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Varese vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 98-70
18-14 22-13 28-23 30-20
Position#7
Record15-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game76.1
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#16
Record6-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game83.0
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Pistoia
27 Oct 2024
VAR102
PIS95
04 Oct 2023
VAR83
PIS82
26 Dec 2019
VAR91
PIS60
05 May 2019
VAR98
PIS70
29 Oct 2017
VAR81
PIS73
27 Feb 2017
VAR75
PIS70
03 Apr 2016
VAR91
PIS78
04 Jan 2015
VAR67
PIS71
23 Mar 2014
VAR84
PIS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Oostende
#33
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
66avg 121
A24/03
Lega A
Oostende
#33
W
72-57
72
57
+15
no box
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
90avg 121
H31/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
66-72
66
72
-6
146avg 121
A07/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
no box
H10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
206avg 121
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
no box
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
160avg 121
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 121
H28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
22-16
11-17
19-20
24-21
16-18
17-15
20-27
18-15
10-9
27-14
17-19
25-18
19-22
28-16
15-23
15-21
21-20
18-13
12-18
21-23
12-23
18-22
15-21
22-23
23-14
18-32
21-25
11-30
21-16
27-29
27-14
25-18
15-21
13-23
22-22
19-22
19-8
19-28
24-17
155.7Avg total
76.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.176.1155.2+3.054%
Season at home (14)83.775.9159.6+7.879%
Season away (14)74.576.2150.7-1.729%
Last 10 (10)76.779.0155.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)78.486.2164.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar (10)80.981.3162.2-0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.774.3153.0+4.459%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
93avg 106
A10/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
81avg 106
A10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 106
H24/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 106
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 106
A07/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 106
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A20/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
200avg 106
H27/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
19-28
20-22
19-12
22-24
14-16
25-25
16-25
26-23
19-29
21-17
14-21
23-21
23-18
13-17
19-22
17-22
22-18
24-23
13-17
27-16
13-22
21-24
18-25
22-11
23-22
16-17
17-17
14-18
23-20
20-20
21-23
21-24
17-16
18-24
17-18
25-19
16-22
14-17
19-26
159.8Avg total
76.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.483.0158.4-7.721%
Season at home (14)70.476.9147.3-6.621%
Season away (14)80.489.1169.5-8.821%
Last 10 (10)76.783.1159.8-6.410%
Last 5 (5)76.480.2156.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)75.783.8159.5-8.125%
vs Similar (2)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.3-3.3
VaresePistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#33
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A24/03
Lega A
Oostende
#33
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/04
Lega A
75.4Avg total
37.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.377.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.436.877.2+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)38.639.578.1-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.575.4+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.677.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (10)42.439.381.7+3.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.236.774.9+1.553%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H24/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/04
Lega A
80.5Avg total
39.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.942.682.5-2.634%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.241.279.4-3.029%-
Last 30 away (15)41.543.885.3-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.780.5-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.078.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.642.682.1-3.033%-
vs Similar (2)44.542.587.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.7
49.9%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.4
36.2%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.610.4
66.7%
72.3%10.4
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.2
47.6%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.9
31.8%
35.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.315.8
74.2%
72.3%15.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLLLLWWLW
Pistoia
LLLWLLLLLL
#7
League position
#16
+3.2
Net rating
-10.7
113.0
Offensive rating
97.0
109.8
Defensive rating
107.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
47.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
12.8%
Turnover %
20.5%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.2%
3-point %
31.8%
49.5%
Assist %
52.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 97.0Defence109.8 · 107.7Shooting51.8% · 47.7%3-point %36.2% · 31.8%Ball care12.8% · 20.5%Off. rebounds31.7% · 27.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Varese   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
06/01/19Pistoia v Varese71-65
04/03/18Pistoia v Varese74-65
29/10/17Varese v Pistoia81-73
27/02/17Varese v Pistoia75-70
30/10/16Pistoia v Varese97-64
03/04/16Varese v Pistoia91-78
13/12/15Pistoia v Varese67-65
03/05/15Pistoia v Varese87-103
04/01/15Varese v Pistoia67-71
23/03/14Varese v Pistoia84-73
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/19HPesaro81-75
20/04/19ACantu75-84
17/04/19As.Oliver Wurzburg86-89
13/04/19HOlimpia Milano84-94
10/04/19Hs.Oliver Wurzburg66-89
07/04/19ATorino66-72
31/03/19HVenezia87-79
27/03/19HOostende72-57
24/03/19ABrindisi77-81
20/03/19AOostende73-70
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/19HCantu74-84
20/04/19ATrento73-82
14/04/19HTorino78-81
07/04/19AVirtus Bologna78-67
31/03/19ABrescia79-87
24/03/19HReggiana76-80
17/03/19HSassari82-90 OT
10/03/19ACremona80-90
03/03/19HTrieste77-90
10/02/19ABrindisi70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%79%29%
Points / game79.183.774.5
Allowed / game76.175.976.2
Point differential+3.0+7.8-1.7
Avg total155.2159.6150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL21%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %21%21%21%
Points / game75.470.480.4
Allowed / game83.076.989.1
Point differential-7.7-6.6-8.8
Avg total158.4147.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2821775%87.079.5+7.5
2 Venezia2819968%81.875.2+6.5
3 Cremona2819968%83.779.0+4.6
4 Brindisi28171161%81.878.8+3.0
5 Trieste28161257%88.683.9+4.8
6 Sassari28161257%86.481.8+4.6
7 Trento28161257%79.580.5-1.1
8 Varese28151354%79.176.1+3.0
9 Avellino28151354%82.182.0+0.1
10 Cantu28151354%84.286.0-1.8
11 Brescia29141548%80.681.3-0.7
12 Virtus Bologna29141548%79.480.6-1.2
13 Torino2882029%83.087.6-4.7
14 Reggiana2872125%77.983.5-5.6
15 Pesaro2872125%79.991.5-11.5
16 Pistoia2862221%75.483.0-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1822283098
Pistoia1413232070
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