Varese vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2010

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 85-88 (OT)

24-17 14-17 16-21 17-16 14-17

Position#10

Record12-14

FormWLLWW

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game79.2

Varese

Caserta 🏆

Position#2

Record17-9

FormWLLWW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game75.3

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Varese v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

#13

83-80

H06/02

Lega A

Biella

#14

96-88

A14/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

74-88

-14

H28/02

Lega A

Avellino

67-76

-9

A07/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

67-80

-13

A14/03

Lega A

Treviso

90-82

H21/03

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

60-77

-17

A28/03

Lega A

Siena

72-96

-24

H03/04

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

120-57

120

+63

H11/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

71-64

A17/04

Lega A

22-22

26-12

15-21

20-25

17-28

22-20

27-16

30-24

18-18

22-25

20-22

14-23

28-19

15-15

16-20

8-22

23-29

13-15

11-21

20-15

20-21

21-18

21-26

28-17

12-21

19-14

16-21

13-21

18-24

17-18

16-25

21-29

30-14

34-14

33-13

23-16

21-15

17-16

13-18

20-15

158.8Avg total

80.0Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	76.9	79.2	156.1	-2.3	46%
Season at home (13)	80.8	79.6	160.4	+1.2	54%
Season away (13)	73.1	78.8	151.8	-5.7	38%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	78.8	158.8	+1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	75.2	157.8	+7.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	72.3	80.0	152.3	-7.7	31%
vs Similar (11)	77.8	80.1	157.9	-2.3	55%
vs Weaker (2)	102.0	69.0	171.0	+33.0	100%

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

94-85

A14/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

78-88

-10

H18/02

Italian Cup

NSB Napoli

#16

181-58

181

+123

H27/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

89-81

A07/03

Lega A

Teramo

#13

59-67

-8

H13/03

Lega A

Cremona

#12

87-85

A21/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

67-74

-7

H28/03

Lega A

Cantu

72-81

-9

A03/04

Lega A

Treviso

90-66

+24

H11/04

Lega A

Avellino

81-79

H18/04

Lega A

29-27

20-19

17-17

28-22

24-20

20-25

17-22

17-21

48-17

42-6

45-19

46-16

22-21

18-22

22-17

27-21

21-18

9-17

11-14

18-18

23-20

13-27

27-25

24-13

12-19

23-17

20-20

12-18

15-15

21-18

21-22

15-26

27-15

19-14

26-18

18-19

14-18

26-21

20-18

21-22

166.2Avg total

89.8Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	85.2	75.3	160.5	+9.8	65%
Season at home (13)	89.9	71.8	161.8	+18.1	77%
Season away (13)	80.4	78.8	159.2	+1.6	54%
Last 10 (10)	89.8	76.4	166.2	+13.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	77.0	156.4	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	70.0	87.0	157.0	-17.0	0%
vs Similar (5)	80.8	81.0	161.8	-0.2	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	85.3	72.3	157.6	+13.0	68%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.3	20.4	40.8	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	46%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	29.5	16.0	45.5	+13.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.0	42.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.0	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	18.5	36.1	-1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	16.7	37.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.0	37.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.7	18.8	35.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	18.0	43.5	+7.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.3	37.7	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.6	39.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	24.5	40.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	16.4	34.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	55%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

#13

48-34

+14

H06/02

Lega A

Biella

#14

39-48

-9

A14/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

40-43

-3

H28/02

Lega A

Avellino

43-34

A07/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

36-44

-8

A14/03

Lega A

Treviso

41-39

H21/03

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

31-35

-4

A28/03

Lega A

Siena

35-42

-7

H03/04

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

64-28

+36

H11/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

38-31

A17/04

Lega A

79.3Avg total

41.5Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	39.2	38.3	77.5	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.5	38.8	79.3	+1.7	42%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.0	37.8	75.8	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	37.8	79.3	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	35.0	76.8	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.0	39.4	76.4	-2.4	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.9	37.7	76.6	+1.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	55.0	34.0	89.0	+21.0	100%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

