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Varese vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-80 (OT)
15-15 20-16 13-25 20-12 9-12
Position#4
Record9-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#16
Record6-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game75.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H25/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A02/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-18
17-19
18-17
17-17
25-22
24-20
28-15
21-21
17-23
18-13
16-16
14-19
13-13
22-22
22-17
16-15
20-29
13-16
23-15
23-26
17-16
11-25
25-22
20-15
21-22
14-17
19-12
20-8
21-14
25-19
24-22
14-18
15-18
14-20
23-26
17-15
9-16
17-21
24-15
21-22
151.1Avg total
77.5Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.272.5157.7+12.682%
Season at home (5)87.870.6158.4+17.280%
Season away (6)83.074.2157.2+8.883%
Last 10 (10)77.573.6151.1+3.950%
Last 5 (5)74.272.6146.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar (9)73.971.2145.1+2.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)82.773.1155.8+9.668%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#7
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A05/01
DBL
Varese
#4
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#10
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H12/01
DBL
Den Bosch
#3
W
87-44
87
44
+43
H14/01
NBB Cup
Den Bosch
#3
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A17/01
NBB Cup
LWD Basket
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A20/01
DBL
Sassari
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H26/01
DBL
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#2
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H02/02
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
20-20
23-18
19-12
13-13
22-22
17-22
15-16
24-13
24-14
27-27
26-13
18-10
27-13
20-6
22-15
14-16
18-26
12-16
21-18
12-25
14-16
13-15
21-9
13-24
16-19
19-27
26-27
22-21
20-17
18-30
22-12
11-29
16-14
20-18
23-19
15-27
10-21
25-14
6-16
148.0Avg total
74.7Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.475.5151.8+0.955%
Season at home (6)78.379.0157.3-0.750%
Season away (5)74.071.2145.2+2.860%
Last 10 (10)74.773.3148.0+1.440%
Last 5 (5)68.480.0148.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.883.8155.6-12.020%
vs Similar (8)75.479.9155.2-4.538%
vs Weaker (16)85.365.6150.9+19.781%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
VareseDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H25/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A02/02
Lega A
75.3Avg total
37.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.575.0+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.135.978.0+6.187%-
Last 30 away (15)34.937.171.9-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.375.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.670.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (9)35.334.770.0+0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.436.677.0+3.863%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A05/01
DBL
Varese
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#10
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H12/01
DBL
Den Bosch
#3
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H14/01
NBB Cup
Den Bosch
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A17/01
NBB Cup
LWD Basket
#9
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A20/01
DBL
Sassari
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H26/01
DBL
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#2
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H02/02
DBL
73.5Avg total
35.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.237.077.2+3.355%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.536.277.7+5.462%-
Last 30 away (16)39.237.676.8+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)35.238.373.5-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.842.672.4-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.640.273.8-6.620%-
vs Similar (8)40.141.081.1-0.950%-
vs Weaker (16)42.433.976.3+8.469%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.2
46.6%
52.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.7
33.8%
34.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.312.6
72.8%
73.3%12.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
0
Donar Groningen wins
DateGameScore
09/01/19Donar Groningen v Varese67-73
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19ATrento71-74
30/01/19HSassari69-79
27/01/19HSassari84-73
23/01/19AAEK Larnaca74-59
20/01/19ABrescia73-78
13/01/19HVirtus Bologna79-86
09/01/19ADonar Groningen73-67
06/01/19APistoia65-71
30/12/18APesaro98-78
25/12/18HCantu89-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19HZwolle56-78
30/01/19HAEK Larnaca70-80
26/01/19HDen Bosch82-80
23/01/19ASassari74-97
20/01/19ALWD Basket60-65
17/01/19ADen Bosch65-76
14/01/19HDen Bosch87-44
12/01/19HBAL Weert101-67
09/01/19HVarese67-73
05/01/19AAmsterdam85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%80%83%
Points / game85.287.883.0
Allowed / game72.570.674.2
Point differential+12.6+17.2+8.8
Avg total157.7158.4157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game76.478.374.0
Allowed / game75.579.071.2
Point differential+0.9-0.7+2.8
Avg total151.8157.3145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari1311285%92.877.4+15.5
2 Saratov1210283%96.283.6+12.6
3 s.Oliver Wurzburg1210283%88.376.9+11.4
4 Varese119282%85.272.5+12.6
5 Bakken Bears129375%101.679.8+21.8
6 Nes Ziona1611569%92.284.5+7.7
7 Alba Fehervar149564%83.179.4+3.7
8 Karsiyaka127558%85.880.8+5.0
9 Lukoil Levski127558%83.984.2-0.2
10 Balkan148657%80.678.2+2.4
11 Leiden148657%77.681.7-4.1
12 Donar Groningen116555%76.475.5+0.9
13 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
14 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
15 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
16 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
17 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
18 Szolnoki Olaj126650%82.884.8-2.0
19 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
20 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
21 Kataja168850%80.184.9-4.8
22 Z-Mobile Prishtina126650%82.187.4-5.3
23 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
24 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
25 AEK Larnaca115645%73.480.6-7.3
26 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
33 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
34 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Varese15201320977
Donar Groningen151625121280
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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