Caserta vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2010

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 81-79

14-18 26-21 20-18 21-22

Position#2

Record16-9

FormLWLLW

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game75.2

Caserta 🏆

Avellino

Position#8

Record13-12

FormLLLWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game76.5

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Caserta v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

65-75

-10

H07/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

94-85

A14/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

78-88

-10

H18/02

Italian Cup

NSB Napoli

#16

181-58

181

+123

H27/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

89-81

A07/03

Lega A

Teramo

#13

59-67

-8

H13/03

Lega A

Cremona

#12

87-85

A21/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

67-74

-7

H28/03

Lega A

Cantu

72-81

-9

A03/04

Lega A

Treviso

90-66

+24

H11/04

Lega A

13-17

19-10

19-23

14-25

29-27

20-19

17-17

28-22

24-20

20-25

17-22

17-21

48-17

42-6

45-19

46-16

22-21

18-22

22-17

27-21

21-18

9-17

11-14

18-18

23-20

13-27

27-25

24-13

12-19

23-17

20-20

12-18

15-15

21-18

21-22

15-26

27-15

19-14

26-18

18-19

164.2Avg total

88.2Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	85.3	75.2	160.5	+10.2	64%
Season at home (12)	90.7	71.2	161.9	+19.4	75%
Season away (13)	80.4	78.8	159.2	+1.6	54%
Last 10 (10)	88.2	76.0	164.2	+12.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	74.6	149.6	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.7	88.3	160.0	-16.7	0%
vs Similar (5)	80.8	81.0	161.8	-0.2	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	85.5	72.0	157.5	+13.6	67%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

74-56

+18

H14/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

59-55

A18/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Bologna

61-73

-12

H20/02

Italian Cup

Treviso

64-73

-9

A27/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

76-67

H07/03

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

63-78

-15

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

79-82

-3

H21/03

Lega A

Siena

74-91

-17

A27/03

Lega A

Teramo

#13

102-90

102

+12

H03/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

63-74

-11

A11/04

Lega A

17-18

13-13

28-9

16-16

17-13

11-13

16-16

15-13

8-13

21-29

20-16

12-15

19-22

20-21

15-11

10-19

19-28

15-15

20-16

22-8

18-21

15-21

12-24

18-12

18-16

19-26

22-14

20-26

18-20

16-23

21-24

19-24

22-27

26-14

35-25

9-15

22-21

13-19

19-19

145.4Avg total

71.5Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	79.3	76.5	155.8	+2.8	52%
Season at home (13)	85.2	73.6	158.8	+11.6	77%
Season away (12)	72.8	79.6	152.4	-6.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	71.5	73.9	145.4	-2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	83.0	159.2	-6.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	69.8	82.2	152.0	-12.4	20%
vs Similar (19)	74.9	78.4	153.3	-3.4	42%
vs Weaker (5)	99.0	66.8	165.8	+32.2	100%

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.0	40.7	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.9	42.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.2	18.9	40.0	+2.3	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.4	20.4	45.8	+5.0	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.5	37.6	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	24.0	42.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	16.4	34.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+2.0	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.9	38.3	-3.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.6	42.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.6	24.0	40.6	-7.4	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.6	15.4	39.0	+8.2	60%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

32-27

H07/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

49-46

A14/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

44-45

-1

H18/02

Italian Cup

NSB Napoli

#16

90-23

+67

H27/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

40-43

-3

A07/03

Lega A

Teramo

#13

30-35

-5

H13/03

Lega A

Cremona

#12

36-47

-11

A21/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

35-36

-1

H28/03

Lega A

Cantu

36-33

A03/04

Lega A

Treviso

46-29

+17

H11/04

Lega A

80.2Avg total

43.8Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	37.6	77.6	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	35.5	78.3	+7.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	39.7	77.0	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	36.4	80.2	+7.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.0	72.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.3	44.0	81.3	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.0	36.6	73.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.9	36.6	77.5	+4.3	57%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

