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Valur vs Grindavik Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-74
29-26 16-28 17-14 19-6
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game77.0
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#6
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game91.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 2· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valur v Grindavik
16 Oct 2026
VALU81
GRIN74
04 May 2026
VALU85
GRIN79
26 Apr 2026
VALU79
GRIN72
30 Oct 2025
VALU55
GRIN90
10 Apr 2025
VALU75
GRIN86
02 Apr 2025
VALU94
GRIN89
13 Mar 2025
VALU99
GRIN80
08 Dec 2024
VALU88
GRIN77
29 May 2024
VALU80
GRIN73
23 May 2024
VALU80
GRIN62
17 May 2024
VALU89
GRIN79
30 Nov 2023
VALU96
GRIN83
20 Jan 2023
VALU92
GRIN67
12 Dec 2022
VALU90
GRIN80
14 Oct 2021
VALU81
GRIN77
10 May 2021
VALU91
GRIN76
01 Mar 2020
VALU68
GRIN90
31 Jan 2019
VALU100
GRIN96
04 Mar 2018
VALU78
GRIN100
23 Jan 2014
VALU89
GRIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Grindavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
W
87-82
87
82
+5
84avg 81
A07/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 81
H11/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
81-88
81
88
-7
71avg 81
A15/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
90-76
90
76
+14
89avg 81
H19/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
74avg 81
A22/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 81
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
65avg 81
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 81
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
82-109
82
109
-27
78avg 81
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
90-77
90
77
+13
81avg 81
H08/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
15-13
20-24
19-19
16-18
17-22
22-12
24-26
22-28
17-19
15-16
27-25
17-22
27-16
21-25
25-13
20-11
19-18
25-29
17-24
19-19
22-22
19-16
19-15
20-26
20-22
12-18
15-27
23-18
24-21
22-24
16-16
28-20
12-30
23-31
19-28
22-22
24-19
23-18
21-18
165.7Avg total
82.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.077.0167.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)90.077.0167.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.183.6165.7-1.560%
Last 5 (5)80.686.0166.6-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.989.6173.5-5.838%
vs Similar ◀ (17)89.686.4176.0+3.371%
vs Weaker (4)85.582.8168.2+2.875%
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GrindavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrindavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
W
82-81
82
81
+1
68avg 84
H22/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
72-79
72
79
-7
68avg 84
A26/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
93-67
93
67
+26
87avg 84
H30/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 84
A04/05
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
109-82
109
82
+27
104avg 84
H06/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 84
H09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
86-83
86
83
+3
81avg 84
A12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
76avg 84
H15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
109-102
109
102
+7
109avg 84
A18/05
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
64avg 84
H09/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
18-19
29-25
24-17
19-19
22-22
16-19
15-19
26-20
22-20
18-12
27-15
18-23
21-24
24-22
16-16
20-28
30-12
31-23
28-19
28-18
21-16
13-26
23-20
22-27
18-15
21-17
25-24
26-29
21-22
21-18
21-25
31-19
17-26
36-27
25-30
18-18
20-15
15-23
27-35
172.8Avg total
88.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.091.0171.0-11.00%
Season at home (1)80.091.0171.0-11.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.484.4172.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)89.890.0179.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.691.7179.3-4.143%
vs Similar ◀ (4)84.299.5183.8-15.250%
vs Weaker (18)93.487.4180.8+5.978%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
ValurGrindavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A07/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A15/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A22/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Premier league
82.9Avg total
41.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.586.4-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.543.086.5+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)42.244.186.3-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.282.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.886.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.844.285.0-3.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.543.587.9+1.053%-
vs Weaker (4)39.542.081.5-2.525%-
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GrindavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H22/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A26/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/05
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H06/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A18/05
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/10
Premier league
84.1Avg total
42.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.645.289.9-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.641.287.8+5.473%-
Last 30 away (15)42.749.391.9-6.620%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.284.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.085.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.944.085.9-2.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)45.051.296.2-6.225%-
vs Weaker (18)45.444.890.2+0.650%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.0
53.7%
56.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.4
32.3%
33.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.911.8
69.8%
73.9%11.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Grindaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grindavik: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.5
55.6%
56.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.913.6
33.3%
33.0%40.8
🏀 Free throws17.410.6
60.9%
73.9%10.6
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WLWLWLWLWW
Grindavik
LWLWWWLWLW
#4
League position
#6
-1.6
Net rating
+4.5
91.4
Offensive rating
94.7
92.9
Defensive rating
90.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
13.5%
Turnover %
11.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.3%
3-point %
33.3%
60.5%
Assist %
64.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 94.7Defence92.9 · 90.2Shooting51.5% · 52.4%3-point %32.3% · 33.3%Ball care13.5% · 11.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Valur   ■ Grindavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valur wins
8
Grindavik wins
DateGameScore
06/05/26Grindavik v Valur109-82
04/05/26Valur v Grindavik85-79
30/04/26Grindavik v Valur93-67
26/04/26Valur v Grindavik79-72
22/04/26Grindavik v Valur82-81
29/01/26Grindavik v Valur78-67
30/10/25Valur v Grindavik55-90
14/04/25Grindavik v Valur82-74
10/04/25Valur v Grindavik75-86
06/04/25Grindavik v Valur80-76
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26HStjarnan90-77
06/05/26AGrindavik82-109
04/05/26HGrindavik85-79
30/04/26AGrindavik67-93
26/04/26HGrindavik79-72
22/04/26AGrindavik81-82
19/04/26HKeflavik90-76
15/04/26AKeflavik81-88
11/04/26HKeflavik79-78
07/04/26AKeflavik87-82
Grindaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/26HKR Basket80-91
18/05/26ATindastoll109-102
15/05/26HTindastoll89-94
12/05/26ATindastoll86-83
09/05/26HTindastoll85-80
06/05/26HValur109-82
04/05/26AValur79-85
30/04/26HValur93-67
26/04/26AValur72-79
22/04/26HValur82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Grindavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential-11.0-11.0-
Avg total171.0171.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alftanes220100%115.082.5+32.5
2 Keflavik220100%107.090.0+17.0
3 Tindastoll220100%97.081.5+15.5
4 Valur110100%90.077.0+13.0
5 KR Basket220100%87.576.5+11.0
6 IR Reykjavik21150%92.5105.0-12.5
7 Hottur21150%90.0104.5-14.5
8 Stjarnan2020%87.596.5-9.0
9 Njardvik2020%75.084.5-9.5
10 Grindavik1010%80.091.0-11.0
11 Sindri2020%90.5101.5-11.0
12 Armann2020%88.0108.5-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur2916171981
Grindavik262814674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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