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Varese vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-72
17-14 20-19 16-17 21-22
Position#10
Record6-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game75.2
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#25
Record6-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2015
Meetings · Varese v AEK Larnaca
12 Dec 2018
VAR109
ALA74
27 Jan 2016
VAR74
ALA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A20/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
H23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H03/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Gussing Knights
#35
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Caserta
#13
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A17/01
Lega A
Minsk
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H24/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
15-21
23-10
29-15
17-18
12-20
20-28
9-18
23-9
17-11
15-22
16-29
11-27
16-12
15-33
27-14
20-21
25-13
19-18
15-14
20-10
16-13
10-20
15-22
25-16
14-18
20-16
26-31
23-17
17-26
21-13
16-14
15-18
24-20
19-32
31-14
12-13
10-27
14-21
28-25
153.0Avg total
76.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.275.2157.4+7.060%
Season at home (5)85.671.8157.4+13.880%
Season away (5)78.878.6157.4+0.240%
Last 10 (10)76.376.7153.0-0.460%
Last 5 (5)75.277.2152.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.387.5154.8-20.20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.974.5152.4+3.563%
vs Weaker (5)82.875.6158.4+7.260%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anagennisi Germasogias
#8
W
88-55
88
55
+33
H09/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#3
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A12/12
Division A
Gussing Knights
#35
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#5
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H02/01
Division A
Varese
#10
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#7
W
76-54
76
54
+22
A09/01
Division A
Minsk
#8
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A16/01
Division A
Gussing Knights
#35
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H23/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
21-20
33-24
19-23
26-22
15-15
20-17
12-11
13-25
13-17
18-14
16-15
29-17
10-20
13-16
20-10
22-15
19-14
17-12
15-17
25-11
29-15
20-20
14-11
10-22
22-20
13-14
21-14
16-19
18-18
18-12
17-16
15-13
–
–
–
–
139.5Avg total
74.9Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.471.8148.2+4.660%
Season at home (6)77.569.2146.7+8.383%
Season away (4)74.875.8150.5-1.025%
Last 10 (10)74.964.6139.5+10.390%
Last 5 (5)72.262.0134.2+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.068.0141.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.570.9145.4+3.564%
vs Weaker (18)77.168.4145.4+8.778%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
VareseAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A20/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H03/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Gussing Knights
#35
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Caserta
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/01
Lega A
Minsk
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H24/01
Lega A
70.6Avg total
35.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.876.3+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.937.976.8+1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)38.137.675.7+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.770.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.670.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.544.778.2-11.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.135.375.3+4.863%-
vs Weaker (5)38.639.077.6-0.440%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/12
Division A
Gussing Knights
#35
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H02/01
Division A
Varese
#10
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#7
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A09/01
Division A
Minsk
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A16/01
Division A
Gussing Knights
#35
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
70.9Avg total
37.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.133.871.9+4.375%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.433.471.8+4.971%-
Last 30 away (14)37.934.172.0+3.779%-
Last 10 (8)37.433.570.9+3.975%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.268.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.035.084.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.735.269.9-0.555%-
vs Weaker (16)39.832.872.5+7.088%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
1
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
06/01/16AEK Larnaca v Varese65-61
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/16HOlimpia Milano64-86
20/01/16AMinsk89-84
17/01/16ACaserta77-70
13/01/16HGussing Knights85-81
06/01/16AAEK Larnaca61-65
03/01/16HCantu79-66
27/12/15AReggiana69-86
23/12/15HCremona87-82 OT
20/12/15AVenezia58-84
16/12/15HMinsk94-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/16HOmonia72-62
20/01/16HGussing Knights68-59
16/01/16AApoel BC72-67
13/01/16HMinsk73-68
09/01/16AParalimni76-54
06/01/16HVarese65-61
02/01/16HApollon76-63
16/12/15AGussing Knights60-68
12/12/15AETHA Engomi99-89
09/12/15HAnagennisi Germasogias88-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game82.285.678.8
Allowed / game75.271.878.6
Point differential+7.0+13.8+0.2
Avg total157.4157.4157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%83%25%
Points / game76.477.574.8
Allowed / game71.869.275.8
Point differential+4.6+8.3-1.0
Avg total148.2146.7150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankfurt11110100%80.666.9+13.7
2 Turk Telekom1110191%90.970.5+20.5
3 Chalon/Saone1110191%89.175.3+13.8
4 Khimik1110191%78.967.8+11.1
5 Antwerp Giants1110191%82.374.4+7.9
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne119282%83.770.2+13.5
7 Oostende119282%81.372.1+9.2
8 Ventspils119282%82.775.6+7.1
9 ASC Targu Jiu118373%83.576.8+6.6
10 Gaziantep117464%75.967.7+8.2
11 Minsk117464%86.280.9+5.3
12 Maccabi Rishon117464%78.373.6+4.6
13 Le Havre117464%79.978.2+1.7
14 Varese106460%82.275.2+7.0
15 AEK Larnaca106460%76.471.8+4.6
16 Nymburk116555%84.267.8+16.4
17 Juventus116555%82.273.1+9.1
18 Belfius Mons116555%79.777.0+2.7
19 Enisey116555%81.981.8+0.1
20 KK Krka Novo mesto116555%74.375.0-0.7
21 Bakken Bears116555%74.375.3-1.0
22 Siauliai63350%84.781.5+3.2
23 Cantu105550%85.384.2+1.1
24 HydroTruck Radom115645%77.877.0+0.8
25 Kataja115645%82.482.5-0.1
26 Cibona115645%82.784.8-2.1
27 Pieno Zvaigzdes115645%83.586.2-2.7
28 Academic115645%74.377.6-3.4
29 Gussing Knights114736%75.179.6-4.5
30 Sodertalje114736%72.978.5-5.6
31 Boras114736%80.988.5-7.6
32 Slask Wroclaw114736%70.279.5-9.3
33 Benfica62433%77.874.5+3.3
34 FC Porto62433%71.871.0+0.8
35 Tajfun Sentjur62433%73.375.3-2.0
36 Den Bosch62433%70.274.8-4.7
37 Kapfenberg Bulls62433%76.281.2-5.0
38 Rilski Sportist62433%83.789.5-5.8
39 Turow Zgorzelec62433%75.781.5-5.8
40 Astana62433%76.383.0-6.7
41 Z-Mobile Prishtina62433%74.281.3-7.2
42 Kormend62433%73.883.2-9.3
43 Zlatorog Lasko62433%71.781.0-9.3
44 Donar Groningen62433%69.079.5-10.5
45 Szombathely62433%69.280.5-11.3
46 Tartu Ulikool103730%71.575.3-3.8
47 Helios Domzale61517%71.576.3-4.8
48 Kumanovo61517%77.386.0-8.7
49 MBK Komarno61517%76.786.7-10.0
50 Soproni KC61517%68.280.0-11.8
51 Inter Bratislava61517%78.390.8-12.5
52 KTP Kotka Basket61517%71.394.5-23.2
53 BC Kalev/Cramo6060%76.280.8-4.7
54 Leiden6060%58.575.2-16.7
55 ETHA Engomi6060%62.885.8-23.0
56 Hibernia6060%57.598.0-40.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1720162174
AEK Larnaca1419172272
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