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Varese vs Oostende Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-57
18-15 10-9 27-14 17-19
Position#4
Record12-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game73.9
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#33
Record1-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals
European cup2018
Meetings · Varese v Oostende
27 Mar 2019
VAR72
OOS57
28 Oct 2015
VAR79
OOS83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oostende winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#16
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
128avg 116
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#14
W
92-80
92
80
+12
126avg 116
H03/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
72avg 116
A10/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
83-64
83
64
+19
110avg 116
H17/03
Lega A
Oostende
#33
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
66avg 116
A24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
20-16
13-25
20-12
27-24
34-26
24-19
19-27
15-19
25-25
12-16
21-22
23-24
19-18
28-16
22-22
25-12
12-20
15-28
28-17
27-15
26-15
9-24
9-22
33-21
23-19
21-19
23-25
23-13
19-22
18-16
23-13
21-17
22-16
11-17
19-20
24-21
16-18
17-15
20-27
162.0Avg total
83.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.573.9158.4+10.580%
Season at home (7)88.073.9161.9+14.171%
Season away (8)81.474.0155.4+7.488%
Last 10 (10)83.079.0162.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)80.875.0155.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar (10)79.875.2155.0+4.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.973.3156.2+9.671%
This opponent (Oostende) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OostendeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOostende
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalstar
#7
L
65-72
65
72
-7
no box
A02/02
EuroMillions Basketball League
Strasbourg
#13
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
H06/02
Champions League
Limburg
#6
W
92-91
92
91
+1
no box
H09/02
EuroMillions Basketball League
Belfius Mons
#5
W
73-51
73
51
+22
no box
H02/03
EuroMillions Basketball League
Donar Groningen
#16
L
66-66
66
66
+0
no box
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
H10/03
Belgian Cup
Donar Groningen
#16
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Leuven Bears
#9
W
97-64
97
64
+33
no box
A16/03
EuroMillions Basketball League
Varese
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
H20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Leuven Bears
#9
W
89-50
89
50
+39
no box
H23/03
EuroMillions Basketball League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
16-14
18-22
12-15
19-17
17-23
19-21
28-22
22-26
31-19
27-17
12-29
26-10
15-12
18-18
14-11
17-20
18-15
15-18
16-13
12-20
16-19
16-18
26-19
28-21
15-20
23-23
22-16
29-21
25-16
20-14
23-13
17-21
16-22
17-11
20-19
19-7
20-15
28-10
22-18
152.7Avg total
80.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.773.0147.7+1.733%
Season at home (2)79.076.5155.5+2.550%
Season away (1)66.066.0132.0+0.00%
Last 10 (10)80.472.3152.7+8.150%
Last 5 (5)82.868.6151.4+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.674.6148.1-1.043%
vs Similar (10)82.275.1157.3+7.170%
vs Weaker (13)75.361.1136.4+14.277%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
VareseOostende
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H03/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A10/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Oostende
#33
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A24/03
Lega A
82.5Avg total
44.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.677.9+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.536.779.2+5.877%-
Last 30 away (17)38.538.476.9+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)44.937.682.5+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.835.482.2+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (10)42.437.279.6+5.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.736.876.5+2.959%-
This opponent (Oostende) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OostendeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalstar
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/02
EuroMillions Basketball League
Strasbourg
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H06/02
Champions League
Limburg
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H09/02
EuroMillions Basketball League
Belfius Mons
#5
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H02/03
EuroMillions Basketball League
Donar Groningen
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/03
Belgian Cup
Donar Groningen
#16
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Leuven Bears
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A16/03
EuroMillions Basketball League
Varese
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Leuven Bears
#9
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H23/03
EuroMillions Basketball League
75.6Avg total
39.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)39.935.675.5+4.362%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.875.5+3.967%-
Last 30 away (11)40.335.375.5+5.055%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.975.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.475.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.337.273.5-0.850%-
vs Similar (8)38.434.973.2+3.562%-
vs Weaker (12)42.835.278.0+7.567%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.5
45.7%
52.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.4
35.7%
34.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.012.7
70.6%
73.2%12.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oostendetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
1
Oostende wins
DateGameScore
20/03/19Oostende v Varese70-73
18/11/15Oostende v Varese79-85
28/10/15Varese v Oostende79-83
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19ABrindisi77-81
20/03/19AOostende73-70
17/03/19HCremona83-64
13/03/19HZ-Mobile Prishtina100-84
10/03/19AAvellino71-76
06/03/19AZ-Mobile Prishtina80-77
03/03/19HReggiana92-80
14/02/19ACremona73-82
10/02/19ATrieste104-96
06/02/19HDonar Groningen77-80 OT
Oostendelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/19HLeuven Bears89-50
20/03/19HVarese70-73
16/03/19ALeuven Bears97-64
13/03/19HDonar Groningen88-80
10/03/19HAntwerp Giants70-76
05/03/19ADonar Groningen66-66
02/03/19HBelfius Mons73-51
09/02/19HLimburg92-91
06/02/19HStrasbourg94-100 OT
02/02/19AOkapi Aalstar65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW80%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%71%88%
Points / game84.588.081.4
Allowed / game73.973.974.0
Point differential+10.5+14.1+7.4
Avg total158.4161.9155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Oostende
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game74.779.066.0
Allowed / game73.076.566.0
Point differential+1.7+2.5+0.0
Avg total147.7155.5132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari1715288%92.877.4+15.4
2 s.Oliver Wurzburg1613381%87.177.2+9.9
3 Varese1512380%84.573.9+10.5
4 Bakken Bears1612475%96.179.2+16.8
5 Saratov1410471%94.384.0+10.3
6 Nes Ziona1811761%90.384.7+5.6
7 Alba Fehervar1811761%82.979.8+3.2
8 Lukoil Levski127558%83.984.2-0.2
9 Balkan169756%80.878.9+1.9
10 Karsiyaka158753%82.979.9+2.9
11 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
12 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
13 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
14 Hapoel Holon42250%84.282.0+2.2
15 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
16 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
17 Donar Groningen147750%76.175.8+0.4
18 Ventspils21150%71.573.0-1.5
19 Szolnoki Olaj126650%82.884.8-2.0
20 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
21 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
22 Kataja168850%80.184.9-4.8
23 Leiden168850%78.083.4-5.4
24 Bonn21150%77.082.5-5.5
25 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
26 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
27 Z-Mobile Prishtina146843%81.987.8-5.9
28 AEK Larnaca125742%74.081.7-7.7
29 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
30 Oostende31233%74.773.0+1.7
31 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
32 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
33 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
34 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
35 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
36 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
37 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
38 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
39 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
40 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
41 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
42 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
43 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
44 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
45 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
46 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 46 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1810271772
Oostende159141957
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