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Brindisi vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-77
21-24 18-16 15-17 27-20
Position#5
Record13-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.6
Brindisi 🏆
Italy
vs
Varese
Italy
Position#7
Record13-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game74.8
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Brindisi v Varese
10 Dec 2023
BRI86
VAR81
08 Jan 2023
BRI90
VAR104
03 Apr 2022
BRI72
VAR75
10 May 2021
BRI108
VAR84
01 Mar 2020
BRI v VAR
upcoming
24 Mar 2019
BRI81
VAR77
02 Jan 2018
BRI95
VAR90
12 Feb 2017
BRI80
VAR58
29 Nov 2015
BRI80
VAR74
06 Dec 2014
BRI69
VAR71
02 Mar 2014
BRI96
VAR70
30 Sep 2012
BRI110
VAR118
27 Feb 2011
BRI96
VAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
101-92
101
92
+9
134avg 116
H20/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
101-80
101
80
+21
196avg 116
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A03/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
115avg 116
H10/02
Lega A
Avellino
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#3
W
87-86
87
86
+1
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#8
L
79-81
79
81
-2
106avg 116
A04/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
no box
H10/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
80-97 OT
80
97
-17
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
19-23
30-25
26-28
31-19
29-22
12-23
29-16
18-20
29-23
19-25
25-23
18-12
28-19
22-20
12-19
28-12
19-28
22-40
26-12
32-28
22-18
20-14
13-26
18-23
19-22
14-17
23-21
21-22
23-22
17-22
18-15
15-24
29-14
24-21
14-23
29-22
10-24
27-19
11-12
176.4Avg total
89.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.579.6162.1+2.959%
Season at home (11)81.977.3159.2+4.664%
Season away (11)83.181.9165.0+1.255%
Last 10 (10)89.686.8176.4+2.870%
Last 5 (5)83.287.2170.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.286.0163.2-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.181.0162.1+0.153%
vs Weaker (8)83.575.2158.8+8.275%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
120avg 118
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
128avg 118
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#14
W
92-80
92
80
+12
126avg 118
H03/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
72avg 118
A10/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
83-64
83
64
+19
110avg 118
H17/03
Lega A
Oostende
#33
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-16
17-21
24-15
21-22
15-15
20-16
13-25
20-12
27-24
34-26
24-19
19-27
15-19
25-25
12-16
21-22
23-24
19-18
28-16
22-22
25-12
12-20
15-28
28-17
27-15
26-15
9-24
9-22
33-21
23-19
21-19
23-25
23-13
19-22
18-16
23-13
21-17
22-16
11-17
19-20
160.7Avg total
82.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.374.8154.1+4.559%
Season at home (11)83.674.1157.7+9.582%
Season away (11)75.075.5150.5-0.536%
Last 10 (10)82.478.3160.7+4.160%
Last 5 (5)81.474.2155.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.174.6154.7+5.667%
vs Weaker (18)83.172.5155.6+10.672%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
BrindisiVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H20/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
60-41
60
41
+19
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A03/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Lega A
Avellino
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A15/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#3
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A17/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A17/03
Lega A
87.6Avg total
46.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.080.9+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.977.2+3.571%-
Last 30 away (16)43.140.984.1+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.387.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.887.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.738.777.3+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.541.383.8+1.153%-
vs Weaker (8)42.434.977.2+7.588%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H03/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A10/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Oostende
#33
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
80.9Avg total
43.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.377.7+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.636.178.8+6.579%-
Last 30 away (16)38.438.376.8+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.480.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.234.080.2+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.737.079.7+5.778%-
vs Weaker (18)40.036.376.3+3.761%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.6
52.0%
51.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.5
33.1%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.213.1
76.2%
72.3%13.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.817.9
46.1%
51.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.4
36.7%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.0
72.5%
72.3%14.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
LWLLWWWWWW
Varese
WWWLWWLWLL
#5
League position
#7
+6.4
Net rating
+6.5
106.2
Offensive rating
114.1
99.8
Defensive rating
107.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.9%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
12.9%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.1%
3-point %
36.7%
60.8%
Assist %
52.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 114.1Defence99.8 · 107.7Shooting51.1% · 49.9%3-point %33.1% · 36.7%Ball care16.7% · 12.9%Off. rebounds27.8% · 34.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Brindisi   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brindisi wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
25/11/18Varese v Brindisi85-67
29/04/18Varese v Brindisi69-65
02/01/18Brindisi v Varese95-90 OT
12/02/17Brindisi v Varese80-58
23/10/16Varese v Brindisi91-81 OT
20/03/16Varese v Brindisi80-69
29/11/15Brindisi v Varese80-74
28/03/15Varese v Brindisi82-93
06/12/14Brindisi v Varese69-71
02/03/14Brindisi v Varese96-70
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19ABrescia80-97 OT
10/03/19HTorino96-89 OT
04/03/19ACantu79-81
17/02/19ACremona74-83
16/02/19ASassari87-86
15/02/19AAvellino95-92
10/02/19HPistoia80-70
03/02/19ASassari103-98 OT
26/01/19APesaro101-80
20/01/19HOlimpia Milano101-92
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/19AOostende73-70
17/03/19HCremona83-64
13/03/19HZ-Mobile Prishtina100-84
10/03/19AAvellino71-76
06/03/19AZ-Mobile Prishtina80-77
03/03/19HReggiana92-80
14/02/19ACremona73-82
10/02/19ATrieste104-96
06/02/19HDonar Groningen77-80 OT
02/02/19ATrento71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL59%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayWWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%64%55%
Points / game82.581.983.1
Allowed / game79.677.381.9
Point differential+2.9+4.6+1.2
Avg total162.1159.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %14%9%18%
Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%82%36%
Points / game79.383.675.0
Allowed / game74.874.175.5
Point differential+4.5+9.5-0.5
Avg total154.1157.7150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%64%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2218482%87.477.8+9.6
2 Venezia2317674%82.273.2+9.0
3 Cremona2214864%82.578.2+4.3
4 Avellino2314961%80.179.8+0.3
5 Varese2213959%79.374.8+4.5
6 Brindisi2213959%82.579.6+2.9
7 Trieste23121152%87.083.2+3.8
8 Virtus Bologna23121152%81.181.1-0.0
9 Trento23121152%78.981.1-2.2
10 Cantu23121152%83.886.6-2.7
11 Sassari23111248%84.782.0+2.7
12 Brescia23111248%79.780.5-0.8
13 Torino2361726%83.287.5-4.3
14 Pesaro2361726%80.592.4-11.9
15 Reggiana2251723%77.283.4-6.1
16 Pistoia2251723%75.183.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi2118152781
Varese2416172077
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