Varese vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 78-86

25-20 16-19 3-23 34-24

Position#10

Record6-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game82.2

Varese

Virtus Roma 🏆

Position#5

Record9-5

FormLWWWL

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game74.1

Lega ARound 15

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Varese v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

91-77

+14

H01/12

Lega A

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#39

80-83

-3

A04/12

Eurocup

Pistoia

76-89

-13

A08/12

Lega A

Valencia

62-94

-32

H11/12

Eurocup

Cantu

77-82

-5

H15/12

Lega A

Ulm

#11

86-75

+11

A18/12

Eurocup

Caserta

80-86

-6

A22/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

98-89

H26/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

94-75

+19

A29/12

Lega A

Siena

79-87

-8

A05/01

Lega A

23-15

25-28

30-18

13-16

20-22

19-20

15-21

26-20

21-24

23-21

16-16

16-28

17-16

10-23

22-26

13-29

22-21

25-21

19-15

11-25

24-22

14-11

23-20

25-22

24-22

21-19

17-18

18-27

27-17

22-29

26-18

23-25

27-24

29-12

17-17

21-22

25-24

12-28

27-21

15-14

166.0Avg total

82.3Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.9	82.2	164.1	-0.3	43%
Season at home (7)	84.1	76.7	160.9	+7.4	71%
Season away (7)	79.7	87.7	167.4	-8.0	14%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	83.7	166.0	-1.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	82.4	169.8	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	74.1	83.4	157.5	-9.3	18%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	79.1	79.1	158.3	+0.0	47%
vs Weaker (2)	87.0	82.5	169.5	+4.5	50%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

61-55

H02/12

Lega A

Alba Berlin

81-84

-3

A05/12

Eurocup

Pesaro

#15

82-77

A08/12

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

83-81

H10/12

Eurocup

Siena

70-82

-12

A15/12

Lega A

Bonn

#28

88-96 OT

-8

A18/12

Eurocup

Reggiana

72-67

H22/12

Lega A

Sassari

72-68

H26/12

Lega A

Pistoia

85-76

A29/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

87-92

-5

H05/01

Lega A

9-19

13-10

16-20

23-6

17-15

21-22

24-17

19-30

18-18

25-19

15-21

24-19

18-18

19-25

19-18

27-20

19-19

18-18

19-23

14-22

14-21

23-27

29-20

17-15

18-20

16-20

13-13

25-14

22-23

24-20

11-17

15-8

19-18

32-18

19-9

15-31

16-26

25-22

20-24

26-20

155.9Avg total

78.1Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	75.9	74.1	150.0	+1.9	64%
Season at home (7)	74.3	73.1	147.4	+1.1	57%
Season away (7)	77.6	75.0	152.6	+2.6	71%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	77.8	155.9	+0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	79.8	160.6	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	73.3	74.6	147.9	-1.3	40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	76.8	78.5	155.3	-1.7	40%
vs Weaker (5)	77.2	71.4	148.6	+5.8	80%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.7	39.7	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.7	43.7	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.8	47.2	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.5	19.3	41.7	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	14.5	36.5	+7.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.8	35.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	17.7	35.2	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.7	36.7	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.2	18.3	34.5	-2.1	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.1	18.1	36.1	+0.0	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.9	39.5	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.3	38.9	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	25.5	49.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.9	38.5	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.5	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	20%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

48-43

H01/12

Lega A

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#39

39-42

-3

A04/12

Eurocup

Pistoia

44-45

-1

A08/12

Lega A

Valencia

27-39

-12

H11/12

Eurocup

Cantu

47-42

H15/12

Lega A

Ulm

#11

38-33

A18/12

Eurocup

Caserta

45-41

A22/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

49-46

H26/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

56-36

+20

A29/12

Lega A

Siena

37-52

-15

A05/01

Lega A

84.9Avg total

43.0Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.5	78.7	-0.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	39.1	78.7	+0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	39.9	78.7	-1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	41.9	84.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	41.6	86.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.0	40.7	76.7	-4.7	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.4	39.7	81.1	+1.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	40.0	86.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

