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Valparaiso vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-67
26-30 38-37
Position#279
Record9-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game68.9
vs
Position#211
Record10-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Valparaiso v Southern Illinois
02 Jan 2027
VALP v SOUT
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
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SOUT63
28 Jan 2025
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SOUT79
10 Jan 2024
VALP68
SOUT77
14 Feb 2023
VALP62
SOUT66
08 Jan 2022
VALP60
SOUT63
22 Feb 2021
VALP64
SOUT67
12 Feb 2020
VALP55
SOUT38
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#234
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A31/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A14/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
33-30
27-37
25-33
33-24
18-34
43-35
34-45
36-24
38-33
30-37
22-39
39-27
31-30
33-39
27-35
29-26
23-28
34-39
32-26
132.1Avg total
64.5Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)66.268.9135.1-2.738%
Season at home (10)72.370.6142.9+1.750%
Season away (14)61.967.6129.5-5.829%
Last 10 (10)64.567.6132.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)60.065.2125.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.872.5137.4-7.727%
vs Similar ◀ (15)68.170.6138.7-2.547%
vs Weaker (4)78.057.2135.2+20.8100%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#122
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
L
55-80
55
80
-25
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H18/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
30-40
30-27
32-47
37-24
34-44
31-32
35-42
37-43
32-25
21-24
32-41
26-40
29-40
34-24
25-25
22-36
31-32
39-34
26-32
129.5Avg total
61.2Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)66.968.8135.7-1.948%
Season at home (12)68.265.6133.8+2.758%
Season away (9)65.173.1138.2-8.033%
Last 10 (10)61.268.3129.5-7.130%
Last 5 (5)57.065.6122.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)59.969.7129.6-9.820%
vs Similar ◀ (15)64.570.1134.7-5.640%
vs Weaker (5)76.657.6134.2+19.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: -6.2-6.2
ValparaisoSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#234
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
33.3Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.564.9-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.232.867.1+1.454%-
Last 30 away (17)30.932.263.2-1.341%-
Last 10 (10)33.332.065.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.666.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.032.362.3-2.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.934.567.4-1.740%-
vs Weaker (4)37.025.562.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#122
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H18/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/02
NCAA
62.1Avg total
30.6Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.131.863.9+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.132.267.4+2.975%-
Last 30 away (14)28.631.359.9-2.729%-
Last 10 (10)30.631.562.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)28.431.660.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.834.062.8-5.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.531.764.3+0.853%-
vs Weaker (5)37.227.664.8+9.6100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
1
Southern Illinois wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/21ASouthern Illinois66-65
18/02/21ALoyola Chicago52-54
15/02/21ANorthern Iowa60-74
14/02/21ANorthern Iowa70-57
11/02/21HBradley52-76
07/02/21HDrake74-57
06/02/21HDrake77-80
02/02/21AEvansville51-58
31/01/21AEvansville52-70
29/01/21HBradley91-85 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/21HValparaiso65-66
18/02/21HMissouri State53-68
14/02/21HIllinois State59-49
13/02/21HIllinois State55-80
11/02/21AMissouri State53-65
07/02/21ABradley69-68
06/02/21ABradley66-74
31/01/21HNorthern Iowa71-68
30/01/21HNorthern Iowa62-74
26/01/21AIndiana State59-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game66.272.361.9
Allowed / game68.970.667.6
Point differential-2.7+1.7-5.8
Avg total135.1142.9129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %4%10%0%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeWLWLL58%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %48%58%33%
Points / game66.968.265.1
Allowed / game68.865.673.1
Point differential-1.9+2.7-8.0
Avg total135.7133.8138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2625196%82.567.7+14.8
2 Drake2422292%78.963.8+15.2
3 Indiana State2113862%68.867.8+1.0
4 Murray State23131057%77.765.8+11.9
5 Southern Illinois21101148%66.968.8-1.9
6 Illinois (Chi.)21101148%68.571.9-3.4
7 Bradley25111444%69.966.0+3.9
8 Evansville2181338%64.869.5-4.8
9 Valparaiso2491538%66.268.9-2.7
10 Illinois State2271532%72.574.6-2.0
11 Northern Iowa2271532%68.671.6-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso263864
Southern Illinois303767
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