49-46

A14/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

44-45

-1

H18/02

Italian Cup

NSB Napoli

#16

90-23

+67

H27/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

40-43

-3

A07/03

Lega A

Teramo

#13

30-35

-5

H13/03

Lega A

Cremona

#12

36-47

-11

A21/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

35-36

-1

H28/03

Lega A

Cantu

36-33

A03/04

Lega A

Treviso

46-29

+17

H11/04

Lega A

Avellino

40-39

H18/04

Lega A

82.2Avg total

44.6Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	37.6	77.7	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	35.8	78.3	+6.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.2	39.7	76.9	-2.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	37.6	82.2	+7.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.8	75.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	46.0	83.0	-9.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.0	36.6	73.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.9	36.7	77.6	+4.1	59%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.6	21.2	39.7	-2.6	28%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	21.1	41.2	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.1	21.2	38.3	-4.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.9	20.5	37.5	-3.6	31%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	21.0	45.5	+3.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	17.7	39.4	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	16.9	39.3	+5.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.0	16.9	39.9	+6.1	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.1	20.2	40.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.7	46%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	14.0	36.5	+8.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	20.0	36.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.8	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	37.6	41.1	78.7	-3.6	28%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.2	41.2	81.5	-1.0	42%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.1	41.0	76.1	-5.9	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	41.0	79.5	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.2	81.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.3	40.6	75.9	-5.3	23%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.6	43.0	81.6	-4.4	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	35.0	82.0	+12.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	36.9	79.3	+5.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	35.3	77.9	+7.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	38.7	80.8	+3.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	38.8	84.0	+6.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.2	81.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	41.0	74.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.5	35.5	80.0	+8.9	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/10	Caserta v Varese	76-53

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/10	A	Virtus Roma	71-64
11/04/10	H	NSB Napoli	120-57
03/04/10	H	Siena	72-96
28/03/10	A	Ferrara	60-77
21/03/10	H	Treviso	90-82
14/03/10	A	Virtus Bologna	67-80
07/03/10	A	Avellino	67-76
28/02/10	H	Sutor Montegranaro	74-88
14/02/10	A	Biella	96-88
06/02/10	H	Teramo	83-80

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/10	H	Avellino	81-79
11/04/10	H	Treviso	90-66
03/04/10	A	Cantu	72-81
28/03/10	H	Virtus Bologna	67-74
21/03/10	A	Cremona	87-85
13/03/10	H	Teramo	59-67
07/03/10	A	Pesaro	89-81
27/02/10	H	NSB Napoli	181-58
18/02/10	H	Virtus Bologna	78-88
14/02/10	A	Olimpia Milano	94-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	46%
Home	WLWLW	54%
Away	WLLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	46%	54%	38%
Points / game	76.9	80.8	73.1
Allowed / game	79.2	79.6	78.8
Point differential	-2.3	+1.2	-5.7
Avg total	156.1	160.4	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	15%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Caserta

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	65%
Home	WLLWW	77%
Away	WWWWL	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	65%	77%	54%
Points / game	85.2	89.9	80.4
Allowed / game	75.3	71.8	78.8
Point differential	+9.8	+18.1	+1.6
Avg total	160.5	161.8	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	54%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	27	26	1	96%	90.3	68.4	+22.0
2	Caserta	26	17	9	65%	85.2	75.3	+9.8
3	Olimpia Milano	27	17	10	63%	79.4	72.9	+6.6
4	Cantu	27	17	10	63%	78.6	74.0	+4.6
5	Sutor Montegranaro	26	16	10	62%	81.2	78.3	+2.9
6	Virtus Bologna	28	17	11	61%	76.5	72.1	+4.4
7	Virtus Roma	27	15	12	56%	79.3	75.0	+4.3
8	Avellino	27	13	14	48%	79.1	77.0	+2.2
9	Treviso	26	12	14	46%	82.8	79.3	+3.5
10	Varese	26	12	14	46%	76.9	79.2	-2.3
11	Pesaro	27	11	16	41%	82.2	81.7	+0.6
12	Teramo	25	10	15	40%	77.0	76.7	+0.3
13	Biella	26	10	16	38%	78.3	80.1	-1.7
14	Cremona	26	9	17	35%	82.2	81.6	+0.6
15	Ferrara	26	9	17	35%	78.0	77.8	+0.2
16	NSB Napoli	25	0	25	0%	56.0	118.2	-62.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Varese	24	14	16	17	14	85
Caserta	17	17	21	16	17	88

← all games of the day

Varese vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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