22-29

-7

H02/12

Lega A

Alba Berlin

38-37

A05/12

Eurocup

Pesaro

#15

43-37

A08/12

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

37-43

-6

H10/12

Eurocup

Siena

37-37

A15/12

Lega A

Bonn

#28

37-48

-11

A18/12

Eurocup

Reggiana

34-40

-6

H22/12

Lega A

Sassari

46-43

H26/12

Lega A

Pistoia

51-36

+15

A29/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

41-48

-7

H05/01

Lega A

78.4Avg total

38.6Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	37.7	74.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.3	36.7	72.0	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	38.9	76.9	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	39.8	78.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	43.0	84.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.0	35.6	70.6	-0.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.2	38.3	74.5	-2.1	27%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.8	40.0	80.8	+0.8	40%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	23.5	45.5	-1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.3	37.7	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	15.0	33.4	+3.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	19.1	35.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	23.2	42.3	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	22.8	40.9	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.1	38.2	-0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	16.9	36.6	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	16.4	34.4	+1.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	41.1	78.7	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	38.5	76.8	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	43.6	80.7	-6.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	41.8	81.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.8	83.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.1	41.5	78.6	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.7	39.4	77.1	-1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	42.5	83.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.4	76.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	36.2	74.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	38.7	77.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	36.7	75.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	34.2	72.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.1	37.6	74.7	-0.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.3	39.3	79.5	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	36.4	31.4	67.8	+5.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
01/04/13	Varese v Virtus Roma	81-58
09/02/13	Virtus Roma v Varese	71-81
02/12/12	Virtus Roma v Varese	91-87
12/02/12	Varese v Virtus Roma	76-78
30/10/11	Virtus Roma v Varese	74-76 OT
27/03/11	Varese v Virtus Roma	84-78
05/12/10	Virtus Roma v Varese	89-92
17/04/10	Virtus Roma v Varese	64-71
20/12/09	Varese v Virtus Roma	67-84

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/14	A	Siena	79-87
29/12/13	A	Cremona	94-75
26/12/13	H	Virtus Bologna	98-89
22/12/13	A	Caserta	80-86
18/12/13	A	Ulm	86-75
15/12/13	H	Cantu	77-82
11/12/13	H	Valencia	62-94
08/12/13	A	Pistoia	76-89
04/12/13	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	80-83
01/12/13	H	Pesaro	91-77

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/14	H	Venezia	87-92
29/12/13	A	Pistoia	85-76
26/12/13	H	Sassari	72-68
22/12/13	H	Reggiana	72-67
18/12/13	A	Bonn	88-96 OT
15/12/13	A	Siena	70-82
10/12/13	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	83-81
08/12/13	A	Pesaro	82-77
05/12/13	A	Alba Berlin	81-84
02/12/13	H	Olimpia Milano	61-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	43%
Home	WLWLW	71%
Away	LLLWL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	43%	71%	14%
Points / game	81.9	84.1	79.7
Allowed / game	82.2	76.7	87.7
Point differential	-0.3	+7.4	-8.0
Avg total	164.1	160.9	167.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	57%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	64%
Home	LWWWL	57%
Away	WWWLW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	64%	57%	71%
Points / game	75.9	74.3	77.6
Allowed / game	74.1	73.1	75.0
Point differential	+1.9	+1.1	+2.6
Avg total	150.0	147.4	152.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	50% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	14	10	4	71%	79.4	71.6	+7.9
2	Brindisi	14	10	4	71%	78.5	74.7	+3.8
3	Cantu	14	10	4	71%	82.4	78.9	+3.6
4	Olimpia Milano	14	9	5	64%	79.9	72.1	+7.7
5	Sassari	14	9	5	64%	83.1	76.6	+6.5
6	Virtus Roma	14	9	5	64%	75.9	74.1	+1.9
7	Reggiana	15	8	7	53%	76.8	72.1	+4.7
8	Venezia	15	8	7	53%	79.9	79.1	+0.7
9	Virtus Bologna	14	7	7	50%	80.6	80.1	+0.4
10	Avellino	15	7	8	47%	76.5	81.6	-5.1
11	Caserta	14	6	8	43%	74.3	73.4	+0.9
12	Varese	14	6	8	43%	81.9	82.2	-0.3
13	Pistoia	14	6	8	43%	76.8	80.6	-3.8
14	Sutor Montegranaro	14	4	10	29%	79.9	89.1	-9.2
15	Cremona	14	3	11	21%	75.1	82.6	-7.5
16	Pesaro	15	2	13	13%	78.6	90.0	-11.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	25	16	3	34	78
Virtus Roma	20	19	23	24	86

← all games of the day

Varese vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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