Virtus Roma vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2010

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 64-71

15-21 16-17 18-13 15-20

Position#7

Record14-11

FormWWLWW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game75.6

Virtus Roma

Varese 🏆

Position#10

Record11-14

FormLWLLW

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game79.8

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#12

79-75

A31/01

Lega A

Treviso

100-76

100

+24

H07/02

Lega A

Avellino

56-74

-18

A14/02

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

84-73

+11

H28/02

Lega A

Biella

#14

80-85

-5

A07/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

70-61

H14/03

Lega A

Siena

93-85

H21/03

Lega A

Cantu

61-79

-18

A28/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

75-72

H03/04

Lega A

Teramo

#13

89-79

+10

A11/04

Lega A

13-13

21-19

30-14

15-29

21-13

17-19

22-24

40-20

18-17

13-13

9-28

16-16

17-15

22-17

18-21

27-20

19-22

19-24

23-18

19-21

21-19

19-13

11-18

19-11

30-16

20-21

16-23

27-25

12-20

12-18

21-21

16-20

16-22

18-18

18-19

23-13

22-18

24-23

19-18

24-20

154.6Avg total

78.7Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	80.4	75.6	156.0	+4.8	56%
Season at home (13)	83.7	71.4	155.1	+12.3	69%
Season away (12)	76.8	80.2	157.0	-3.3	42%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	75.9	154.6	+2.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	75.2	152.8	+2.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.4	82.2	153.6	-10.8	20%
vs Similar (19)	76.4	75.6	152.0	+0.8	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	85.0	66.2	151.2	+18.8	50%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

70-74

-4

A31/01

Lega A

Teramo

#13

83-80

H06/02

Lega A

Biella

#14

96-88

A14/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

74-88

-14

H28/02

Lega A

Avellino

67-76

-9

A07/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

67-80

-13

A14/03

Lega A

Treviso

90-82

H21/03

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

60-77

-17

A28/03

Lega A

Siena

72-96

-24

H03/04

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

120-57

120

+63

H11/04

Lega A

9-17

21-22

18-12

22-23

22-22

26-12

15-21

20-25

17-28

22-20

27-16

30-24

18-18

22-25

20-22

14-23

28-19

15-15

16-20

8-22

23-29

13-15

11-21

20-15

20-21

21-18

21-26

28-17

12-21

19-14

16-21

13-21

18-24

17-18

16-25

21-29

30-14

34-14

33-13

23-16

159.7Avg total

79.9Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	77.2	79.8	157.0	-2.6	44%
Season at home (13)	80.8	79.6	160.4	+1.2	54%
Season away (12)	73.2	80.0	153.2	-6.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	79.8	159.7	+0.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	78.4	160.2	+3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	72.4	81.3	153.8	-8.9	25%
vs Similar (11)	77.8	80.1	157.9	-2.3	55%
vs Weaker (2)	102.0	69.0	171.0	+33.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	16.5	35.5	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	17.5	18.4	35.9	-0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.3	15.3	35.7	+5.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	42%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.3	20.4	40.8	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	29.5	16.0	45.5	+13.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	16.1	35.1	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.2	18.6	33.8	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.7	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	42%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.6	18.8	36.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.3	38.3	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.8	36.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.7	19.1	35.8	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	18.0	43.5	+7.5	50%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#12

34-32

A31/01

Lega A

Treviso

38-32

H07/02

Lega A

Avellino

31-30

A14/02

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

39-32

H28/02

Lega A

Biella

#14

38-46

-8

A07/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

40-32

H14/03

Lega A

Siena

50-37

+13

H21/03

Lega A

Cantu

24-38

-14

A28/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

34-40

-6

H03/04

Lega A

Teramo

#13

46-41

A11/04

Lega A

73.4Avg total

37.4Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	36.2	73.3	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	32.5	70.6	+5.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	39.8	76.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	36.0	73.4	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	37.6	76.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	37.6	73.2	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	36.7	36.8	73.5	-0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	40.0	32.8	72.8	+7.2	67%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

