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Varese vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 83-64
23-13 19-22 18-16 23-13
Position#7
Record12-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game75.3
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game78.0
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Cremona
26 Apr 2026
VAR84
CRE75
06 Apr 2025
VAR85
CRE87
03 Dec 2023
VAR68
CRE75
06 Mar 2022
VAR90
CRE78
12 Sep 2021
VAR86
CRE78
07 Feb 2021
VAR110
CRE105
13 Apr 2020
VAR v CRE
upcoming
17 Mar 2019
VAR83
CRE64
06 May 2018
VAR89
CRE79
30 Apr 2017
VAR78
CRE75
23 Dec 2015
VAR87
CRE82
22 Mar 2015
VAR86
CRE82
27 Apr 2014
VAR78
CRE70
30 Dec 2012
VAR94
CRE84
29 Apr 2012
VAR78
CRE66
06 Mar 2011
VAR76
CRE71
08 May 2010
VAR98
CRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
120avg 118
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
128avg 118
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#14
W
92-80
92
80
+12
126avg 118
H03/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
72avg 118
A10/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
25-19
24-22
14-18
15-18
14-20
23-26
17-15
9-16
17-21
24-15
21-22
15-15
20-16
13-25
20-12
27-24
34-26
24-19
19-27
15-19
25-25
12-16
21-22
23-24
19-18
28-16
22-22
25-12
12-20
15-28
28-17
27-15
26-15
9-24
9-22
33-21
23-19
21-19
23-25
162.2Avg total
82.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.175.3154.4+3.957%
Season at home (10)83.775.1158.8+8.680%
Season away (11)75.075.5150.5-0.536%
Last 10 (10)82.180.1162.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)83.279.8163.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.875.9155.6+3.962%
vs Weaker (19)82.573.4155.9+9.263%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
98-81
98
81
+17
100avg 114
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
107avg 114
H20/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
97avg 114
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
95avg 114
A03/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
110avg 114
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H14/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#4
W
102-91
102
91
+11
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#4
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-80
90
80
+10
90avg 114
H10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
21-18
22-17
27-22
21-20
19-24
22-16
22-29
15-19
21-15
20-12
14-16
18-29
10-19
20-14
18-20
22-18
24-20
15-20
26-12
19-15
25-25
16-12
22-21
21-20
38-24
16-24
27-23
23-18
22-19
17-14
21-23
–
–
–
–
23-26
29-19
17-21
21-14
148.4Avg total
78.2Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.378.0161.3+5.467%
Season at home (11)87.883.2171.0+4.664%
Season away (10)78.472.2150.6+6.270%
Last 10 (10)78.270.2148.4+8.080%
Last 5 (5)75.463.6139.0+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.098.0173.0-23.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.471.3144.8+2.156%
vs Weaker (17)91.884.1175.9+7.676%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
VareseCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H03/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A10/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
80.2Avg total
42.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.377.2+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.736.278.9+6.577%-
Last 30 away (17)37.838.175.9-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.780.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.683.2+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.837.280.0+5.575%-
vs Weaker (19)39.336.375.6+3.158%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A03/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pistoia
#16
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H10/03
Lega A
85.7Avg total
44.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.741.884.5+1.066%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.585.9+0.962%-
Last 30 away (13)41.840.882.7+1.069%-
Last 10 (9)44.341.385.7+3.078%-
Last 5 (5)49.240.890.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.349.788.0-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.837.076.8+2.875%-
vs Weaker (17)44.842.787.5+2.171%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.917.0
44.9%
51.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.1
38.4%
35.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.4%
72.3%14.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.3
51.8%
51.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.2
34.3%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.414.6
71.6%
72.3%14.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWWLWLLLW
Cremona
WWWWWWLWLW
#7
League position
#3
+6.3
Net rating
+4.7
114.5
Offensive rating
108.0
108.2
Defensive rating
103.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
13.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.4%
3-point %
34.3%
56.2%
Assist %
50.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 108.0Defence108.2 · 103.3Shooting50.4% · 51.7%3-point %38.4% · 34.3%Ball care13.3% · 17.6%Off. rebounds34.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Varese   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Varese wins
4
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
14/02/19Cremona v Varese82-73
18/11/18Cremona v Varese79-82
06/05/18Varese v Cremona89-79
07/01/18Cremona v Varese80-72
30/04/17Varese v Cremona78-75
02/01/17Cremona v Varese85-71
16/04/16Cremona v Varese70-79
23/12/15Varese v Cremona87-82 OT
22/03/15Varese v Cremona86-82
30/11/14Cremona v Varese64-53
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/19HZ-Mobile Prishtina100-84
10/03/19AAvellino71-76
06/03/19AZ-Mobile Prishtina80-77
03/03/19HReggiana92-80
14/02/19ACremona73-82
10/02/19ATrieste104-96
06/02/19HDonar Groningen77-80 OT
02/02/19ATrento71-74
30/01/19HSassari69-79
27/01/19HSassari84-73
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19HPistoia90-80
03/03/19ASassari20-0
17/02/19HBrindisi83-74
16/02/19AVirtus Bologna102-91
14/02/19HVarese82-73
09/02/19HVirtus Bologna87-70
03/02/19ACantu66-82
27/01/19AAvellino70-62
20/01/19HTrento84-89
13/01/19HReggiana98-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%80%36%
Points / game79.183.775.0
Allowed / game75.375.175.5
Point differential+3.9+8.6-0.5
Avg total154.4158.8150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWLWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%64%70%
Points / game83.387.878.4
Allowed / game78.083.272.2
Point differential+5.4+4.6+6.2
Avg total161.3171.0150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2218482%87.477.8+9.6
2 Venezia2216673%82.573.5+8.9
3 Cremona2114767%83.378.0+5.4
4 Brindisi2113862%82.678.8+3.9
5 Avellino2113862%80.381.0-0.7
6 Varese2112957%79.175.3+3.9
7 Trieste21111052%87.684.1+3.5
8 Trento21111052%79.181.0-1.9
9 Cantu21111052%84.987.2-2.3
10 Virtus Bologna22111150%81.281.6-0.4
11 Sassari2191243%84.382.6+1.7
12 Brescia2191243%78.380.1-1.8
13 Pesaro2161529%81.493.7-12.3
14 Torino2261627%82.987.3-4.4
15 Reggiana2151624%78.183.0-4.9
16 Pistoia2151624%74.883.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2319182383
Cremona1322161364
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