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Indiana State vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-62
46-39 38-23
Position#84
Record16-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#306
Record10-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Indiana State v Valparaiso
31 Jan 2026
INDI72
VALP76
05 Feb 2025
INDI80
VALP62
07 Feb 2024
INDI101
VALP61
08 Feb 2023
INDI84
VALP62
22 Jan 2022
INDI73
VALP75
29 Feb 2020
INDI71
VALP58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H12/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H19/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
83-65
83
65
+18
A02/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
99-56
99
56
+43
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-29
29-38
42-28
38-32
36-26
25-43
31-35
31-29
39-34
28-44
36-36
37-46
26-44
42-26
39-39
40-32
37-36
46-29
40-28
59-28
143.0Avg total
74.8Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.669.3148.0+9.364%
Season at home (15)80.268.2148.4+12.073%
Season away (10)76.371.0147.3+5.350%
Last 10 (10)74.868.2143.0+6.650%
Last 5 (5)80.468.8149.2+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.779.3150.0-8.70%
vs Similar (5)65.873.0138.8-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)79.868.7148.5+11.168%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
71-51
71
51
+20
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
67-76 OT
67
76
-9
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
29-28
24-49
42-39
30-38
29-36
34-28
42-41
36-33
40-33
33-24
38-27
28-45
38-32
43-28
38-41
35-28
30-37
35-31
31-35
143.5Avg total
71.1Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.473.0142.4-3.540%
Season at home (14)72.169.3141.4+2.857%
Season away (11)66.177.6143.7-11.518%
Last 10 (10)71.172.4143.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)73.471.6145.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.275.1138.4-11.96%
vs Similar (9)72.171.2143.3+0.967%
vs Weaker (5)81.665.2146.8+16.4100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +0.8+0.8
Indiana StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H19/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A21/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/02
NCAA
70.8Avg total
37.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.532.270.8+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.631.270.9+8.488%-
Last 30 away (13)37.133.570.6+3.554%-
Last 10 (10)37.333.570.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.672.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.034.772.7+3.3100%-
vs Similar (5)34.235.870.0-1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.631.170.7+8.573%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
33.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.734.666.3-2.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.331.366.6+4.065%-
Last 30 away (13)26.938.965.8-12.031%-
Last 10 (10)33.634.568.1-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.266.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)27.836.864.6-9.119%-
vs Similar (9)33.333.266.6+0.178%-
vs Weaker (5)41.230.071.2+11.2100%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana State wins
4
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HMurray State99-56
02/02/23AEvansville83-65
28/01/23HNorthern Iowa79-71
25/01/23ADrake68-70
21/01/23AMurray State73-82
19/01/23HBradley67-78
15/01/23AMissouri State62-64
12/01/23HSouthern Illinois61-69
07/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)80-60
05/01/23AIllinois State76-67
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23HDrake82-85 OT
02/02/23AMissouri State67-76 OT
29/01/23HEvansville81-69
26/01/23ANorthern Iowa66-77
22/01/23AIllinois State71-51
18/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)76-66
14/01/23AEvansville76-69
11/01/23HBelmont59-74
07/01/23ABradley66-88
05/01/23HNorthern Iowa67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %64%73%50%
Points / game78.680.276.3
Allowed / game69.368.271.0
Point differential+9.3+12.0+5.3
Avg total148.0148.4147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %40%57%18%
Points / game69.472.166.1
Allowed / game73.069.377.6
Point differential-3.5+2.8-11.5
Avg total142.4141.4143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %16%21%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2620677%75.765.2+10.5
2 Southern Illinois2518772%66.760.9+5.8
3 Bradley2517868%71.762.5+9.2
4 Belmont2517868%75.071.1+4.0
5 Indiana State2516964%78.669.3+9.3
6 Murray State25131252%70.872.2-1.4
7 Northern Iowa24121250%70.968.2+2.7
8 Illinois State25101540%66.669.2-2.5
9 Illinois (Chi.)25101540%67.070.2-3.3
10 Valparaiso25101540%69.473.0-3.5
11 Evansville2542116%62.375.5-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State463884
Valparaiso392362
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