PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Sep 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 52-74
15-15 9-25 17-17 11-17
Position#10
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Sassari 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Varese v Sassari
12 Apr 2026
VAR91
SAS90
19 Apr 2025
VAR89
SAS84
05 Nov 2023
VAR90
SAS79
02 Oct 2022
VAR87
SAS81
08 May 2022
VAR96
SAS110
08 Sep 2021
VAR82
SAS92
06 Mar 2021
VAR89
SAS74
26 Sep 2019
VAR52
SAS74
30 Jan 2019
VAR69
SAS79
27 Jan 2019
VAR84
SAS73
19 Nov 2017
VAR61
SAS82
22 Jan 2017
VAR76
SAS83
26 Oct 2015
VAR70
SAS86
26 Dec 2014
VAR113
SAS117
23 Feb 2014
VAR91
SAS112
18 Nov 2012
VAR85
SAS84
01 Apr 2012
VAR85
SAS79
06 Jan 2011
VAR84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#33
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H31/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A07/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
H10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
98-70
98
70
+28
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A12/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
10-9
27-14
17-19
25-18
19-22
28-16
15-23
15-21
21-20
18-13
12-18
21-23
12-23
18-22
15-21
22-23
23-14
18-32
21-25
11-30
21-16
27-29
27-14
25-18
15-21
13-23
22-22
19-22
19-8
19-28
24-17
18-14
22-13
28-23
30-20
19-17
18-28
22-22
13-17
158.0Avg total
78.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.779.3158.0-0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.480.4162.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)69.079.0148.0-10.00%
vs Similar (9)82.482.3164.8+0.144%
vs Weaker (19)79.474.6153.9+4.858%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
105-84
105
84
+21
H14/04
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
105-75
105
75
+30
H17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A20/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H24/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#12
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H28/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A01/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A05/05
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H12/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H18/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
106-97
106
97
+9
H20/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
24-18
32-17
26-19
28-18
34-20
26-23
17-14
22-16
22-17
15-16
29-32
24-22
21-23
20-22
24-17
25-17
16-21
23-34
31-15
19-26
22-20
23-19
17-14
23-13
24-28
22-5
17-19
23-24
27-20
11-22
26-15
25-19
17-19
25-21
22-14
25-26
24-21
25-23
32-27
173.7Avg total
93.1Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.180.6173.7+12.5100%
Last 5 (5)89.879.0168.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)80.178.4158.6+1.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.379.7170.0+10.790%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +5.5+5.5
VareseSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#33
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/05
Lega A
74.8Avg total
37.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.877.5+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.176.4+4.371%-
Last 30 away (16)39.239.378.5-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.574.8-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.474.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)29.038.067.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (9)44.039.683.6+4.478%-
vs Weaker (19)38.336.674.9+1.653%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H14/04
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A20/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H24/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A05/05
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H18/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H20/05
Lega A
88.6Avg total
46.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.442.886.2+0.655%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.942.487.2+2.556%-
Last 30 away (13)41.543.384.8-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)46.841.888.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.289.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.145.888.9-2.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.640.984.5+2.760%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.9
49.0%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
35.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.210.1
66.4%
73.6%10.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.9
52.2%
52.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.710.1
42.6%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.916.2
74.0%
73.6%16.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWLLLLLWW
Sassari
WWWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#2
+2.0
Net rating
+20.0
110.2
Offensive rating
124.6
108.3
Defensive rating
104.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
56.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
40.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
42.6%
49.8%
Assist %
58.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 124.6Defence108.3 · 104.6Shooting50.7% · 56.3%3-point %35.4% · 42.6%Ball care13.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds31.5% · 40.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Varese   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
7
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
30/01/19Varese v Sassari69-79
27/01/19Varese v Sassari84-73
19/12/18Sassari v Varese87-90
14/10/18Sassari v Varese71-60
25/03/18Sassari v Varese87-91
19/11/17Varese v Sassari61-82
22/01/17Varese v Sassari76-83
03/10/16Sassari v Varese78-72
07/02/16Sassari v Varese91-69
26/10/15Varese v Sassari70-86
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/19AVirtus Bologna72-84
05/05/19HPistoia98-70
28/04/19HPesaro81-75
20/04/19ACantu75-84
17/04/19As.Oliver Wurzburg86-89
13/04/19HOlimpia Milano84-94
10/04/19Hs.Oliver Wurzburg66-89
07/04/19ATorino66-72
31/03/19HVenezia87-79
27/03/19HOostende72-57
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/19HBrindisi106-97
18/05/19HBrindisi89-73
12/05/19HCantu87-81
05/05/19ATrieste86-65
01/05/19As.Oliver Wurzburg81-79
28/04/19HBrescia95-87
24/04/19Hs.Oliver Wurzburg89-84
20/04/19APesaro88-81
17/04/19HHapoel Holon105-75
14/04/19HAvellino105-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sassari
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento110100%88.075.0+13.0
2 Brescia110100%90.082.0+8.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna110100%80.072.0+8.0
4 Virtus Bologna110100%74.067.0+7.0
5 Virtus Roma1010%67.074.0-7.0
6 Pesaro1010%72.080.0-8.0
7 Reggiana1010%82.090.0-8.0
8 Pistoia1010%75.088.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese159171152
Sassari1525171774
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.