10)64.967.7132.6-2.840%
Last 5 (5)61.663.6125.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.872.5137.4-7.727%
vs Similar ◀ (15)68.771.4140.1-2.740%
vs Weaker (4)78.057.2135.2+20.8100%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: -6.4-6.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: -6.4-6.4
Southern IllinoisValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#122
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H18/02
NCAA
61.5Avg total
30.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.231.663.8+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.932.167.0+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)29.531.160.6-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)30.031.561.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)28.033.461.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.834.062.8-5.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.731.464.1+1.353%-
vs Weaker (5)37.227.664.8+9.6100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#311
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A24/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A18/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
33.7Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.032.564.5-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.232.867.1+1.454%-
Last 30 away (17)30.232.362.5-2.141%-
Last 10 (10)33.730.764.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.430.664.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.032.362.3-2.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.134.666.7-2.540%-
vs Weaker (4)37.025.562.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Illinois wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/21HMissouri State53-68
14/02/21HIllinois State59-49
13/02/21HIllinois State55-80
11/02/21AMissouri State53-65
07/02/21ABradley69-68
06/02/21ABradley66-74
31/01/21HNorthern Iowa71-68
30/01/21HNorthern Iowa62-74
26/01/21AIndiana State59-71
26/01/21AIndiana State66-69
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/21ALoyola Chicago52-54
15/02/21ANorthern Iowa60-74
14/02/21ANorthern Iowa70-57
11/02/21HBradley52-76
07/02/21HDrake74-57
06/02/21HDrake77-80
02/02/21AEvansville51-58
31/01/21AEvansville52-70
29/01/21HBradley91-85 OT
24/01/21AIllinois State70-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLWLWL64%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%64%33%
Points / game67.068.565.1
Allowed / game69.065.573.1
Point differential-1.9+3.0-8.0
Avg total135.9134.1138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL35%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %35%50%23%
Points / game66.272.361.5
Allowed / game69.070.667.8
Point differential-2.8+1.7-6.3
Avg total135.3142.9129.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2625196%82.567.7+14.8
2 Drake2422292%78.963.8+15.2
3 Indiana State2113862%68.867.8+1.0
4 Murray State23131057%77.765.8+11.9
5 Southern Illinois20101050%67.069.0-1.9
6 Illinois (Chi.)21101148%68.571.9-3.4
7 Bradley25111444%69.966.0+3.9
8 Evansville2181338%64.869.5-4.8
9 Valparaiso2381535%66.269.0-2.8
10 Illinois State2271532%72.574.6-2.0
11 Northern Iowa2271532%68.671.6-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois392665
Valparaiso343266
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