30-39

-9

A31/01

Lega A

Teramo

#13

48-34

+14

H06/02

Lega A

Biella

#14

39-48

-9

A14/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

40-43

-3

H28/02

Lega A

Avellino

43-34

A07/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

36-44

-8

A14/03

Lega A

Treviso

41-39

H21/03

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

31-35

-4

A28/03

Lega A

Siena

35-42

-7

H03/04

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

64-28

+36

H11/04

Lega A

79.3Avg total

40.7Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	39.2	38.6	77.8	+0.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.5	38.8	79.3	+1.7	42%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.0	38.3	76.3	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	38.6	79.3	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.6	79.0	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	36.9	40.1	77.0	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.9	37.7	76.6	+1.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	55.0	34.0	89.0	+21.0	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	18.3	36.7	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.7	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.3	13.3	32.7	+6.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	29%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	21.1	41.2	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.4	21.5	38.9	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	21.0	45.5	+3.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	18.4	40.8	+4.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.5	42.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	20.8	37.2	-4.4	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.5	18.8	40.3	+2.7	63%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.2	17.8	42.0	+6.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.0	20.2	39.1	-1.2	42%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.1	20.2	40.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.2	20.5	38.8	-2.2	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	14.0	36.5	+8.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	37.6	76.8	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	36.7	77.5	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	38.5	76.1	-0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	39.9	81.2	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	37.6	76.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	32.4	40.8	73.2	-8.4	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	39.7	38.7	78.5	+1.0	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	43.5	31.2	74.7	+12.3	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	37.8	41.5	79.2	-3.7	29%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.2	41.2	81.5	-1.0	42%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.2	41.7	76.9	-6.4	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	41.2	80.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.8	81.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.5	41.2	76.8	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.6	43.0	81.6	-4.4	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	35.0	82.0	+12.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/09	Varese v Virtus Roma	67-84

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/10	A	Teramo	89-79
03/04/10	H	Sutor Montegranaro	75-72
28/03/10	A	Cantu	61-79
21/03/10	H	Siena	93-85
14/03/10	H	Pesaro	70-61
07/03/10	A	Biella	80-85
28/02/10	H	Ferrara	84-73
14/02/10	A	Avellino	56-74
07/02/10	H	Treviso	100-76
31/01/10	A	Cremona	79-75

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/10	H	NSB Napoli	120-57
03/04/10	H	Siena	72-96
28/03/10	A	Ferrara	60-77
21/03/10	H	Treviso	90-82
14/03/10	A	Virtus Bologna	67-80
07/03/10	A	Avellino	67-76
28/02/10	H	Sutor Montegranaro	74-88
14/02/10	A	Biella	96-88
06/02/10	H	Teramo	83-80
31/01/10	A	Olimpia Milano	70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	56%
Home	WWWWW	69%
Away	WLLLW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	56%	69%	42%
Points / game	80.4	83.7	76.8
Allowed / game	75.6	71.4	80.2
Point differential	+4.8	+12.3	-3.3
Avg total	156.0	155.1	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	38%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	44%
Home	WLWLW	54%
Away	LWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	44%	54%	33%
Points / game	77.2	80.8	73.2
Allowed / game	79.8	79.6	80.0
Point differential	-2.6	+1.2	-6.8
Avg total	157.0	160.4	153.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	15%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	26	25	1	96%	90.3	67.7	+22.6
2	Caserta	25	16	9	64%	85.3	75.2	+10.2
3	Olimpia Milano	25	16	9	64%	80.0	73.0	+7.0
4	Cantu	25	16	9	64%	79.0	73.9	+5.1
5	Sutor Montegranaro	25	16	9	64%	81.0	77.8	+3.2
6	Virtus Bologna	27	17	10	63%	76.6	71.4	+5.2
7	Virtus Roma	25	14	11	56%	80.4	75.6	+4.8
8	Avellino	25	13	12	52%	79.3	76.5	+2.8
9	Treviso	26	12	14	46%	82.8	79.3	+3.5
10	Varese	25	11	14	44%	77.2	79.8	-2.6
11	Teramo	25	10	15	40%	77.0	76.7	+0.3
12	Biella	25	10	15	40%	79.0	80.1	-1.1
13	Cremona	25	9	16	36%	82.4	81.6	+0.8
14	Pesaro	25	9	16	36%	82.0	82.8	-0.8
15	Ferrara	25	8	17	32%	78.1	78.4	-0.2
16	NSB Napoli	25	0	25	0%	56.0	118.2	-62.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	15	16	18	15	64
Varese	21	17	13	20	71

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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