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Trieste vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 62-92
13-29 12-25 20-12 17-26
Position#14
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game78.0
Trieste
Italy
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game52.0
Allowed / game74.0
ItalyLega ARound 2
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trieste v Varese
24 Jan 2027
TRI v VAR
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
TRI90
VAR89
03 Nov 2024
TRI107
VAR81
16 Apr 2023
TRI80
VAR83
14 Nov 2021
TRI70
VAR86
27 Jan 2021
TRI108
VAR83
29 Sep 2019
TRI62
VAR92
10 Feb 2019
TRI96
VAR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
W
88-66
88
66
+22
84avg 118
A24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
97-80
97
80
+17
94avg 118
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
no box
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
104-88
104
88
+16
no box
H14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
104-85
104
85
+19
386avg 118
H20/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
69avg 118
A28/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
48avg 118
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 118
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 118
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
59avg 118
A26/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
24-16
23-13
17-15
35-24
26-13
22-19
14-24
19-26
19-24
25-13
24-24
26-16
34-22
26-20
18-30
30-27
31-28
21-8
22-22
16-18
21-19
16-26
24-22
13-23
28-24
5-22
19-17
22-14
21-39
22-14
23-26
24-25
20-21
19-16
12-20
16-19
18-11
25-25
14-23
170.7Avg total
86.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.078.0151.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.078.0151.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)86.883.9170.7+2.950%
Last 5 (5)75.684.8160.4-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)73.078.0151.0-5.00%
vs Similar (16)84.485.5169.9-1.131%
vs Weaker (13)92.081.8173.8+10.285%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
90avg 117
H31/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
66-72
66
72
-6
146avg 117
A07/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
no box
H10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
206avg 117
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
no box
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
160avg 117
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 117
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
98-70
98
70
+28
93avg 117
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
72-84
72
84
-12
56avg 117
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
35avg 117
H26/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
19-22
28-16
15-23
15-21
21-20
18-13
12-18
21-23
12-23
18-22
15-21
22-23
23-14
18-32
21-25
11-30
21-16
27-29
27-14
25-18
15-21
13-23
22-22
19-22
19-8
19-28
24-17
18-14
22-13
28-23
30-20
19-17
18-28
22-22
13-17
15-15
9-25
17-17
11-17
157.7Avg total
76.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)52.074.0126.0-22.00%
Season at home (1)52.074.0126.0-22.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.781.0157.7-4.330%
Last 5 (5)75.677.4153.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.576.5137.0-16.00%
vs Similar (9)82.482.3164.8+0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.874.8153.6+4.156%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
TriesteVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H20/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A28/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A26/09
Lega A
89.8Avg total
46.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.585.7+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.642.491.1+6.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.780.9-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)46.743.189.8+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.682.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)34.030.064.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (16)43.144.087.1-0.925%-
vs Weaker (13)46.339.385.6+7.069%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H26/09
Lega A
76.0Avg total
36.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.976.6+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.236.374.5+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.239.378.5-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.176.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.272.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.539.065.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (9)44.039.683.6+4.478%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.436.674.0+0.850%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.9
55.2%
52.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
35.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.713.5
80.8%
73.6%13.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.1
51.9%
52.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.7
32.4%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.59.5
65.5%
73.6%9.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLLLLWWWWW
Varese
LLWWLLLLLW
#14
League position
#10
+2.2
Net rating
-0.1
108.8
Offensive rating
109.8
106.6
Defensive rating
109.9
53.2%
Effective FG%
50.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
13.1%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.2%
3-point %
32.4%
57.7%
Assist %
49.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 109.8Defence106.6 · 109.9Shooting53.2% · 50.4%3-point %33.2% · 32.4%Ball care16.8% · 13.1%Off. rebounds25.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Trieste   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
2
Varese wins
DateGameScore
10/02/19Trieste v Varese96-104
28/10/18Varese v Trieste78-66
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/19AVenezia73-78
19/05/19ACremona75-82
12/05/19AOlimpia Milano88-93
05/05/19HSassari65-86
28/04/19ABrindisi77-85
20/04/19HVenezia104-85
14/04/19HReggiana104-88
09/04/19AAvellino97-96 OT
31/03/19HCremona97-80
24/03/19ACantu88-66
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/19HSassari52-74
12/05/19AVirtus Bologna72-84
05/05/19HPistoia98-70
28/04/19HPesaro81-75
20/04/19ACantu75-84
17/04/19As.Oliver Wurzburg86-89
13/04/19HOlimpia Milano84-94
10/04/19Hs.Oliver Wurzburg66-89
07/04/19ATorino66-72
31/03/19HVenezia87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total151.0-151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game52.052.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential-22.0-22.0-
Avg total126.0126.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari220100%86.565.5+21.0
2 Trento220100%86.075.5+10.5
3 Virtus Bologna220100%81.072.5+8.5
4 Brescia220100%81.573.5+8.0
5 Fortitudo Bologna220100%84.577.0+7.5
6 Cantu110100%69.064.0+5.0
7 Cremona110100%89.087.0+2.0
8 Brindisi21150%75.566.0+9.5
9 Olimpia Milano21150%70.063.0+7.0
10 Venezia21150%80.081.0-1.0
11 Trieste1010%73.078.0-5.0
12 Reggiana2020%79.087.0-8.0
13 Pistoia2020%76.588.0-11.5
14 Treviso2020%70.082.0-12.0
15 Pesaro2020%75.589.5-14.0
16 Virtus Roma2020%65.080.5-15.5
17 Varese1010%52.074.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1312201762
Varese2925122692
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