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Illinois (Chi.) vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-73
41-36 33-37
Position#289
Record10-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#306
Record11-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v Valparaiso
02 Dec 2026
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ILLI67
VALP71
06 Mar 2025
ILLI50
VALP67
02 Mar 2025
ILLI77
VALP73
06 Jan 2024
ILLI70
VALP64
19 Feb 2023
ILLI74
VALP73
01 Dec 2020
ILLI66
VALP50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H21/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
62-68 OT
62
68
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A11/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
36-42
33-36
33-40
38-31
34-47
30-29
29-34
28-36
48-47
22-33
32-21
29-30
41-31
27-35
39-33
37-51
34-47
21-43
39-36
142.1Avg total
66.6Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)66.871.5138.3-4.636%
Season at home (14)69.967.8137.6+2.150%
Season away (14)63.875.1138.9-11.421%
Last 10 (10)66.675.5142.1-8.910%
Last 5 (5)65.874.8140.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)64.077.1141.1-13.16%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.967.3136.2+1.660%
vs Weaker (4)77.560.5138.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
71-51
71
51
+20
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
67-76 OT
67
76
-9
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A09/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
42-41
36-33
40-33
33-24
38-27
28-45
38-32
43-28
38-41
35-28
30-37
35-31
31-35
39-46
23-38
42-38
39-38
19-27
43-39
144.3Avg total
72.4Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.373.2142.5-3.939%
Season at home (16)72.069.5141.5+2.556%
Season away (12)65.878.2143.9-12.417%
Last 10 (10)72.471.9144.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)70.877.4148.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.575.1138.6-11.66%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.071.7144.7+1.370%
vs Weaker (4)83.564.2147.8+19.2100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +0.1+0.1
Illinois (Chi.)Valparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A09/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A11/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H16/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
29.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.233.865.0-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.932.166.0+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)28.835.264.1-6.438%-
Last 10 (10)29.336.365.6-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)27.238.465.6-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)28.436.665.1-8.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.331.866.1+2.560%-
vs Weaker (4)34.527.261.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H15/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
34.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.435.167.5-2.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.131.566.6+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)28.939.868.8-10.931%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.867.2+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.068.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)28.837.366.1-8.619%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.233.767.9+0.580%-
vs Weaker (4)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Illinois (Chi.) wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23HIndiana State60-79
11/02/23ABelmont71-98
09/02/23ASouthern Illinois66-68
04/02/23HEvansville70-61
02/02/23AIllinois State62-68 OT
29/01/23HBradley76-83
25/01/23AMissouri State59-63
21/01/23HNorthern Iowa72-78
18/01/23AValparaiso66-76
14/01/23AMurray State64-81
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23HSouthern Illinois62-66
12/02/23HIllinois State81-76
09/02/23AIndiana State62-84
05/02/23HDrake82-85 OT
02/02/23AMissouri State67-76 OT
29/01/23HEvansville81-69
26/01/23ANorthern Iowa66-77
22/01/23AIllinois State71-51
18/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)76-66
14/01/23AEvansville76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%50%21%
Points / game66.869.963.8
Allowed / game71.567.875.1
Point differential-4.6+2.1-11.4
Avg total138.3137.6138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayWWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %39%56%17%
Points / game69.372.065.8
Allowed / game73.269.578.2
Point differential-3.9+2.5-12.4
Avg total142.5141.5143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)57% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %14%19%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2822679%76.165.3+10.9
2 Bradley2921872%71.361.2+10.1
3 Indiana State2920969%78.968.3+10.6
4 Southern Illinois2920969%65.861.4+4.4
5 Belmont2819968%76.070.4+5.6
6 Murray State28151354%70.372.2-1.9
7 Northern Iowa28131546%70.269.1+1.1
8 Valparaiso28111739%69.373.2-3.9
9 Illinois (Chi.)28101836%66.871.5-4.6
10 Illinois State29101934%67.070.5-3.6
11 Evansville2952417%62.475.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)413374
Valparaiso363773
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