Varese vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 71-76

22-16 20-32 14-18 15-10

Position#10

Record7-9

FormWWLLW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game81.9

Varese

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Position#1

Record11-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.6

Allowed / game70.7

Lega ARound 17

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Varese v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

76-89

-13

A08/12

Lega A

Valencia

62-94

-32

H11/12

Eurocup

Cantu

77-82

-5

H15/12

Lega A

Ulm

#11

86-75

+11

A18/12

Eurocup

Caserta

80-86

-6

A22/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

98-89

H26/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

94-75

+19

A29/12

Lega A

Siena

79-87

-8

A05/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

78-86

-8

H12/01

Lega A

Reggiana

80-73

A18/01

Lega A

21-24

23-21

16-16

16-28

17-16

10-23

22-26

13-29

22-21

25-21

19-15

11-25

24-22

14-11

23-20

25-22

24-22

21-19

17-18

18-27

27-17

22-29

26-18

23-25

27-24

29-12

17-17

21-22

25-24

12-28

27-21

15-14

25-20

16-19

3-23

34-24

14-16

18-19

21-25

27-13

164.6Avg total

81.0Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	81.6	81.9	163.4	-0.3	44%
Season at home (8)	83.4	77.9	161.2	+5.5	62%
Season away (8)	79.8	85.9	165.6	-6.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	83.6	164.6	-2.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	82.0	167.8	+3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	74.6	82.5	157.1	-7.9	25%
vs Similar (14)	79.8	80.6	160.4	-0.8	43%
vs Weaker (2)	87.0	82.5	169.5	+4.5	50%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

72-87

-15

A23/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

81-66

+15

H26/12

Lega A

Avellino

#12

94-58

+36

H29/12

Lega A

Panathinaikos

#12

57-73

-16

A02/01

Euroleague

Sassari

75-69

A05/01

Lega A

Olympiacos

81-51

+30

H09/01

Euroleague

Siena

66-56

+10

H12/01

Lega A

Baskonia

#15

83-76

H17/01

Euroleague

Brindisi

89-65

+24

H19/01

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#25

60-61

-1

A24/01

Euroleague

23-23

12-18

22-25

15-21

15-24

21-11

23-11

22-20

23-18

22-19

19-12

30-9

14-20

17-18

9-14

17-21

18-20

21-17

19-19

17-13

16-21

23-11

24-8

18-11

10-10

18-21

22-11

16-14

26-18

22-20

15-12

20-26

32-13

17-19

21-15

19-18

17-14

17-16

11-13

15-18

142.0Avg total

75.8Scored

66.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.6	70.7	150.2	+8.9	69%
Season at home (8)	82.9	63.6	146.5	+19.2	100%
Season away (8)	76.2	77.8	154.0	-1.5	38%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	66.2	142.0	+9.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	61.8	137.6	+14.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.5	85.5	158.0	-13.0	0%
vs Similar (5)	72.4	65.0	137.4	+7.4	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	77.8	72.1	149.9	+5.7	61%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.5	39.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.2	43.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	58%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	14.5	36.5	+7.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	15.2	35.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.8	17.8	34.6	-1.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	48%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.4	21.5	38.9	-4.1	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.4	20.7	40.1	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	25.5	49.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	16.1	34.8	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.7	35.8	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.0	26.0	39.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.6	65%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

44-45

-1

A08/12

Lega A

Valencia

27-39

-12

H11/12

Eurocup

Cantu

47-42

H15/12

Lega A

Ulm

#11

38-33

A18/12

Eurocup

Caserta

45-41

A22/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

49-46

H26/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

56-36

+20

A29/12

Lega A

Siena

37-52

-15

A05/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

41-39

H12/01

Lega A

Reggiana

32-35

-3

A18/01

Lega A

82.4Avg total

41.6Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.7	78.4	-0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	39.5	79.0	-0.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	39.8	77.9	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	40.8	82.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.6	84.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.7	40.2	75.9	-4.6	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.2	40.4	81.6	+0.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	40.0	86.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

