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Valparaiso vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 62-66
19-27 43-39
Position#306
Record11-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#61
Record19-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game61.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Valparaiso v Southern Illinois
02 Jan 2027
VALP v SOUT
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
VALP69
SOUT63
28 Jan 2025
VALP75
SOUT79
10 Jan 2024
VALP68
SOUT77
14 Feb 2023
VALP62
SOUT66
08 Jan 2022
VALP60
SOUT63
22 Feb 2021
VALP64
SOUT67
12 Feb 2020
VALP55
SOUT38
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
71-51
71
51
+20
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
67-76 OT
67
76
-9
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A09/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
29-36
34-28
42-41
36-33
40-33
33-24
38-27
28-45
38-32
43-28
38-41
35-28
30-37
35-31
31-35
39-46
23-38
42-38
39-38
144.8Avg total
72.1Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.673.5143.1-3.941%
Season at home (15)72.769.7142.4+2.960%
Season away (12)65.878.2143.9-12.417%
Last 10 (10)72.172.7144.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)74.678.0152.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.175.9139.0-12.96%
vs Similar (10)73.071.7144.7+1.370%
vs Weaker (4)83.564.2147.8+19.2100%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A12/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H18/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A02/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
59-82
59
82
-23
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
43-25
32-35
37-22
42-30
36-40
30-25
31-32
34-30
34-34
33-36
33-36
25-26
27-36
36-32
37-21
35-27
33-39
22-45
37-37
130.7Avg total
66.3Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)66.561.9128.3+4.670%
Season at home (13)70.758.2128.8+12.592%
Season away (14)62.665.3127.9-2.750%
Last 10 (10)66.364.4130.7+1.970%
Last 5 (5)63.667.0130.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)59.465.0124.4-5.629%
vs Similar (11)64.860.8125.6+4.073%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)72.361.8134.2+10.583%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.6+2.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.6+2.6
ValparaisoSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
35.5Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.235.467.6-3.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.131.867.9+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)27.839.467.2-11.629%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.969.4+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.273.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.437.866.1-9.419%-
vs Similar (10)34.233.767.9+0.580%-
vs Weaker (4)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H15/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H18/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A21/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A02/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H09/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A11/02
NCAA
63.7Avg total
31.5Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.030.262.2+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.429.164.6+6.364%-
Last 30 away (16)29.131.160.2-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.263.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)30.233.263.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)24.934.058.9-9.10%-
vs Similar (11)32.829.562.4+3.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)35.528.664.1+6.967%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
4
Southern Illinois wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23HIllinois State81-76
09/02/23AIndiana State62-84
05/02/23HDrake82-85 OT
02/02/23AMissouri State67-76 OT
29/01/23HEvansville81-69
26/01/23ANorthern Iowa66-77
22/01/23AIllinois State71-51
18/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)76-66
14/01/23AEvansville76-69
11/01/23HBelmont59-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23ADrake59-82
09/02/23HIllinois (Chi.)68-66
05/02/23HMissouri State73-53
02/02/23ABradley52-62
29/01/23AIllinois State66-72
25/01/23HMurray State68-64
21/01/23AMissouri State61-57
18/01/23HEvansville78-70
15/01/23HIllinois State69-57
12/01/23AIndiana State69-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW41%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %41%60%17%
Points / game69.672.765.8
Allowed / game73.569.778.2
Point differential-3.9+2.9-12.4
Avg total143.1142.4143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %15%20%8%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL70%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %70%92%50%
Points / game66.570.762.6
Allowed / game61.958.265.3
Point differential+4.6+12.5-2.7
Avg total128.3128.8127.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%54%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2721678%75.965.0+11.0
2 Bradley2719870%72.461.9+10.4
3 Southern Illinois2719870%66.561.9+4.6
4 Indiana State2718967%78.968.8+10.1
5 Belmont2718967%75.370.7+4.6
6 Murray State26131350%69.972.6-2.7
7 Northern Iowa26121446%70.168.7+1.3
8 Valparaiso27111641%69.673.5-3.9
9 Illinois State27101737%66.870.0-3.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)27101737%67.171.2-4.1
11 Evansville2752219%62.674.6-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso194362
Southern Illinois273966
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