Varese vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2014

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 72-67

18-13 14-17 21-20 19-17

Position#10

Record10-15

FormLLWWL

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game82.6

Varese 🏆

Caserta

Position#7

Record12-13

FormWLWWL

Points / game72.4

Allowed / game71.9

Lega ARound 26

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Varese v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

80-73

A18/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

71-76

-5

H27/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

93-77

+16

A02/02

Lega A

Avellino

#12

63-83

-20

A16/02

Lega A

Sassari

91-112

112

-21

H23/02

Lega A

Brindisi

70-96

-26

A02/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

69-75

-6

H09/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

86-79

A16/03

Lega A

Pistoia

84-73

+11

H23/03

Lega A

Cantu

68-84

-16

A29/03

Lega A

14-16

18-19

21-25

27-13

22-16

20-32

14-18

15-10

31-15

22-34

16-15

24-13

12-25

16-12

18-19

17-27

20-31

24-23

21-26

26-32

19-27

11-21

22-22

18-26

23-10

17-24

14-18

15-23

12-18

24-18

25-21

25-22

13-21

21-22

31-14

19-16

14-15

12-20

17-28

25-21

160.3Avg total

77.5Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	80.0	82.6	162.6	-2.6	40%
Season at home (12)	81.8	79.9	161.8	+1.9	50%
Season away (13)	78.3	85.1	163.4	-6.8	31%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	82.8	160.3	-5.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	81.4	156.8	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	75.9	87.2	163.2	-11.3	17%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	79.6	82.3	161.9	-2.6	36%
vs Weaker (4)	82.2	79.8	162.0	+2.5	50%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

#11

60-73

-13

A19/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

100-88

100

+12

H26/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-61

-18

A02/02

Lega A

Reggiana

74-68

H15/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

79-82

-3

A23/02

Lega A

Avellino

#12

76-57

+19

H02/03

Lega A

Brindisi

53-64

-11

A09/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

75-68

H16/03

Lega A

Cantu

64-60

H23/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

66-74

-8

A30/03

Lega A

6-17

19-22

10-18

25-16

18-15

22-30

25-15

35-28

9-15

10-13

10-12

14-21

8-10

15-18

22-18

29-22

12-22

22-19

18-18

27-23

28-13

11-8

13-23

24-13

13-21

15-11

19-8

6-24

22-22

19-11

19-14

15-21

24-14

9-10

18-18

13-18

21-14

14-19

15-17

16-24

138.5Avg total

69.0Scored

69.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	72.4	71.9	144.3	+0.5	48%
Season at home (13)	74.3	70.5	144.8	+3.8	69%
Season away (12)	70.3	73.3	143.7	-3.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	69.0	69.5	138.5	-0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	64.6	131.4	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	71.0	76.6	147.6	-5.6	29%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	70.8	71.4	142.2	-0.6	44%
vs Weaker (7)	81.7	74.1	155.9	+7.6	71%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.3	39.1	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.5	58%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	14.2	34.0	+5.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	16.3	32.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	17.7	35.3	-0.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.0	18.1	35.1	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.6	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	23.9	42.9	-4.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.0	22.7	39.7	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.9	21.4	40.2	-2.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	23.2	45.5	-1.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	16.7	34.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	15.8	32.9	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	17.7	35.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	16.1	31.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	11.8	25.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.3	17.1	35.4	+1.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.1	16.1	33.2	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	57%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

32-35

-3

A18/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-48

-6

H27/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

53-49

A02/02

Lega A

Avellino

#12

28-37

-9

A16/02

Lega A

Sassari

44-54

-10

H23/02

Lega A

Brindisi

30-48

-18

A02/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

40-34

H09/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

36-36

A16/03

Lega A

Pistoia

34-43

-9

H23/03

Lega A

Cantu

26-35

-9

A29/03

Lega A

78.4Avg total

36.5Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	41.7	80.2	-3.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	42.1	82.0	-2.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	41.3	78.6	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	41.9	78.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	39.2	72.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.2	42.4	78.7	-6.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.4	42.3	81.6	-2.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.0	37.5	79.5	+4.5	75%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