35-41

-6

A23/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

36-35

H26/12

Lega A

Avellino

#12

45-37

H29/12

Lega A

Panathinaikos

#12

31-38

-7

A02/01

Euroleague

Sassari

39-37

A05/01

Lega A

Olympiacos

39-32

H09/01

Euroleague

Siena

28-31

-3

H12/01

Lega A

Baskonia

#15

48-38

+10

H17/01

Euroleague

Brindisi

49-32

+17

H19/01

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#25

34-30

A24/01

Euroleague

73.5Avg total

38.4Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	36.1	73.5	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	34.9	73.6	+3.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	37.3	73.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	35.1	73.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	32.6	72.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.5	50.0	82.5	-17.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.0	35.2	72.2	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	37.9	35.1	73.0	+2.8	70%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.9	40.5	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.4	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	23.5	45.5	-1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	14.3	35.8	+7.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.9	37.7	-2.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	14.0	32.5	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	11.8	30.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	12.8	30.6	+5.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.9	39.9	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.9	43.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.8	20.6	39.3	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	20.4	39.4	-1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.3	37.5	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.1	36.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.0	17.5	42.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	41.4	79.8	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	39.3	78.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	43.4	81.3	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	42.8	82.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.4	83.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.0	41.2	79.2	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.6	40.1	78.7	-1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	42.5	83.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	35.7	74.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	32.2	74.5	+10.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.0	39.2	75.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	31.1	68.5	+6.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	29.2	65.4	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	35.5	75.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.4	29.8	65.2	+5.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	39.9	37.0	76.9	+2.9	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
20/10/13	Olimpia Milano v Varese	84-72
14/04/13	Varese v Olimpia Milano	95-81
07/02/13	Varese v Olimpia Milano	92-74
23/12/12	Olimpia Milano v Varese	77-83
22/01/12	Varese v Olimpia Milano	74-64
09/10/11	Olimpia Milano v Varese	89-75
17/04/11	Varese v Olimpia Milano	82-71
29/12/10	Olimpia Milano v Varese	84-80 OT
31/01/10	Olimpia Milano v Varese	74-70
11/10/09	Varese v Olimpia Milano	73-66

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/14	A	Reggiana	80-73
12/01/14	H	Virtus Roma	78-86
05/01/14	A	Siena	79-87
29/12/13	A	Cremona	94-75
26/12/13	H	Virtus Bologna	98-89
22/12/13	A	Caserta	80-86
18/12/13	A	Ulm	86-75
15/12/13	H	Cantu	77-82
11/12/13	H	Valencia	62-94
08/12/13	A	Pistoia	76-89

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/14	A	Anadolu Efes	60-61
19/01/14	H	Brindisi	89-65
17/01/14	H	Baskonia	83-76
12/01/14	H	Siena	66-56
09/01/14	H	Olympiacos	81-51
05/01/14	A	Sassari	75-69
02/01/14	A	Panathinaikos	57-73
29/12/13	H	Avellino	94-58
26/12/13	H	Cremona	81-66
23/12/13	A	Cantu	72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	44%
Home	LWLWL	62%
Away	LLWLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	44%	62%	25%
Points / game	81.6	83.4	79.8
Allowed / game	81.9	77.9	85.9
Point differential	-0.3	+5.5	-6.1
Avg total	163.4	161.2	165.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	50%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	69%	100%	38%
Points / game	79.6	82.9	76.2
Allowed / game	70.7	63.6	77.8
Point differential	+8.9	+19.2	-1.5
Avg total	150.2	146.5	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	100%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cantu	17	12	5	71%	82.8	79.4	+3.4
2	Brindisi	17	12	5	71%	77.9	75.1	+2.8
3	Olimpia Milano	16	11	5	69%	79.6	70.7	+8.9
4	Siena	17	11	6	65%	76.5	70.3	+6.2
5	Virtus Roma	17	11	6	65%	76.4	73.9	+2.5
6	Sassari	17	10	7	59%	84.1	79.3	+4.8
7	Venezia	17	9	8	53%	79.0	77.6	+1.4
8	Reggiana	17	8	9	47%	75.3	72.1	+3.2
9	Caserta	17	8	9	47%	75.3	74.3	+1.0
10	Avellino	17	8	9	47%	76.8	81.3	-4.5
11	Varese	16	7	9	44%	81.6	81.9	-0.3
12	Virtus Bologna	17	7	10	41%	80.5	81.2	-0.6
13	Pistoia	17	7	10	41%	76.5	80.0	-3.5
14	Cremona	17	6	11	35%	76.9	82.3	-5.4
15	Sutor Montegranaro	17	5	12	29%	79.5	88.4	-8.9
16	Pesaro	17	3	14	18%	79.7	90.1	-10.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	22	20	14	15	71
Olimpia Milano	16	32	18	10	76

← all games of the day

Varese vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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