30-31

-1

H14/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

28-26

A18/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Bologna

29-42

-13

H20/02

Italian Cup

Treviso

39-43

-4

A27/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

34-43

-9

H07/03

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

33-42

-9

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

37-42

-5

H21/03

Lega A

Siena

34-43

-9

A27/03

Lega A

Teramo

#13

41-51

-10

H03/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

31-36

-5

A11/04

Lega A

73.5Avg total

33.6Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	37.0	75.7	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	39.3	76.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.6	39.9	73.5	-6.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	42.8	78.0	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	32.6	42.4	75.0	-9.8	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	37.1	38.3	75.4	-1.3	37%	-
vs Weaker (5)	49.0	35.8	84.8	+13.2	60%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	17.8	39.7	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	16.8	39.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	18.9	39.9	+2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.3	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.1	16.9	40.0	+6.3	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	18.3	40.1	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.9	35.5	-2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	16.3	35.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	60%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.8	16.4	42.2	+9.4	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	22.7	38.7	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.7	36.3	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.7	37%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.2	14.6	38.8	+9.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	37.3	79.5	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	35.0	77.7	+7.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	39.5	81.3	+2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	39.6	84.0	+4.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.6	77.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.3	44.3	78.7	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.6	35.3	80.0	+9.3	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.2	75.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	36.1	78.9	+6.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	38.3	72.5	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	34.0	71.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.4	36.8	73.2	-0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (19)	36.5	39.3	75.8	-2.8	32%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.0	31.0	81.0	+19.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/09	Avellino v Caserta	73-66
10/05/09	Caserta v Avellino	65-74
18/01/09	Avellino v Caserta	85-58

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/10	H	Treviso	90-66
03/04/10	A	Cantu	72-81
28/03/10	H	Virtus Bologna	67-74
21/03/10	A	Cremona	87-85
13/03/10	H	Teramo	59-67
07/03/10	A	Pesaro	89-81
27/02/10	H	NSB Napoli	181-58
18/02/10	H	Virtus Bologna	78-88
14/02/10	A	Olimpia Milano	94-85
07/02/10	H	Sutor Montegranaro	65-75

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/10	A	Olimpia Milano	63-74
03/04/10	H	Teramo	102-90
27/03/10	A	Siena	74-91
21/03/10	H	Virtus Bologna	79-82
14/03/10	A	Ferrara	63-78
07/03/10	H	Varese	76-67
27/02/10	A	Treviso	64-73
20/02/10	H	Virtus Bologna	61-73
18/02/10	A	Olimpia Milano	59-55
14/02/10	H	Virtus Roma	74-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	64%
Home	LWLLW	75%
Away	WWWWL	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	64%	75%	54%
Points / game	85.3	90.7	80.4
Allowed / game	75.2	71.2	78.8
Point differential	+10.2	+19.4	+1.6
Avg total	160.5	161.9	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	58%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	52%
Home	WWWLW	77%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	52%	77%	25%
Points / game	79.3	85.2	72.8
Allowed / game	76.5	73.6	79.6
Point differential	+2.8	+11.6	-6.8
Avg total	155.8	158.8	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	46%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	8%	15%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	26	25	1	96%	90.3	67.7	+22.6
2	Olimpia Milano	26	17	9	65%	80.0	73.2	+6.9
3	Caserta	25	16	9	64%	85.3	75.2	+10.2
4	Cantu	25	16	9	64%	79.0	73.9	+5.1
5	Sutor Montegranaro	25	16	9	64%	81.0	77.8	+3.2
6	Virtus Bologna	27	17	10	63%	76.6	71.4	+5.2
7	Virtus Roma	26	14	12	54%	79.8	75.4	+4.3
8	Avellino	25	13	12	52%	79.3	76.5	+2.8
9	Treviso	26	12	14	46%	82.8	79.3	+3.5
10	Varese	26	12	14	46%	76.9	79.2	-2.3
11	Teramo	25	10	15	40%	77.0	76.7	+0.3
12	Biella	25	10	15	40%	79.0	80.1	-1.1
13	Pesaro	25	9	16	36%	82.0	82.8	-0.8
14	Cremona	26	9	17	35%	82.2	81.6	+0.6
15	Ferrara	25	8	17	32%	78.1	78.4	-0.2
16	NSB Napoli	25	0	25	0%	56.0	118.2	-62.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	14	26	20	21	81
Avellino	18	21	18	22	79

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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