#11

25-39

-14

A19/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

40-45

-5

H26/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

19-28

-9

A02/02

Lega A

Reggiana

23-28

-5

H15/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

34-41

-7

A23/02

Lega A

Avellino

#12

39-21

+18

H02/03

Lega A

Brindisi

28-32

-4

A09/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

41-33

H16/03

Lega A

Cantu

33-24

H23/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

35-33

A30/03

Lega A

64.1Avg total

31.7Scored

32.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	34.6	70.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.0	33.0	69.0	+3.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	36.4	71.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.7	32.4	64.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	28.6	63.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.9	34.9	70.7	+1.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	34.1	34.2	68.3	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	39.3	35.3	74.6	+4.0	57%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	21.5	42.2	-0.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.4	18.6	33.9	-3.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	16.1	33.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.0	32.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	14.7	21.4	36.1	-6.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.3	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	22.2	43.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.3	21.8	41.2	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.6	21.5	42.1	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	20.8	40.2	-1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.5	39.6	+0.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.6	39.6	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.0	34.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.6	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.8	81.5	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	40.1	79.0	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.3	43.4	83.7	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	40.9	81.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	42.2	84.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.8	43.8	82.6	-5.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.2	42.2	82.5	-2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	38.4	75.5	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	38.6	77.3	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.3	38.2	73.5	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	37.1	74.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	36.0	67.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.1	41.7	76.9	-6.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	36.7	37.2	73.9	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.1	37.9	78.0	+2.3	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/13	Caserta v Varese	86-80
03/03/13	Varese v Caserta	74-62
04/11/12	Caserta v Varese	56-73
26/02/12	Caserta v Varese	87-91
06/11/11	Varese v Caserta	85-82
03/04/11	Varese v Caserta	92-77
12/12/10	Caserta v Varese	92-80
25/04/10	Varese v Caserta	85-88 OT
03/01/10	Caserta v Varese	76-53

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/14	A	Cantu	68-84
23/03/14	H	Pistoia	84-73
16/03/14	A	Pesaro	86-79
09/03/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	69-75
02/03/14	A	Brindisi	70-96
23/02/14	H	Sassari	91-112
16/02/14	A	Avellino	63-83
02/02/14	A	Venezia	93-77
27/01/14	H	Olimpia Milano	71-76
18/01/14	A	Reggiana	80-73

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/14	A	Virtus Bologna	66-74
23/03/14	H	Cantu	64-60
16/03/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	75-68
09/03/14	A	Brindisi	53-64
02/03/14	H	Avellino	76-57
23/02/14	A	Virtus Roma	79-82
15/02/14	H	Reggiana	74-68
02/02/14	A	Olimpia Milano	43-61
26/01/14	H	Pesaro	100-88
19/01/14	A	Venezia	60-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	40%
Home	LLLLW	50%
Away	WLLWL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	40%	50%	31%
Points / game	80.0	81.8	78.3
Allowed / game	82.6	79.9	85.1
Point differential	-2.6	+1.9	-6.8
Avg total	162.6	161.8	163.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	42%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Caserta

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	48%
Home	WWWWW	69%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	48%	69%	25%
Points / game	72.4	74.3	70.3
Allowed / game	71.9	70.5	73.3
Point differential	+0.5	+3.8	-3.0
Avg total	144.3	144.8	143.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	23%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	25% (4)	0% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	25	20	5	80%	81.1	70.0	+11.1
2	Siena	26	18	8	69%	76.7	69.8	+6.9
3	Cantu	25	17	8	68%	81.0	76.5	+4.5
4	Brindisi	26	17	9	65%	76.8	73.7	+3.1
5	Sassari	26	16	10	62%	86.2	79.5	+6.6
6	Virtus Roma	25	15	10	60%	78.1	77.1	+1.0
7	Reggiana	25	12	13	48%	76.4	74.0	+2.5
8	Caserta	25	12	13	48%	72.4	71.9	+0.5
9	Venezia	25	11	14	44%	80.0	79.9	+0.2
10	Avellino	25	11	14	44%	75.0	79.9	-4.8
11	Virtus Bologna	25	10	15	40%	78.2	79.4	-1.2
12	Varese	25	10	15	40%	80.0	82.6	-2.6
13	Pistoia	25	10	15	40%	76.0	79.0	-3.0
14	Cremona	25	9	16	36%	76.5	83.0	-6.5
15	Sutor Montegranaro	26	8	18	31%	77.7	86.6	-8.9
16	Pesaro	25	6	19	24%	79.0	88.8	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	18	14	21	19	72
Caserta	13	17	20	17	67

← all games of the day

Varese vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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